{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\scharpf\Dropbox\SOAPaper\Submission\ISQ_FinalSubmission_03062020\Scharpf_ISQ_ReplicationFiles\\Scharpf_ISQ_resultslog.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res} 4 Jun 2020, 17:44:05
{txt}
{com}. 
.         
.         
. ********************************************************************************
. *
. * Loading replication dataset
. *
. ********************************************************************************
. 
.         *Loading replication dataset
.         use "$path\data_allanalysis.dta"
{txt}(Scharpf 2020 ISQ replication dataset)

{com}. 
. 
.         
. ********************************************************************************
. *
. * Descriptives
. *
. ********************************************************************************
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Figure 2. Threats in Latin America, 1946-2004
.         ****************************************************************************    
.         
.         *Preserving data
.         preserve        
{txt}
{com}.         
.         *Keeping relevant variables
.         keep gwno year guerrillad strikesd riotsd demond dmidtowar 
{txt}
{com}.         rename dmidtowar dmidtoward
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
.         *Counting number of observations in data set
.         gen totalobs=_N
{txt}
{com}. 
.         *Counting number of observations with respective threat type
.         foreach var of varlist guerrillad strikesd riotsd demond dmidtowar   {c -(}
{txt}  2{com}.         egen total_`var'=total(`var')
{txt}  3{com}.         {c )-}
{txt}
{com}.         
.         *Calculating percentages for each threat type
.         foreach var of varlist total_guerrillad total_strikesd total_riotsd total_demond total_dmidtowar  {c -(}
{txt}  2{com}.         gen perc`var'=(`var'/totalobs)*100
{txt}  3{com}.         {c )-}       
{txt}
{com}.         
.         *Keeping single values
.         keep in 1
{txt}(1,585 observations deleted)

{com}.         keep perc*
{txt}
{com}. 
.         *Renaming variables
.         ds 
{txt}{col 1}perctotal~ad{col 15}perctota~esd{col 29}perctota~tsd{col 43}perctotal~nd{col 57}perctotal~rd

{com}.         foreach v of var `r(varlist)' {c -(}
{txt}  2{com}.            local new = substr("`v'", 11,.)
{txt}  3{com}.            rename `v' `new'
{txt}  4{com}.         {c )-}
{res}{txt}
{com}.                 
.         *Reshaping data set
.         gen help=1
{txt}
{com}.         reshape long @d, i(help) string
{txt}(note: j = demon dmidtowar guerrilla riots strikes)

Data{col 36}wide{col 43}->{col 48}long
{hline 77}
Number of obs.                 {res}       1   {txt}->{res}       5
{txt}Number of variables            {res}       6   {txt}->{res}       3
{txt}j variable (5 values)                     ->   {res}_j
{txt}xij variables:
         {res}demond dmidtoward ... strikesd   {txt}->   {res}d
{txt}{hline 77}

{com}.         rename _j threat
{res}{txt}
{com}.         rename d perc
{res}{txt}
{com}.         
.         *Figure 2
.         gsort - perc
{txt}
{com}.         gen yaxis=_n*.5
{txt}
{com}.         
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         twoway  dropline perc yaxis,
>                 horizontal
>                 msymbol(o) msize(*1.3) mfcolor(black) mlcolor(black) mlwidth(*1.1) // mlalign(center)
>                 lcolor(black) lwidth(*1)
>                 ylabel(
>                         .5 "Demonstrations" 
>                         1 "Riots"
>                         1.5 "Conventional wars" 
>                         2 "Guerrilla attacks" 
>                         2.5 "Strikes" 
>                         , labsize(3) labgap(*5) noticks angle(horizontal) nogrid)
>                 xsize(1)
>                 ysize(1)
>                 yscale(range(.25 2.75) noline)  
>                 xscale(range(0 50))
>                 xlabel(0(10)50, labsize(3) nogrid) //grid glwidth(*.5) glpattern(solid) glcolor(gs12) nogmin nogmax
>                 xtick(0(2)50, tlength(*.5))
>                 ytitle("")
>                 xtitle("Percentages", size(3))
>                 plotregion(lcolor(white) m(zero))
>                 graphregion(color(white) lcolor(white) lalign(outside))
>                 legend(off)
>                 ;
{res}{txt}
{com}.         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         graph export "$path\figure2.pdf", as(pdf) replace
{txt}(file C:\Users\scharpf\Dropbox\SOAPaper\Submission\ISQ_FinalSubmission_03062020\Scharpf_ISQ_ReplicationFiles\\figure2.pdf written in PDF format)

{com}.         
.         *Restoring data
.         restore 
{txt}
{com}.         
. 
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Figure 3. Distribution of the dependent variable
.         ****************************************************************************    
.         
.         *Generating variables for hisogram incl. break in y-axis
.         egen freq=count(1), by(soaGEN)
{txt}
{com}.         gen freq2=0 if freq!=.
{txt}
{com}.         tab freq if soaGEN==0

       {txt}freq {c |}      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
        723 {c |}{res}        723      100.00      100.00
{txt}{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
      Total {c |}{res}        723      100.00
{txt}
{com}.         replace freq=100 if freq==723 & soaGEN==0
{txt}(723 real changes made)

{com}.         gen liney=90 in 1/3
{txt}(1,583 missing values generated)

{com}.         gen linex=_n-2 in 1/3
{txt}(1,583 missing values generated)

{com}.         gen rcapx=0 in 1
{txt}(1,585 missing values generated)

{com}.         gen rcapy1=91.19 in 1
{txt}(1,585 missing values generated)

{com}.         gen rcapy2=88.81 in 1
{txt}(1,585 missing values generated)

{com}. 
.         *Figure 3
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         twoway 
>                 (rbar freq freq2 soaGEN, color(black) fintensity(100))
>                 (rcap rcapy1 rcapy2 rcapx,      lwidth(0.25) lcolor(black))
>                 (line liney linex, lwidth(1.5) lcolor(white))
>                 ,
>                 yscale(range(0 100) noextend)
>                 xscale(range(0 800) noextend titlegap(*+10))    
>                 ylabel(0(10)80 100 "723", angle(horizontal) nogrid) 
>                 xlabel(0(100)800, nogrid)
>                 xtick(0(50)800, tlength(*.5))
>                 ytitle("Frequency")     
>                 xtitle("Number of SOA courses attended (in country-year)")
>                 legend(off) 
>                 plotregion(lcolor(white)) 
>                 graphregion(color(white) lcolor(white) lalign(outside)) 
>                 ;
{res}{txt}
{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         graph export "$path\figure3.pdf", as(pdf) replace       
{txt}(file C:\Users\scharpf\Dropbox\SOAPaper\Submission\ISQ_FinalSubmission_03062020\Scharpf_ISQ_ReplicationFiles\\figure3.pdf written in PDF format)

{com}. 
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Figure 4. Distribution of course start dates
.         ****************************************************************************            
.         
.         *Preserve data
.         preserve
{txt}
{com}.         
.         *Loading data for Figure 4
.         use "$path\data_figure4.dta", clear
{txt}(Scharpf 2020 ISQ replication Figure 4)

{com}.         
.         *Figure 4       
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         hist month_num if soaGEN==1, 
>                  disc
>                  width(.5)
>                  ysize(1)
>                  xsize(1.25)             
>                  fcolor(gs12) lwidth(none)
>                  yscale(range(0 .4) noextend titlegap(+2))
>                  xscale(range(1 12) noextend titlegap(+2))
>                  ylabel(, angle(horizontal) nogrid nogmin)
>                  xlabel(1 "Jan" 2 "Feb" 3 "Mar" 4 "Apr" 5 "May" 6 "Jun" 7 "Jul" 8 "Aug" 9 "Sep" 10 "Oct" 11 "Nov" 12 "Dec")
>                  xtitle("Month")
>                  ytitle("Density")
>                  plotregion(lcolor(white)) 
>                 graphregion(color(white) lcolor(white) lalign(outside)) 
>         ;
{txt}(start={res}1{txt}, width={res}.5{txt})
{res}{txt}
{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         graph export "$path\figure4.pdf", as(pdf) replace       
{txt}(file C:\Users\scharpf\Dropbox\SOAPaper\Submission\ISQ_FinalSubmission_03062020\Scharpf_ISQ_ReplicationFiles\\figure4.pdf written in PDF format)

{com}.         
.         *Restoring data
.         restore
{txt}
{com}.         
. 
.         
. ********************************************************************************
. *
. * Empirical results
. *
. ********************************************************************************
. 
. 
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Table 1. Results for course attendance at School of the Americas, 1946–2004
.         ****************************************************************************
. 
.         *Model 1
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward 
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5721.9736}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5417.4009}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5404.2696}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5404.1779}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5404.1778}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5404.1778}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5373.0711}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5364.7241}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5364.6799}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5364.6799}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,532
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       856
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       676

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}5{txt})      = {res}     19.65
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -5364.68                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0015

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:33} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      soaGEN{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN       {txt}{c |}
{space 1}lguerrillad {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8753146{col 26}{space 2} .2693162{col 37}{space 1}    3.25{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .3474646{col 67}{space 3} 1.403165
{txt}{space 3}lstrikesd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2142823{col 26}{space 2} .1386115{col 37}{space 1}   -1.55{col 46}{space 3}0.122{col 54}{space 4}-.4859558{col 67}{space 3} .0573912
{txt}{space 5}lriotsd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0714543{col 26}{space 2} .1566193{col 37}{space 1}   -0.46{col 46}{space 3}0.648{col 54}{space 4}-.3784225{col 67}{space 3} .2355139
{txt}{space 5}ldemond {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0143955{col 26}{space 2} .1162197{col 37}{space 1}   -0.12{col 46}{space 3}0.901{col 54}{space 4} -.242182{col 67}{space 3}  .213391
{txt}{space 1}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1667086{col 26}{space 2} .1340568{col 37}{space 1}    1.24{col 46}{space 3}0.214{col 54}{space 4}-.0960379{col 67}{space 3}  .429455
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.936552{col 26}{space 2} .1600531{col 37}{space 1}   24.60{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 3.622854{col 67}{space 3}  4.25025
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate      {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6360081{col 26}{space 2} .1383736{col 37}{space 1}   -4.60{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.9072153{col 67}{space 3}-.3648009
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.303167{col 26}{space 2} .5420053{col 37}{space 1}    2.40{col 46}{space 3}0.016{col 54}{space 4} .2408565{col 67}{space 3} 2.365478
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}/lnalpha {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5530234{col 26}{space 2}  .178933{col 37}{space 1}    3.09{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .2023211{col 67}{space 3} .9037257
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       alpha {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.738501{col 26}{space 2} .3110753{col 54}{space 4} 1.224241{col 67}{space 3} 2.468784
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Model 2
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -4904.733}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4599.7749}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4590.8118}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4590.6172}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4590.6165}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4590.6165}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4590.6165}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4565.7946}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4560.1484}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4560.1115}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4560.1115}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,255
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       737
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       518

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}5{txt})      = {res}     21.28
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-4560.111                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0007

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:33} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}        soaGEN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN         {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .8127359{col 28}{space 2} .2756305{col 39}{space 1}    2.95{col 48}{space 3}0.003{col 56}{space 4}   .27251{col 69}{space 3} 1.352962
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2314286{col 28}{space 2} .1324388{col 39}{space 1}   -1.75{col 48}{space 3}0.081{col 56}{space 4}-.4910038{col 69}{space 3} .0281466
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0336933{col 28}{space 2} .1595944{col 39}{space 1}   -0.21{col 48}{space 3}0.833{col 56}{space 4}-.3464926{col 69}{space 3} .2791059
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0475195{col 28}{space 2} .1133119{col 39}{space 1}   -0.42{col 48}{space 3}0.675{col 56}{space 4}-.2696068{col 69}{space 3} .1745677
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0473605{col 28}{space 2}  .141294{col 39}{space 1}    0.34{col 48}{space 3}0.737{col 56}{space 4}-.2295706{col 69}{space 3} .3242916
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.032314{col 28}{space 2} .1704786{col 39}{space 1}   23.65{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 3.698182{col 69}{space 3} 4.366445
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.356465{col 28}{space 2} .3061792{col 39}{space 1}   -4.43{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-1.956565{col 69}{space 3}-.7563644
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0260172{col 28}{space 2}   .02296{col 39}{space 1}    1.13{col 48}{space 3}0.257{col 56}{space 4}-.0189836{col 69}{space 3} .0710181
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.131226{col 28}{space 2} .4425964{col 39}{space 1}    2.56{col 48}{space 3}0.011{col 56}{space 4} .2637532{col 69}{space 3} 1.998699
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5549337{col 28}{space 2} .3764342{col 39}{space 1}    1.47{col 48}{space 3}0.140{col 56}{space 4}-.1828637{col 69}{space 3} 1.292731
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.7048844{col 28}{space 2} .3473534{col 39}{space 1}   -2.03{col 48}{space 3}0.042{col 56}{space 4}-1.385685{col 69}{space 3}-.0240843
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.4415956{col 28}{space 2} .2145102{col 39}{space 1}   -2.06{col 48}{space 3}0.040{col 56}{space 4}-.8620279{col 69}{space 3}-.0211633
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.964274{col 28}{space 2} 1.372347{col 39}{space 1}    2.89{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4} 1.274523{col 69}{space 3} 6.654025
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5371983{col 28}{space 2} .2070508{col 39}{space 1}    2.59{col 48}{space 3}0.009{col 56}{space 4} .1313861{col 69}{space 3} .9430105
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.711206{col 28}{space 2} .3543066{col 56}{space 4} 1.140408{col 69}{space 3}   2.5677
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Model 3
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4547.6507}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4294.4361}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.9825}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.8233}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.8228}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.8228}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.8228}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -4274.281}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4248.9199}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4248.6668}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4248.6658}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4248.6658}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,061
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       705
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       356

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}7{txt})      = {res}     16.71
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-4248.666                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0194

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}        soaGEN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN         {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .8758991{col 28}{space 2}  .279007{col 39}{space 1}    3.14{col 48}{space 3}0.002{col 56}{space 4} .3290555{col 69}{space 3} 1.422743
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1554865{col 28}{space 2} .1289484{col 39}{space 1}   -1.21{col 48}{space 3}0.228{col 56}{space 4}-.4082207{col 69}{space 3} .0972477
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1501721{col 28}{space 2} .1670777{col 39}{space 1}   -0.90{col 48}{space 3}0.369{col 56}{space 4}-.4776384{col 69}{space 3} .1772941
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0884619{col 28}{space 2} .1147738{col 39}{space 1}    0.77{col 48}{space 3}0.441{col 56}{space 4}-.1364907{col 69}{space 3} .3134145
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0217454{col 28}{space 2} .1378758{col 39}{space 1}    0.16{col 48}{space 3}0.875{col 56}{space 4}-.2484861{col 69}{space 3} .2919769
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1297701{col 28}{space 2} .0726785{col 39}{space 1}   -1.79{col 48}{space 3}0.074{col 56}{space 4}-.2722174{col 69}{space 3} .0126772
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2437986{col 28}{space 2} .1951258{col 39}{space 1}   -1.25{col 48}{space 3}0.212{col 56}{space 4}-.6262382{col 69}{space 3} .1386409
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 5.993338{col 28}{space 2} 1.162422{col 39}{space 1}    5.16{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 3.715033{col 69}{space 3} 8.271644
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.116716{col 28}{space 2}  .392945{col 39}{space 1}   -2.84{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4}-1.886874{col 69}{space 3}-.3465575
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0230803{col 28}{space 2} .0278529{col 39}{space 1}    0.83{col 48}{space 3}0.407{col 56}{space 4}-.0315104{col 69}{space 3}  .077671
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.266642{col 28}{space 2} .4678184{col 39}{space 1}    2.71{col 48}{space 3}0.007{col 56}{space 4} .3497345{col 69}{space 3} 2.183549
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5968068{col 28}{space 2} .3681496{col 39}{space 1}    1.62{col 48}{space 3}0.105{col 56}{space 4}-.1247533{col 69}{space 3} 1.318367
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.8927999{col 28}{space 2} .3130978{col 39}{space 1}   -2.85{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4} -1.50646{col 69}{space 3}-.2791395
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0500323{col 28}{space 2} .3536131{col 39}{space 1}   -0.14{col 48}{space 3}0.887{col 56}{space 4}-.7431011{col 69}{space 3} .6430366
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.979763{col 28}{space 2} 2.051623{col 39}{space 1}    0.96{col 48}{space 3}0.335{col 56}{space 4}-2.041344{col 69}{space 3}  6.00087
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4888546{col 28}{space 2} .1987396{col 39}{space 1}    2.46{col 48}{space 3}0.014{col 56}{space 4} .0993321{col 69}{space 3} .8783771
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.630448{col 28}{space 2} .3240346{col 56}{space 4} 1.104433{col 69}{space 3}  2.40699
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.                 
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Figure 5. Marginal effect of foreign policy similarity on the decision to have troopstrained abroad
.         ****************************************************************************    
.         
.         *Identifying obeservations in Model 3, Table 1
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         quiet zinb soaGEN 
>                 i.lguerrillad i.lstrikesd i.lriotsd i.ldemond i.ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa i.carter i.reagan1 i.postcoldwar llnmilexppc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);
{txt}
{com}.                         ;
.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         *Generating rug elements
.         gen modelobs=1 if e(sample) & lfpsimusa<=5
{txt}(525 missing values generated)

{com}.         gen sym="|"
{txt}
{com}.         gen yaxis=-.13
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
.         *Running Model 3, Table 1
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 i.lguerrillad i.lstrikesd i.lriotsd i.ldemond i.ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa i.carter i.reagan1 i.postcoldwar llnmilexppc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4547.6507}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4294.4361}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.9825}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.8233}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.8228}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.8228}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.8228}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -4274.281}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4248.9199}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4248.6668}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4248.6658}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4248.6658}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,061
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       705
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       356

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}7{txt})      = {res}     16.71
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-4248.666                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0194

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}        soaGEN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN         {txt}{c |}
{space 1}1.lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .8758991{col 28}{space 2}  .279007{col 39}{space 1}    3.14{col 48}{space 3}0.002{col 56}{space 4} .3290555{col 69}{space 3} 1.422743
{txt}{space 3}1.lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1554865{col 28}{space 2} .1289484{col 39}{space 1}   -1.21{col 48}{space 3}0.228{col 56}{space 4}-.4082207{col 69}{space 3} .0972477
{txt}{space 5}1.lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1501721{col 28}{space 2} .1670777{col 39}{space 1}   -0.90{col 48}{space 3}0.369{col 56}{space 4}-.4776384{col 69}{space 3} .1772941
{txt}{space 5}1.ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0884619{col 28}{space 2} .1147738{col 39}{space 1}    0.77{col 48}{space 3}0.441{col 56}{space 4}-.1364907{col 69}{space 3} .3134145
{txt}{space 1}1.ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0217454{col 28}{space 2} .1378758{col 39}{space 1}    0.16{col 48}{space 3}0.875{col 56}{space 4}-.2484861{col 69}{space 3} .2919769
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1297701{col 28}{space 2} .0726785{col 39}{space 1}   -1.79{col 48}{space 3}0.074{col 56}{space 4}-.2722174{col 69}{space 3} .0126772
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2437986{col 28}{space 2} .1951258{col 39}{space 1}   -1.25{col 48}{space 3}0.212{col 56}{space 4}-.6262382{col 69}{space 3} .1386409
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 5.993338{col 28}{space 2} 1.162422{col 39}{space 1}    5.16{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 3.715033{col 69}{space 3} 8.271644
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.116716{col 28}{space 2}  .392945{col 39}{space 1}   -2.84{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4}-1.886874{col 69}{space 3}-.3465575
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0230803{col 28}{space 2} .0278529{col 39}{space 1}    0.83{col 48}{space 3}0.407{col 56}{space 4}-.0315104{col 69}{space 3}  .077671
{txt}{space 6}1.carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.266642{col 28}{space 2} .4678184{col 39}{space 1}    2.71{col 48}{space 3}0.007{col 56}{space 4} .3497345{col 69}{space 3} 2.183549
{txt}{space 5}1.reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5968068{col 28}{space 2} .3681496{col 39}{space 1}    1.62{col 48}{space 3}0.105{col 56}{space 4}-.1247533{col 69}{space 3} 1.318367
{txt}{space 1}1.postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.8927999{col 28}{space 2} .3130978{col 39}{space 1}   -2.85{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4} -1.50646{col 69}{space 3}-.2791395
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0500323{col 28}{space 2} .3536131{col 39}{space 1}   -0.14{col 48}{space 3}0.887{col 56}{space 4}-.7431011{col 69}{space 3} .6430366
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.979763{col 28}{space 2} 2.051623{col 39}{space 1}    0.96{col 48}{space 3}0.335{col 56}{space 4}-2.041344{col 69}{space 3}  6.00087
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4888546{col 28}{space 2} .1987396{col 39}{space 1}    2.46{col 48}{space 3}0.014{col 56}{space 4} .0993321{col 69}{space 3} .8783771
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.630448{col 28}{space 2} .3240346{col 56}{space 4} 1.104433{col 69}{space 3}  2.40699
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.                                 //Calculating marginal effects
>                 margins, 
>                                 at((asobserved) _all lfpsimusa=(0(.1)5))
>                                 expression(1-predict(pr)) post;
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,061
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:1-predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 9}.1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:3._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 9}.2}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:4._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 9}.3}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:5._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 9}.4}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:6._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 9}.5}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:7._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 9}.6}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:8._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 9}.7}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:9._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 9}.8}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:10._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 9}.9}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:11._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 10}1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:12._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}1.1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:13._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}1.2}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:14._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}1.3}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:15._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}1.4}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:16._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}1.5}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:17._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}1.6}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:18._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}1.7}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:19._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}1.8}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:20._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}1.9}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:21._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 10}2}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:22._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}2.1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:23._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}2.2}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:24._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}2.3}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:25._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}2.4}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:26._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}2.5}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:27._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}2.6}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:28._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}2.7}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:29._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}2.8}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:30._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}2.9}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:31._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 10}3}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:32._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}3.1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:33._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}3.2}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:34._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}3.3}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:35._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}3.4}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:36._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}3.5}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:37._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}3.6}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:38._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}3.7}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:39._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}3.8}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:40._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}3.9}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:41._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 10}4}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:42._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}4.1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:43._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}4.2}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:44._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}4.3}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:45._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}4.4}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:46._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}4.5}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:47._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}4.6}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:48._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}4.7}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:49._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}4.8}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:50._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 8}4.9}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:51._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lfpsimusa}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 10}5}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1366117{col 26}{space 2} .1258352{col 37}{space 1}    1.09{col 46}{space 3}0.278{col 54}{space 4}-.1100208{col 67}{space 3} .3832443
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1496754{col 26}{space 2} .1311925{col 37}{space 1}    1.14{col 46}{space 3}0.254{col 54}{space 4}-.1074572{col 67}{space 3}  .406808
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .163701{col 26}{space 2} .1362444{col 37}{space 1}    1.20{col 46}{space 3}0.230{col 54}{space 4} -.103333{col 67}{space 3}  .430735
{txt}{space 10}4  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1787094{col 26}{space 2} .1409117{col 37}{space 1}    1.27{col 46}{space 3}0.205{col 54}{space 4}-.0974724{col 67}{space 3} .4548913
{txt}{space 10}5  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1947139{col 26}{space 2} .1451145{col 37}{space 1}    1.34{col 46}{space 3}0.180{col 54}{space 4}-.0897053{col 67}{space 3} .4791332
{txt}{space 10}6  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2117188{col 26}{space 2}  .148774{col 37}{space 1}    1.42{col 46}{space 3}0.155{col 54}{space 4}-.0798729{col 67}{space 3} .5033105
{txt}{space 10}7  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2297182{col 26}{space 2} .1518146{col 37}{space 1}    1.51{col 46}{space 3}0.130{col 54}{space 4}-.0678329{col 67}{space 3} .5272693
{txt}{space 10}8  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2486958{col 26}{space 2} .1541661{col 37}{space 1}    1.61{col 46}{space 3}0.107{col 54}{space 4}-.0534642{col 67}{space 3} .5508559
{txt}{space 10}9  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2686237{col 26}{space 2} .1557664{col 37}{space 1}    1.72{col 46}{space 3}0.085{col 54}{space 4} -.036673{col 67}{space 3} .5739203
{txt}{space 9}10  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2894618{col 26}{space 2} .1565635{col 37}{space 1}    1.85{col 46}{space 3}0.064{col 54}{space 4}-.0173971{col 67}{space 3} .5963207
{txt}{space 9}11  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3111582{col 26}{space 2} .1565179{col 37}{space 1}    1.99{col 46}{space 3}0.047{col 54}{space 4} .0043889{col 67}{space 3} .6179276
{txt}{space 9}12  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3336488{col 26}{space 2} .1556044{col 37}{space 1}    2.14{col 46}{space 3}0.032{col 54}{space 4} .0286698{col 67}{space 3} .6386278
{txt}{space 9}13  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3568576{col 26}{space 2} .1538146{col 37}{space 1}    2.32{col 46}{space 3}0.020{col 54}{space 4} .0553866{col 67}{space 3} .6583286
{txt}{space 9}14  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3806977{col 26}{space 2} .1511576{col 37}{space 1}    2.52{col 46}{space 3}0.012{col 54}{space 4} .0844344{col 67}{space 3} .6769611
{txt}{space 9}15  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4050723{col 26}{space 2} .1476615{col 37}{space 1}    2.74{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4} .1156611{col 67}{space 3} .6944836
{txt}{space 9}16  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4298757{col 26}{space 2} .1433738{col 37}{space 1}    3.00{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .1488683{col 67}{space 3} .7108831
{txt}{space 9}17  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .454995{col 26}{space 2} .1383608{col 37}{space 1}    3.29{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .1838128{col 67}{space 3} .7261772
{txt}{space 9}18  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4803123{col 26}{space 2} .1327074{col 37}{space 1}    3.62{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2202106{col 67}{space 3}  .740414
{txt}{space 9}19  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5057063{col 26}{space 2} .1265149{col 37}{space 1}    4.00{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2577416{col 67}{space 3} .7536709
{txt}{space 9}20  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5310546{col 26}{space 2} .1198991{col 37}{space 1}    4.43{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2960567{col 67}{space 3} .7660524
{txt}{space 9}21  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5562359{col 26}{space 2} .1129871{col 37}{space 1}    4.92{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3347853{col 67}{space 3} .7776866
{txt}{space 9}22  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5811324{col 26}{space 2} .1059143{col 37}{space 1}    5.49{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3735443{col 67}{space 3} .7887205
{txt}{space 9}23  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6056313{col 26}{space 2} .0988198{col 37}{space 1}    6.13{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4119481{col 67}{space 3} .7993146
{txt}{space 9}24  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6296271{col 26}{space 2} .0918429{col 37}{space 1}    6.86{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4496184{col 67}{space 3} .8096358
{txt}{space 9}25  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6530229{col 26}{space 2} .0851175{col 37}{space 1}    7.67{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4861956{col 67}{space 3} .8198502
{txt}{space 9}26  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6757318{col 26}{space 2} .0787679{col 37}{space 1}    8.58{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5213496{col 67}{space 3}  .830114
{txt}{space 9}27  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .697678{col 26}{space 2} .0729021{col 37}{space 1}    9.57{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5547924{col 67}{space 3} .8405635
{txt}{space 9}28  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .718797{col 26}{space 2} .0676068{col 37}{space 1}   10.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5862901{col 67}{space 3}  .851304
{txt}{space 9}29  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7390363{col 26}{space 2} .0629406{col 37}{space 1}   11.74{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6156749{col 67}{space 3} .8623976
{txt}{space 9}30  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .758355{col 26}{space 2} .0589291{col 37}{space 1}   12.87{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6428561{col 67}{space 3} .8738539
{txt}{space 9}31  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7767238{col 26}{space 2}  .055562{col 37}{space 1}   13.98{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6678242{col 67}{space 3} .8856234
{txt}{space 9}32  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7941244{col 26}{space 2} .0527943{col 37}{space 1}   15.04{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6906494{col 67}{space 3} .8975993
{txt}{space 9}33  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8105487{col 26}{space 2} .0505515{col 37}{space 1}   16.03{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .7114696{col 67}{space 3} .9096278
{txt}{space 9}34  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8259979{col 26}{space 2} .0487394{col 37}{space 1}   16.95{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .7304704{col 67}{space 3} .9215254
{txt}{space 9}35  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8404819{col 26}{space 2} .0472555{col 37}{space 1}   17.79{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .7478628{col 67}{space 3} .9331011
{txt}{space 9}36  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .854018{col 26}{space 2} .0459998{col 37}{space 1}   18.57{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}   .76386{col 67}{space 3}  .944176
{txt}{space 9}37  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8666298{col 26}{space 2} .0448829{col 37}{space 1}   19.31{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .778661{col 67}{space 3} .9545986
{txt}{space 9}38  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8783466{col 26}{space 2} .0438308{col 37}{space 1}   20.04{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .7924399{col 67}{space 3} .9642533
{txt}{space 9}39  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8892018{col 26}{space 2} .0427867{col 37}{space 1}   20.78{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8053414{col 67}{space 3} .9730622
{txt}{space 9}40  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8992326{col 26}{space 2} .0417105{col 37}{space 1}   21.56{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8174815{col 67}{space 3} .9809836
{txt}{space 9}41  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9084785{col 26}{space 2} .0405766{col 37}{space 1}   22.39{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8289498{col 67}{space 3} .9880073
{txt}{space 9}42  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9169811{col 26}{space 2} .0393718{col 37}{space 1}   23.29{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8398139{col 67}{space 3} .9941484
{txt}{space 9}43  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .924783{col 26}{space 2}  .038092{col 37}{space 1}   24.28{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8501241{col 67}{space 3} .9994418
{txt}{space 9}44  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9319269{col 26}{space 2} .0367404{col 37}{space 1}   25.37{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8599171{col 67}{space 3} 1.003937
{txt}{space 9}45  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9384556{col 26}{space 2} .0353251{col 37}{space 1}   26.57{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8692197{col 67}{space 3} 1.007692
{txt}{space 9}46  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9444114{col 26}{space 2} .0338574{col 37}{space 1}   27.89{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .878052{col 67}{space 3} 1.010771
{txt}{space 9}47  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9498352{col 26}{space 2} .0323504{col 37}{space 1}   29.36{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8864296{col 67}{space 3} 1.013241
{txt}{space 9}48  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9547667{col 26}{space 2} .0308176{col 37}{space 1}   30.98{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8943654{col 67}{space 3} 1.015168
{txt}{space 9}49  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9592442{col 26}{space 2} .0292727{col 37}{space 1}   32.77{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9018708{col 67}{space 3} 1.016618
{txt}{space 9}50  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9633039{col 26}{space 2} .0277287{col 37}{space 1}   34.74{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9089566{col 67}{space 3} 1.017651
{txt}{space 9}51  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9669802{col 26}{space 2} .0261975{col 37}{space 1}   36.91{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9156341{col 67}{space 3} 1.018326
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}.                                         //Figure 5
>                 marginsplot,
>                                 recastci(rspike)
>                                 ciopts(lcolor(black) lwidth(*1.5)) 
>                                 plotopts(mcolor(black) msize(*.8) lcolor(black))
>                                 ysize(1)
>                                 xsize(1.25)
>                                 yscale(range(0 1) noextend titlegap(+2))
>                                 xscale(range(0 5) noextend titlegap(+2))
>                                 ylabel(0(.2)1, angle(horizontal) nogrid)
>                                 xlabel(0(1)5)
>                                 ytitle("Predicted probability (y=1) of sending troops to SOA", color(black))
>                                 xtitle("Similarity with US foreign policy")
>                                 title("")
>                                 legend(off)
>                                 plotregion(lcolor(white)) 
>                                 graphregion(color(white) lcolor(white) lalign(outside)) 
>                                 addplot(scatter yaxis lfpsimusa if modelobs==1, mlabposition(0) ms(none) mlabel(sym) mlabcolor(black))
>                                 ;
{res}
{text}{p 2 6 2}Variables that uniquely identify margins: lfpsimusa{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         graph export "$path\figure5.pdf", as(pdf) replace       
{txt}(file C:\Users\scharpf\Dropbox\SOAPaper\Submission\ISQ_FinalSubmission_03062020\Scharpf_ISQ_ReplicationFiles\\figure5.pdf written in PDF format)

{com}.                 
. 
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Figure 6. Marginal effects of threat types on the amount of foreign training demanded
.         ****************************************************************************
. 
.         *Running Model 3, Table 1
. 
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         //Saving model to local
>         local model3="zinb soaGEN 
>         i.lguerrillad i.lstrikesd i.lriotsd i.ldemond i.ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation
>         ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa i.carter i.reagan1 i.postcoldwar llnmilexppc) 
>         zip vce(cluster gwno)";
{txt}
{com}.         //Running model
>         quiet `model3';
{txt}
{com}.                 //Calculating and exporting marginal effects (95% CIs)
>         margins, dydx(lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward) 
>                          at((asobserved) _all) 
>                          level(95) 
>                          post;
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,061
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Predicted number of events, predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:1.lguerrillad 1.lstrikesd 1.lriotsd 1.ldemond 1.ldmidtoward}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 14}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 15}{c |}{col 27} Delta-method
{col 15}{c |}      dy/dx{col 27}   Std. Err.{col 39}      z{col 47}   P>|z|{col 55}     [95% Con{col 68}f. Interval]
{hline 14}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
1.lguerrillad {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} 52.71333{col 27}{space 2}  24.7712{col 38}{space 1}    2.13{col 47}{space 3}0.033{col 55}{space 4} 4.162659{col 68}{space 3}  101.264
{txt}{space 2}1.lstrikesd {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2}-7.356703{col 27}{space 2} 5.979103{col 38}{space 1}   -1.23{col 47}{space 3}0.219{col 55}{space 4}-19.07553{col 68}{space 3} 4.362124
{txt}{space 4}1.lriotsd {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2}-7.295878{col 27}{space 2} 8.347358{col 38}{space 1}   -0.87{col 47}{space 3}0.382{col 55}{space 4} -23.6564{col 68}{space 3} 9.064642
{txt}{space 4}1.ldemond {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} 4.494092{col 27}{space 2} 6.086698{col 38}{space 1}    0.74{col 47}{space 3}0.460{col 55}{space 4}-7.435618{col 68}{space 3}  16.4238
{txt}1.ldmidtoward {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} 1.090503{col 27}{space 2} 6.951743{col 38}{space 1}    0.16{col 47}{space 3}0.875{col 55}{space 4}-12.53466{col 68}{space 3} 14.71567
{txt}{hline 14}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 0 79}Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.{txt}{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}.         parmest, saving("$path\figure6_ci95.dta", replace) format(estimate min95 max95);
{txt}file C:\Users\scharpf\Dropbox\SOAPaper\Submission\ISQ_FinalSubmission_03062020\Scharpf_ISQ_ReplicationFiles\figure6_ci95.dta saved

{com}.                         //Running model again
>         quiet `model3';
{txt}
{com}.                 //Calculating and exporting marginal effects (90% CIs)
>         margins, dydx(lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward) 
>                          at((asobserved) _all) 
>                          level(90)
>                          post;
{res}
{txt}Average marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,061
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Predicted number of events, predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:1.lguerrillad 1.lstrikesd 1.lriotsd 1.ldemond 1.ldmidtoward}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 14}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 15}{c |}{col 27} Delta-method
{col 15}{c |}      dy/dx{col 27}   Std. Err.{col 39}      z{col 47}   P>|z|{col 55}     [90% Con{col 68}f. Interval]
{hline 14}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
1.lguerrillad {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} 52.71333{col 27}{space 2}  24.7712{col 38}{space 1}    2.13{col 47}{space 3}0.033{col 55}{space 4} 11.96832{col 68}{space 3} 93.45833
{txt}{space 2}1.lstrikesd {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2}-7.356703{col 27}{space 2} 5.979103{col 38}{space 1}   -1.23{col 47}{space 3}0.219{col 55}{space 4}-17.19145{col 68}{space 3} 2.478047
{txt}{space 4}1.lriotsd {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2}-7.295878{col 27}{space 2} 8.347358{col 38}{space 1}   -0.87{col 47}{space 3}0.382{col 55}{space 4}-21.02606{col 68}{space 3} 6.434303
{txt}{space 4}1.ldemond {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} 4.494092{col 27}{space 2} 6.086698{col 38}{space 1}    0.74{col 47}{space 3}0.460{col 55}{space 4}-5.517636{col 68}{space 3} 14.50582
{txt}1.ldmidtoward {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} 1.090503{col 27}{space 2} 6.951743{col 38}{space 1}    0.16{col 47}{space 3}0.875{col 55}{space 4} -10.3441{col 68}{space 3}  12.5251
{txt}{hline 14}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 0 79}Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.{txt}{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}.         parmest, saving("$path\figure6_ci90.dta", replace) level(90);
{txt}file C:\Users\scharpf\Dropbox\SOAPaper\Submission\ISQ_FinalSubmission_03062020\Scharpf_ISQ_ReplicationFiles\figure6_ci90.dta saved

{com}.         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Preserving data
.         preserve
{txt}
{com}.         
.         *Merging both output files
.         use "$path\figure6_ci95.dta", clear
{txt}
{com}.         merge 1:1 parm using "$path\figure6_ci90.dta", keepusing(max90 min90)
{res}
{txt}{col 5}Result{col 38}# of obs.
{col 5}{hline 41}
{col 5}not matched{col 30}{res}               0
{txt}{col 5}matched{col 30}{res}              10{txt}  (_merge==3)
{col 5}{hline 41}

{com}.         drop _merge
{txt}
{com}.         keep if regexm(parm,"^1")
{txt}(5 observations deleted)

{com}.         gen varname=regexs(2) if regexm(parm,"(^[0-9][.][l])([a-z]+)([d])")
{txt}
{com}.         
.         *Assigning values on y-axis
.         gen yvar=5 if varname=="guerrilla"
{txt}(4 missing values generated)

{com}.         replace yvar=4 if varname=="strikes"
{txt}(1 real change made)

{com}.         replace yvar=3 if varname=="demon"
{txt}(1 real change made)

{com}.         replace yvar=2 if varname=="riots"
{txt}(1 real change made)

{com}.         replace yvar=1 if varname=="dmidtowar"
{txt}(1 real change made)

{com}.         
.         *Figure 6
.         #delimit ;              
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         twoway (rspike min95 max95 yvar, //95% CI
>                                          horizontal lcolor(gs5) lwidth(thin)
>                         )
>                    (rspike min90 max90 yvar, //90% CI
>                                          horizontal lcolor(black) lwidth(*2.25)
>                     )
>                    (scatter yvar estimate,      
>                                          msymbol(o) msize(*1.25) mlwidth(*1) mcolor(black) mfcolor(black) mlalign(center))
>                                         ,
>                                         ysize(1)
>                                         xsize(1.25) 
>                                         yscale(range(.5 5.5) noline )
>                                         xscale(range(-40 140) noextend titlegap(*+10)) 
>                                         ylabel(1 "Conventional war" 2 "Riot" 3 "Demonstration" 4 "Strike" 5 "Guerrilla attack", 
>                                                         nogrid labsize(small) angle(0))
>                                         xlabel(-40(20)120, labsize(small)) 
>                                         ytitle("")
>                                         xtitle("Change in expected number of courses attended", size(small))
>                                         legend(order(3 "Marginal effect" 1 "95% CI" 2 "90% CI")  position(5) ring(0) bmargin(-1) col(1) row(5) 
>                                                         size(small) keygap(*0.5) symxsize(*0.5) symysize(*0.5) region(color(white)))
>                                         xline(0,lpattern(shortdash) lwidth(thin) lcolor(black))
>                                         graphregion(color(white) lcolor(white) lalign(outside));
{res}{txt}
{com}.         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         graph export "$path\figure6.pdf", as(pdf) replace
{txt}(file C:\Users\scharpf\Dropbox\SOAPaper\Submission\ISQ_FinalSubmission_03062020\Scharpf_ISQ_ReplicationFiles\\figure6.pdf written in PDF format)

{com}. 
.         *Restoring data
.         restore
{txt}
{com}. 
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Figure 7. Regime change and training patterns
.         ****************************************************************************    
.         
.         *Preserving data
.         preserve
{txt}
{com}.         
.         *Loading data for Figure 7
.         use "$path\data_figure7.dta", clear     
{txt}(Scharpf 2020 ISQ replication Figure 7)

{com}.         
.         *Figure 7
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         twoway (lpoly soaperc prewin if prewin!=., 
>                                                         bwidth(1) kernel(gaussian)
>                                                         lpattern(shortdash) lcolor(black) lwidth(*1.5))
>                    (lpoly soaperc postwin if postwin!=. & postwin>=1, 
>                                                         bwidth(1) kernel(gaussian)
>                                                         lpattern(solid) lcolor(black) lwidth(*1.5))
>                    ,
>                    xline(0, lcolor(gs12) lwidth(*5))
>                    yscale(range(0 20) noextend titlegap(*+10))
>                    xscale(range(-12 12) noextend titlegap(*+10)) 
>                    ylabel(0(5)20, angle(0) nogrid )                     
>                    xlabel(-12(6)12)
>                    xticks(-12(1)12, tlength(*.5))
>                    ytitle("Number of SOA courses in % (smoothed)", size(*1))
>                    xtitle("Months", size(*1))
>                    legend(off)
>                    graphregion(color(white) lcolor(white) lalign(outside))      
>                    text(20 -6 "Democracy", place(c))
>                    text(20 6 "Military regime", place(c))
>         ;
{res}{txt}
{com}.         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         graph export "$path\figure7.pdf", as(pdf) replace       
{txt}(file C:\Users\scharpf\Dropbox\SOAPaper\Submission\ISQ_FinalSubmission_03062020\Scharpf_ISQ_ReplicationFiles\\figure7.pdf written in PDF format)

{com}.         
.         *Restoring data
.         restore
{txt}
{com}.                 
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Figure 8. Leader change in Brazil and SOA attendance (monthly level)
.         ****************************************************************************    
. 
.         *Preserving data
.         preserve
{txt}
{com}.         
.         *Loading data for Figure 8
.         use "$path\data_figure8.dta", clear     
{txt}(Scharpf 2020 ISQ replication Figure 8)

{com}.         
.         *Figure 8
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         twoway (scatter soa_d time,
>                                                         msize(*.85) mcolor(black%30) mlwidth(none) mlalign(outside))
>                    (rspike llow lhigh time,
>                                                         lcolor(black)  
>                                                         lwidth(*.75)
>                                                         lpattern(shortdash)
>                                                         )                                                               
>                    (lpoly soa_d time, 
>                                                         lpattern(solid) lcolor(black) lwidth(*1.5)  
>                                                         bwidth(1) kernel(gaussian))                     
>                    , 
>                    ttext(1.1 19 "Castelo Branco", placement(c) size(*1) color(black))
>                    ttext(1.1 51 "Costa e Silva", placement(c) size(*1) color(black))                       
>                    ttext(1.1 92 "Médici", placement(c) size(*1) color(black))  
>                    ttext(1.1 149 "Geisel", placement(c) size(*1) color(black))
>                    ttext(1.1 216 "Figueiredo", placement(c) size(*1) color(black))
>                    xsize(2.5)
>                    ysize(1)             
>                    yscale(range(0 1) noextend titlegap(*+5))
>                    xscale(range() noextend titlegap(*+10)) 
>                    ylabel(0 "No" 1 "Yes", angle(0) nogrid  labsize(*1.1))                       
>                    xlabel(5.5 "1964" 16 "1965" 28 "1966" 40 "1967" 52 "1968" 64 "1969" 76 "1970" 
>                                   88 "1971" 100 "1972" 112 "1973" 124 "1974" 136 "1975" 148 "1976"
>                                   160 "1977" 172 "1978" 184 "1979" 196 "1980" 208 "1981" 220 "1982" 
>                                   232 "1983" 244 "1984" 
>                    , noticks labgap(*2.75) labsize(*1.1))        
>                    xticks(1 10(12)250)
>                    ytitle("Sending troops to SOA", size(*1.1))
>                    xtitle("", size(*.7))
>                    legend(off)
>                    graphregion(color(white) lcolor(white) lalign(outside))                 
>         ;
{res}{txt}
{com}.         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         graph export "$path\figure8.pdf", as(pdf) replace
{txt}(file C:\Users\scharpf\Dropbox\SOAPaper\Submission\ISQ_FinalSubmission_03062020\Scharpf_ISQ_ReplicationFiles\\figure8.pdf written in PDF format)

{com}.         
.         *Restoring data 
.         restore 
{txt}
{com}.         
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Figure 9. Foreign training and military effectiveness
.         ****************************************************************************            
.         
.         *Calculating and exporting marginal effects
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.                         //Saving model 6 to local
>         local modelm6="logit coin
>         llnsoaCOIN llnsoaNOCOINWARS
>         i.lguerrillad i.lstrikesd i.lriotsd i.ldemond i.ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation lfpsimusa llntradedepusa i.carter i.reagan1 i.postcoldwar
>         ctime ctime2 ctime3
>         ,vce(cluster gwno)";
{txt}
{com}.         //Running model 6
>         quiet `modelm6';
{txt}
{com}.                         *Assessing empirical range
>         sum llnsoaCOIN llnsoaNOCOINWARS if e(sample);
.                 //Re-running model 6
>         quiet `modelm6';
{txt}
{com}.                 //Calculating marginal effects for COIN warfare
>         margins, 
>                 at((asobserved) _all llnsoaNOCOINWARS=0 llnsoaCOIN=(0(.1)6))
>                 expression(predict(pr)) 
>                 post;
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,061
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(coin), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 9}.1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:3._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 9}.2}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:4._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 9}.3}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:5._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 9}.4}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:6._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 9}.5}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:7._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 9}.6}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:8._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 9}.7}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:9._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 9}.8}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:10._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 9}.9}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:11._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:12._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}1.1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:13._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}1.2}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:14._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}1.3}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:15._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}1.4}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:16._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}1.5}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:17._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}1.6}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:18._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}1.7}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:19._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}1.8}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:20._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}1.9}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:21._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}2}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:22._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}2.1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:23._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}2.2}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:24._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}2.3}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:25._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}2.4}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:26._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}2.5}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:27._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}2.6}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:28._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}2.7}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:29._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}2.8}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:30._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}2.9}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:31._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}3}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:32._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}3.1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:33._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}3.2}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:34._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}3.3}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:35._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}3.4}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:36._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}3.5}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:37._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}3.6}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:38._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}3.7}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:39._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}3.8}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:40._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}3.9}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:41._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}4}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:42._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}4.1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:43._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}4.2}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:44._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}4.3}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:45._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}4.4}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:46._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}4.5}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:47._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}4.6}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:48._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}4.7}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:49._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}4.8}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:50._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}4.9}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:51._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}5}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:52._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}5.1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:53._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}5.2}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:54._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}5.3}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:55._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}5.4}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:56._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}5.5}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:57._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}5.6}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:58._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}5.7}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:59._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}5.8}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:60._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 8}5.9}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:61._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}6}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
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{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1061318{col 26}{space 2} .0071324{col 37}{space 1}   14.88{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0921526{col 67}{space 3} .1201111
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1052225{col 26}{space 2} .0072165{col 37}{space 1}   14.58{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0910786{col 67}{space 3} .1193665
{txt}{space 10}4  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1043038{col 26}{space 2} .0073077{col 37}{space 1}   14.27{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .089981{col 67}{space 3} .1186267
{txt}{space 10}5  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1033756{col 26}{space 2} .0074061{col 37}{space 1}   13.96{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0888599{col 67}{space 3} .1178913
{txt}{space 10}6  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1024377{col 26}{space 2} .0075115{col 37}{space 1}   13.64{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0877154{col 67}{space 3}   .11716
{txt}{space 10}7  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1014901{col 26}{space 2} .0076238{col 37}{space 1}   13.31{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0865477{col 67}{space 3} .1164326
{txt}{space 10}8  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1005327{col 26}{space 2}  .007743{col 37}{space 1}   12.98{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0853568{col 67}{space 3} .1157086
{txt}{space 10}9  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0995654{col 26}{space 2} .0078688{col 37}{space 1}   12.65{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0841429{col 67}{space 3} .1149879
{txt}{space 9}10  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0985883{col 26}{space 2} .0080011{col 37}{space 1}   12.32{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0829063{col 67}{space 3} .1142702
{txt}{space 9}11  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0976012{col 26}{space 2} .0081399{col 37}{space 1}   11.99{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0816473{col 67}{space 3} .1135551
{txt}{space 9}12  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0966042{col 26}{space 2} .0082849{col 37}{space 1}   11.66{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0803661{col 67}{space 3} .1128423
{txt}{space 9}13  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0955973{col 26}{space 2}  .008436{col 37}{space 1}   11.33{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .079063{col 67}{space 3} .1121316
{txt}{space 9}14  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0945806{col 26}{space 2}  .008593{col 37}{space 1}   11.01{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0777386{col 67}{space 3} .1114226
{txt}{space 9}15  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0935541{col 26}{space 2} .0087557{col 37}{space 1}   10.68{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0763931{col 67}{space 3}  .110715
{txt}{space 9}16  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0925178{col 26}{space 2}  .008924{col 37}{space 1}   10.37{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0750272{col 67}{space 3} .1100085
{txt}{space 9}17  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .091472{col 26}{space 2} .0090975{col 37}{space 1}   10.05{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0736413{col 67}{space 3} .1093027
{txt}{space 9}18  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0904167{col 26}{space 2}  .009276{col 37}{space 1}    9.75{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0722361{col 67}{space 3} .1085973
{txt}{space 9}19  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .089352{col 26}{space 2} .0094593{col 37}{space 1}    9.45{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0708122{col 67}{space 3} .1078919
{txt}{space 9}20  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0882782{col 26}{space 2} .0096471{col 37}{space 1}    9.15{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0693702{col 67}{space 3} .1071862
{txt}{space 9}21  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0871954{col 26}{space 2} .0098391{col 37}{space 1}    8.86{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0679111{col 67}{space 3} .1064797
{txt}{space 9}22  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0861038{col 26}{space 2}  .010035{col 37}{space 1}    8.58{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0664355{col 67}{space 3}  .105772
{txt}{space 9}23  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0850036{col 26}{space 2} .0102345{col 37}{space 1}    8.31{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0649443{col 67}{space 3} .1050629
{txt}{space 9}24  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0838951{col 26}{space 2} .0104372{col 37}{space 1}    8.04{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0634386{col 67}{space 3} .1043517
{txt}{space 9}25  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0827787{col 26}{space 2} .0106428{col 37}{space 1}    7.78{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0619192{col 67}{space 3} .1036381
{txt}{space 9}26  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0816545{col 26}{space 2} .0108508{col 37}{space 1}    7.53{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0603873{col 67}{space 3} .1029217
{txt}{space 9}27  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0805229{col 26}{space 2} .0110609{col 37}{space 1}    7.28{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0588438{col 67}{space 3} .1022019
{txt}{space 9}28  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0793842{col 26}{space 2} .0112728{col 37}{space 1}    7.04{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0572901{col 67}{space 3} .1014784
{txt}{space 9}29  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0782389{col 26}{space 2} .0114858{col 37}{space 1}    6.81{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0557271{col 67}{space 3} .1007507
{txt}{space 9}30  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0770873{col 26}{space 2} .0116997{col 37}{space 1}    6.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0541563{col 67}{space 3} .1000182
{txt}{space 9}31  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0759298{col 26}{space 2} .0119139{col 37}{space 1}    6.37{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0525789{col 67}{space 3} .0992806
{txt}{space 9}32  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0747668{col 26}{space 2}  .012128{col 37}{space 1}    6.16{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0509963{col 67}{space 3} .0985373
{txt}{space 9}33  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0735988{col 26}{space 2} .0123416{col 37}{space 1}    5.96{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0494098{col 67}{space 3} .0977879
{txt}{space 9}34  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0724263{col 26}{space 2}  .012554{col 37}{space 1}    5.77{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0478209{col 67}{space 3} .0970318
{txt}{space 9}35  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0712498{col 26}{space 2}  .012765{col 37}{space 1}    5.58{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .046231{col 67}{space 3} .0962687
{txt}{space 9}36  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0700698{col 26}{space 2} .0129738{col 37}{space 1}    5.40{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0446416{col 67}{space 3}  .095498
{txt}{space 9}37  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0688868{col 26}{space 2} .0131801{col 37}{space 1}    5.23{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0430543{col 67}{space 3} .0947193
{txt}{space 9}38  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0677014{col 26}{space 2} .0133833{col 37}{space 1}    5.06{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0414705{col 67}{space 3} .0939322
{txt}{space 9}39  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .066514{col 26}{space 2}  .013583{col 37}{space 1}    4.90{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0398918{col 67}{space 3} .0931363
{txt}{space 9}40  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0653254{col 26}{space 2} .0137786{col 37}{space 1}    4.74{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0383199{col 67}{space 3}  .092331
{txt}{space 9}41  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0641362{col 26}{space 2} .0139696{col 37}{space 1}    4.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0367562{col 67}{space 3} .0915161
{txt}{space 9}42  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0629468{col 26}{space 2} .0141556{col 37}{space 1}    4.45{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0352024{col 67}{space 3} .0906911
{txt}{space 9}43  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0617579{col 26}{space 2} .0143359{col 37}{space 1}    4.31{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}   .03366{col 67}{space 3} .0898558
{txt}{space 9}44  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0605702{col 26}{space 2} .0145103{col 37}{space 1}    4.17{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0321306{col 67}{space 3} .0890098
{txt}{space 9}45  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0593842{col 26}{space 2} .0146781{col 37}{space 1}    4.05{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0306158{col 67}{space 3} .0881527
{txt}{space 9}46  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0582007{col 26}{space 2} .0148389{col 37}{space 1}    3.92{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .029117{col 67}{space 3} .0872844
{txt}{space 9}47  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0570203{col 26}{space 2} .0149923{col 37}{space 1}    3.80{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0276359{col 67}{space 3} .0864047
{txt}{space 9}48  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0558435{col 26}{space 2} .0151379{col 37}{space 1}    3.69{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0261738{col 67}{space 3} .0855133
{txt}{space 9}49  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0546711{col 26}{space 2} .0152752{col 37}{space 1}    3.58{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0247322{col 67}{space 3} .0846101
{txt}{space 9}50  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0535037{col 26}{space 2} .0154039{col 37}{space 1}    3.47{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0233126{col 67}{space 3} .0836949
{txt}{space 9}51  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .052342{col 26}{space 2} .0155236{col 37}{space 1}    3.37{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0219162{col 67}{space 3} .0827678
{txt}{space 9}52  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0511865{col 26}{space 2}  .015634{col 37}{space 1}    3.27{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0205444{col 67}{space 3} .0818287
{txt}{space 9}53  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .050038{col 26}{space 2} .0157347{col 37}{space 1}    3.18{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0191984{col 67}{space 3} .0808775
{txt}{space 9}54  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .048897{col 26}{space 2} .0158255{col 37}{space 1}    3.09{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .0178795{col 67}{space 3} .0799144
{txt}{space 9}55  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0477641{col 26}{space 2} .0159061{col 37}{space 1}    3.00{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .0165887{col 67}{space 3} .0789396
{txt}{space 9}56  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   .04664{col 26}{space 2} .0159763{col 37}{space 1}    2.92{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4} .0153271{col 67}{space 3}  .077953
{txt}{space 9}57  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0455253{col 26}{space 2} .0160358{col 37}{space 1}    2.84{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} .0140957{col 67}{space 3} .0769549
{txt}{space 9}58  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0444205{col 26}{space 2} .0160845{col 37}{space 1}    2.76{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4} .0128954{col 67}{space 3} .0759456
{txt}{space 9}59  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0433262{col 26}{space 2} .0161223{col 37}{space 1}    2.69{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4} .0117271{col 67}{space 3} .0749254
{txt}{space 9}60  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .042243{col 26}{space 2} .0161491{col 37}{space 1}    2.62{col 46}{space 3}0.009{col 54}{space 4} .0105915{col 67}{space 3} .0738946
{txt}{space 9}61  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0411714{col 26}{space 2} .0161646{col 37}{space 1}    2.55{col 46}{space 3}0.011{col 54}{space 4} .0094893{col 67}{space 3} .0728535
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}.         parmest, saving("$path\figure9_coin.dta", replace) level(90 95) idstr("llnsoaCOIN");
{txt}file C:\Users\scharpf\Dropbox\SOAPaper\Submission\ISQ_FinalSubmission_03062020\Scharpf_ISQ_ReplicationFiles\figure9_coin.dta saved

{com}.                         //Re-running model 6
>         quiet `modelm6';
{txt}
{com}.                 //Calculating marginal effects for non-COIN warfare
>         margins, 
>                 at((asobserved) _all llnsoaCOIN=0 llnsoaNOCOINWARS=(0(.1)6))
>                 expression(predict(pr)) 
>                 post;
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,061
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(coin), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}.1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:3._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}.2}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:4._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}.3}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:5._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}.4}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:6._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}.5}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:7._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}.6}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:8._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}.7}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:9._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}.8}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:10._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}.9}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:11._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:12._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:llnsoaNOCO~S}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}1.1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:13._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:llnsoaCOIN}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
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{txt}{space 9}16  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1220435{col 26}{space 2} .0049387{col 37}{space 1}   24.71{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1123639{col 67}{space 3} .1317232
{txt}{space 9}17  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1229806{col 26}{space 2} .0049002{col 37}{space 1}   25.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1133764{col 67}{space 3} .1325848
{txt}{space 9}18  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .123914{col 26}{space 2} .0048762{col 37}{space 1}   25.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1143568{col 67}{space 3} .1334712
{txt}{space 9}19  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1248446{col 26}{space 2}  .004867{col 37}{space 1}   25.65{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1153055{col 67}{space 3} .1343837
{txt}{space 9}20  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1257734{col 26}{space 2} .0048729{col 37}{space 1}   25.81{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1162226{col 67}{space 3} .1353241
{txt}{space 9}21  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1267013{col 26}{space 2} .0048943{col 37}{space 1}   25.89{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1171087{col 67}{space 3} .1362939
{txt}{space 9}22  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1276295{col 26}{space 2} .0049313{col 37}{space 1}   25.88{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1179643{col 67}{space 3} .1372946
{txt}{space 9}23  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1285589{col 26}{space 2} .0049842{col 37}{space 1}   25.79{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}   .11879{col 67}{space 3} .1383278
{txt}{space 9}24  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1294906{col 26}{space 2} .0050533{col 37}{space 1}   25.62{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1195863{col 67}{space 3}  .139395
{txt}{space 9}25  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1304258{col 26}{space 2} .0051388{col 37}{space 1}   25.38{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .120354{col 67}{space 3} .1404977
{txt}{space 9}26  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1313657{col 26}{space 2} .0052408{col 37}{space 1}   25.07{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1210939{col 67}{space 3} .1416374
{txt}{space 9}27  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1323113{col 26}{space 2} .0053595{col 37}{space 1}   24.69{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1218069{col 67}{space 3} .1428158
{txt}{space 9}28  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .133264{col 26}{space 2} .0054951{col 37}{space 1}   24.25{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1224938{col 67}{space 3} .1440342
{txt}{space 9}29  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .134225{col 26}{space 2} .0056477{col 37}{space 1}   23.77{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1231556{col 67}{space 3} .1452943
{txt}{space 9}30  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1351955{col 26}{space 2} .0058176{col 37}{space 1}   23.24{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1237932{col 67}{space 3} .1465978
{txt}{space 9}31  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1361769{col 26}{space 2} .0060049{col 37}{space 1}   22.68{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1244075{col 67}{space 3} .1479462
{txt}{space 9}32  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1371704{col 26}{space 2} .0062098{col 37}{space 1}   22.09{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1249995{col 67}{space 3} .1493413
{txt}{space 9}33  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1381775{col 26}{space 2} .0064325{col 37}{space 1}   21.48{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}   .12557{col 67}{space 3}  .150785
{txt}{space 9}34  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1391995{col 26}{space 2} .0066734{col 37}{space 1}   20.86{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}   .12612{col 67}{space 3}  .152279
{txt}{space 9}35  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1402378{col 26}{space 2} .0069326{col 37}{space 1}   20.23{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1266502{col 67}{space 3} .1538254
{txt}{space 9}36  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1412938{col 26}{space 2} .0072106{col 37}{space 1}   19.60{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1271613{col 67}{space 3} .1554263
{txt}{space 9}37  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .142369{col 26}{space 2} .0075077{col 37}{space 1}   18.96{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1276542{col 67}{space 3} .1570837
{txt}{space 9}38  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1434647{col 26}{space 2} .0078243{col 37}{space 1}   18.34{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1281295{col 67}{space 3}    .1588
{txt}{space 9}39  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1445826{col 26}{space 2} .0081608{col 37}{space 1}   17.72{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1285877{col 67}{space 3} .1605774
{txt}{space 9}40  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .145724{col 26}{space 2} .0085178{col 37}{space 1}   17.11{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1290294{col 67}{space 3} .1624185
{txt}{space 9}41  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1468904{col 26}{space 2} .0088957{col 37}{space 1}   16.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1294551{col 67}{space 3} .1643256
{txt}{space 9}42  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1480834{col 26}{space 2} .0092951{col 37}{space 1}   15.93{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1298653{col 67}{space 3} .1663014
{txt}{space 9}43  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1493044{col 26}{space 2} .0097166{col 37}{space 1}   15.37{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1302602{col 67}{space 3} .1683485
{txt}{space 9}44  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .150555{col 26}{space 2} .0101607{col 37}{space 1}   14.82{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1306403{col 67}{space 3} .1704697
{txt}{space 9}45  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1518367{col 26}{space 2} .0106282{col 37}{space 1}   14.29{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1310059{col 67}{space 3} .1726676
{txt}{space 9}46  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1531511{col 26}{space 2} .0111196{col 37}{space 1}   13.77{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1313571{col 67}{space 3}  .174945
{txt}{space 9}47  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1544996{col 26}{space 2} .0116355{col 37}{space 1}   13.28{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1316943{col 67}{space 3} .1773048
{txt}{space 9}48  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1558838{col 26}{space 2} .0121768{col 37}{space 1}   12.80{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1320177{col 67}{space 3} .1797499
{txt}{space 9}49  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1573052{col 26}{space 2}  .012744{col 37}{space 1}   12.34{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1323274{col 67}{space 3}  .182283
{txt}{space 9}50  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1587653{col 26}{space 2} .0133379{col 37}{space 1}   11.90{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1326236{col 67}{space 3} .1849071
{txt}{space 9}51  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1602657{col 26}{space 2} .0139591{col 37}{space 1}   11.48{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1329064{col 67}{space 3}  .187625
{txt}{space 9}52  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1618078{col 26}{space 2} .0146083{col 37}{space 1}   11.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1331761{col 67}{space 3} .1904396
{txt}{space 9}53  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1633932{col 26}{space 2} .0152862{col 37}{space 1}   10.69{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1334328{col 67}{space 3} .1933536
{txt}{space 9}54  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1650232{col 26}{space 2} .0159935{col 37}{space 1}   10.32{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1336766{col 67}{space 3} .1963698
{txt}{space 9}55  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1666994{col 26}{space 2} .0167308{col 37}{space 1}    9.96{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1339077{col 67}{space 3} .1994911
{txt}{space 9}56  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1684231{col 26}{space 2} .0174987{col 37}{space 1}    9.62{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1341263{col 67}{space 3} .2027199
{txt}{space 9}57  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1701958{col 26}{space 2} .0182979{col 37}{space 1}    9.30{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1343326{col 67}{space 3} .2060591
{txt}{space 9}58  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1720189{col 26}{space 2}  .019129{col 37}{space 1}    8.99{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1345268{col 67}{space 3}  .209511
{txt}{space 9}59  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1738937{col 26}{space 2} .0199924{col 37}{space 1}    8.70{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1347092{col 67}{space 3} .2130782
{txt}{space 9}60  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1758215{col 26}{space 2} .0208889{col 37}{space 1}    8.42{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1348801{col 67}{space 3} .2167629
{txt}{space 9}61  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1778036{col 26}{space 2} .0218187{col 37}{space 1}    8.15{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1350397{col 67}{space 3} .2205675
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}.         parmest, saving("$path\figure9_noncoin.dta", replace) level(90 95) idstr("llnsoaNOCOINWARS");
{txt}file C:\Users\scharpf\Dropbox\SOAPaper\Submission\ISQ_FinalSubmission_03062020\Scharpf_ISQ_ReplicationFiles\figure9_noncoin.dta saved

{com}.                                         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Preserving data
.         preserve
{txt}
{com}.         
.         *Appending exported datasets with marginal effects 
.         clear
{txt}
{com}.         use "$path\figure9_coin.dta"
{txt}
{com}.         append using "$path\figure9_noncoin.dta"
{txt}{p 0 7 2}
(note: variable
idstr was 
str10, now str16 to accommodate using data's values)
{p_end}

{com}. 
.         *Reshaping data
.         gen id="_coin" if regexm(idstr, "soaCOIN")
{txt}(61 missing values generated)

{com}.         replace id="_nocoin" if regexm(idstr, "soaNOCOINWARS") & id==""
{txt}variable {bf}id{sf} was {bf}{res}str5{sf}{txt} now {bf}{res}str7{sf}
{txt}(61 real changes made)

{com}.         
.         gen panel=regexs(0) if regexm(parm,"^[0-9]+")
{txt}
{com}.         destring panel, replace
{txt}panel: all characters numeric; {res}replaced {txt}as {res}byte
{txt}
{com}.         keep estimate min* max* panel id
{txt}
{com}.         reshape wide estimate min* max*, i(panel) j(id) string
{txt}(note: j = _coin _nocoin)

Data{col 36}long{col 43}->{col 48}wide
{hline 77}
Number of obs.                 {res}     122   {txt}->{res}      61
{txt}Number of variables            {res}       7   {txt}->{res}      11
{txt}j variable (2 values)                {res}id   {txt}->   (dropped)
xij variables:
                               {res}estimate   {txt}->   {res}estimate_coin estimate_nocoin
                                  min90   {txt}->   {res}min90_coin min90_nocoin
                                  min95   {txt}->   {res}min95_coin min95_nocoin
                                  max90   {txt}->   {res}max90_coin max90_nocoin
                                  max95   {txt}->   {res}max95_coin max95_nocoin
{txt}{hline 77}

{com}.         
.         *Generating x-axis
.         gen xaxis=(_n-1)*0.1 in 1/61
{txt}
{com}.         gen xaxis_coin=xaxis-0.02
{txt}
{com}.         gen xaxis_nocoin=xaxis+0.02
{txt}
{com}.         
.         *Figure 9       
.         #delimit ;              
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         twoway line estimate_nocoin xaxis_nocoin,
>                                          lcolor(gs8) lwidth(*.9)                                                                 
>                   || rspike min95_nocoin max95_nocoin xaxis_nocoin,
>                                          lcolor(gs8) lwidth(*1.15)
>                   || scatter estimate_nocoin xaxis_nocoin,
>                                          msymbol(o) msize(*.65) mfcolor(white) mlcolor(gs8) mlwidth(*.8) mlalign(outside)                                
>                   || line estimate_coin xaxis_coin,
>                                          lcolor(black) lwidth(*.9)                                               
>                   || rspike min95_coin max95_coin xaxis_coin,
>                                          lcolor(black) lwidth(*1.15)                             
>                   || scatter estimate_coin xaxis_coin,
>                                          mcolor(black) msize(*.65) lcolor(black)                                
>                                  xsize(1.2) ysize(1) 
>                                  xscale(range() noextend titlegap(+2))
>                                  yscale(range() noextend titlegap(+2))
>                      ylabel( , valuelabel nogrid angle(0) labsize(*.85)) 
>                                  xlabel(0(1)6, angle(horizontal) nogrid labsize(*.85))
>                                  xtitle("Number of SOA courses attended (logged)", size(*.85))
>                                  ytitle("Predicted probability (y=1) of full insurgent war", size(*.85))
>                                  legend(order(
>                                                 3 "Conventional warfare courses"                                 
>                                                 6 "Counterinsurgency courses" 
>                                                 )                                       
>                                         col(1)
>                                         size(*.75)                      
>                                         keygap(*0.5) 
>                                         symxsize(*0.35) 
>                                         symysize(*0.5) 
>                                         region(color(white))
>                                         position(7) ring(0) bmargin(2 0 5 0)
>                                         )
>                         plotregion(lcolor(white)) 
>                         graphregion(color(white) lcolor(white) lalign(outside)) 
>                                  ;
{res}{txt}
{com}.         #delimit cr             
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         graph export "$path\figure9.pdf", as(pdf) replace               
{txt}(file C:\Users\scharpf\Dropbox\SOAPaper\Submission\ISQ_FinalSubmission_03062020\Scharpf_ISQ_ReplicationFiles\\figure9.pdf written in PDF format)

{com}.         
.         *Restoring data
.         restore
{txt}
{com}.         
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Figure 10. Recipients of US-sponsored military training, 2017
.         ****************************************************************************    
. 
.         *See Do-File "replication_figure10.do"  
.         
. 
. 
. ********************************************************************************
. *
. * Results in Supporting Information
. *
. ********************************************************************************
. 
. ********************************************************************************
. *SI.1    Summary statistics
. ********************************************************************************
. 
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Table SI.1.1. Summary statistics
.         ****************************************************************************
. 
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         sum
>                 soaGEN soaENLIST soaOFFIC 
>                 lfpsimusa 
>                 llnustroops 
>                 mildict         
>                 lguerrillad 
>                 lguerrilla
>                 lcoin lbkirregular 
>                 lstrikesd 
>                 lstrikes 
>                 ldemond
>                 ldemon
>                 lriotsd 
>                 lriots
>                 ldmidtoward
>                 lmidtoward              
>                 llntradedepusa 
>                 carter reagan1 llnmilexppc postcoldwar
>                 llntroopqual llninflation
>                 coindoc 
>                 soausa 
>                 actmilcabshare
>                 lactmilcabshare 
>                 yrscoup 
>                 yrscoup2 
>                 yrscoup3
>                 ldemoc
>                 ;

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 6}soaGEN {c |}{res}      1,586    37.98802    78.53448          0        786
{txt}{space 3}soaENLIST {c |}{res}      1,586    12.86129    35.80099          0        564
{txt}{space 4}soaOFFIC {c |}{res}      1,586     24.2913    57.07173          0        530
{txt}{space 3}lfpsimusa {c |}{res}      1,545    2.783551    1.073123          0      4.886
{txt}{space 1}llnustroops {c |}{res}      1,573    3.110373    2.110407          0   9.769728
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 5}mildict {c |}{res}      1,586    .2105927    .4078582          0          1
{txt}{space 1}lguerrillad {c |}{res}      1,540    .1785714    .3831175          0          1
{txt}{space 2}lguerrilla {c |}{res}      1,540    .2714286    .8159166          0         14
{txt}{space 7}lcoin {c |}{res}      1,573    .0902734    .2866641          0          1
{txt}lbkirregular {c |}{res}      1,573    .0610299    .2394612          0          1
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 3}lstrikesd {c |}{res}      1,540    .1701299    .3758689          0          1
{txt}{space 4}lstrikes {c |}{res}      1,540    .2662338    .7608194          0         13
{txt}{space 5}ldemond {c |}{res}      1,540    .2649351     .441442          0          1
{txt}{space 6}ldemon {c |}{res}      1,540    .5487013     1.23711          0         15
{txt}{space 5}lriotsd {c |}{res}      1,540    .2441558    .4297251          0          1
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 6}lriots {c |}{res}      1,540    .4642857    1.123624          0         15
{txt}{space 1}ldmidtoward {c |}{res}      1,573    .2015257    .4012673          0          1
{txt}{space 2}lmidtoward {c |}{res}      1,573    .2581055    .5747049          0          4
{txt}llntradede~a {c |}{res}      1,374    11.03134    14.67745          0   165.4792
{txt}{space 6}carter {c |}{res}      1,586    .0725095    .2594114          0          1
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 5}reagan1 {c |}{res}      1,586    .0819672    .2744013          0          1
{txt}{space 1}llnmilexppc {c |}{res}      1,370    2.600655    1.258913          0   5.752743
{txt}{space 1}postcoldwar {c |}{res}      1,586    .3121059    .4634989          0          1
{txt}llntroopqual {c |}{res}      1,261    8.208365     1.22379          0   11.48119
{txt}llninflation {c |}{res}      1,415    3.865758     .645684   .0953102   9.521167
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 5}coindoc {c |}{res}      1,586     .498739    .5001561          0          1
{txt}{space 6}soausa {c |}{res}      1,586    .4161412     .493073          0          1
{txt}actmilcabs~e {c |}{res}        954    .1186295    .1873689          0          1
{txt}lactmilcab~e {c |}{res}        930     .121092    .1890226          0          1
{txt}{space 5}yrscoup {c |}{res}      1,506    13.56242    12.12654          1         55
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 4}yrscoup2 {c |}{res}      1,506    330.8944    525.6801          1       3025
{txt}{space 4}yrscoup3 {c |}{res}      1,506    10.50025    23.60593       .001    166.375
{txt}{space 6}ldemoc {c |}{res}      1,553    .6168706     .486306          0          1
{txt}
{com}.         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Table SI.1.2. Summary statistics on suppressing insurgent wars
.         ****************************************************************************    
. 
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         sum     
>                 coin
>                 bkirregular
>                 llnsoaGEN
>                 llnsoaWARS
>                 llnsoaNOCOINWARS
>                 llnsoaCOIN
>                 lSOAratio_coingen
>                 lguerrillad 
>                 lstrikesd 
>                 ldemond
>                 lriotsd 
>                 ldmidtoward
>                 lfpsimusa
>                 llntradedepusa 
>                 carter 
>                 reagan1  
>                 postcoldwar
>                 llntroopqual 
>                 llninflation                            
>                 ctime 
>                 ctime2 
>                 ctime3
>                 irrtime 
>                 irrtime2 
>                 irrtime3        
>                 ;

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 8}coin {c |}{res}      1,586    .0901639    .2865068          0          1
{txt}{space 1}bkirregular {c |}{res}      1,586    .0611602    .2396994          0          1
{txt}{space 3}llnsoaGEN {c |}{res}      1,553    1.880377    2.008353          0   6.668228
{txt}{space 2}llnsoaWARS {c |}{res}      1,553    1.595547    1.875928          0   6.668228
{txt}llnsoaNOCO~S {c |}{res}      1,553    1.757067    1.924515          0   6.666957
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 2}llnsoaCOIN {c |}{res}      1,553    .6933531    1.176322          0   6.120297
{txt}lSOAratio_~n {c |}{res}        839    .1363908    .2043764          0          1
{txt}{space 1}lguerrillad {c |}{res}      1,540    .1785714    .3831175          0          1
{txt}{space 3}lstrikesd {c |}{res}      1,540    .1701299    .3758689          0          1
{txt}{space 5}ldemond {c |}{res}      1,540    .2649351     .441442          0          1
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 5}lriotsd {c |}{res}      1,540    .2441558    .4297251          0          1
{txt}{space 1}ldmidtoward {c |}{res}      1,573    .2015257    .4012673          0          1
{txt}{space 3}lfpsimusa {c |}{res}      1,545    2.783551    1.073123          0      4.886
{txt}llntradede~a {c |}{res}      1,374    11.03134    14.67745          0   165.4792
{txt}{space 6}carter {c |}{res}      1,586    .0725095    .2594114          0          1
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 5}reagan1 {c |}{res}      1,586    .0819672    .2744013          0          1
{txt}{space 1}postcoldwar {c |}{res}      1,586    .3121059    .4634989          0          1
{txt}llntroopqual {c |}{res}      1,261    8.208365     1.22379          0   11.48119
{txt}llninflation {c |}{res}      1,415    3.865758     .645684   .0953102   9.521167
{txt}{space 7}ctime {c |}{res}      1,586    20.65322    15.96406          1         59
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 6}ctime2 {c |}{res}      1,586    681.2459    853.7561          1       3481
{txt}{space 6}ctime3 {c |}{res}      1,586    27.06594    44.94699       .001    205.379
{txt}{space 5}irrtime {c |}{res}      1,586    22.30769    16.34903          1         59
{txt}{space 4}irrtime2 {c |}{res}      1,586    764.7554      906.07          1       3481
{txt}{space 4}irrtime3 {c |}{res}      1,586    31.23803    48.61714       .001    205.379
{txt}
{com}.         #delimit cr             
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Table SI.1.3. Summary statistics on course selection.
.         ****************************************************************************    
.         
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         sum             
>                 soaNOCOINWARS 
>                 soaCOIN         
>                 lfpsimusa 
>                 lguerrilladout 
>                 lbkirregular 
>                 lstrikesd 
>                 lriotsd 
>                 ldemond 
>                 ldmidtoward 
>                 llntradedepusa 
>                 carter reagan1 llnmilexppc postcoldwar
>                 llntroopqual 
>                 llninflation    
>                 ;

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
soaNOCOINW~S {c |}{res}      1,586    31.58512    68.82032          0        785
{txt}{space 5}soaCOIN {c |}{res}      1,586    5.404161    22.44292          0        454
{txt}{space 3}lfpsimusa {c |}{res}      1,545    2.783551    1.073123          0      4.886
{txt}lguerrilla~t {c |}{res}      1,540    .1246753    .3304577          0          1
{txt}lbkirregular {c |}{res}      1,573    .0610299    .2394612          0          1
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 3}lstrikesd {c |}{res}      1,540    .1701299    .3758689          0          1
{txt}{space 5}lriotsd {c |}{res}      1,540    .2441558    .4297251          0          1
{txt}{space 5}ldemond {c |}{res}      1,540    .2649351     .441442          0          1
{txt}{space 1}ldmidtoward {c |}{res}      1,573    .2015257    .4012673          0          1
{txt}llntradede~a {c |}{res}      1,374    11.03134    14.67745          0   165.4792
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 6}carter {c |}{res}      1,586    .0725095    .2594114          0          1
{txt}{space 5}reagan1 {c |}{res}      1,586    .0819672    .2744013          0          1
{txt}{space 1}llnmilexppc {c |}{res}      1,370    2.600655    1.258913          0   5.752743
{txt}{space 1}postcoldwar {c |}{res}      1,586    .3121059    .4634989          0          1
{txt}llntroopqual {c |}{res}      1,261    8.208365     1.22379          0   11.48119
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
llninflation {c |}{res}      1,415    3.865758     .645684   .0953102   9.521167
{txt}
{com}.         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         
. ********************************************************************************
. *SI.2    Additional case information
. ********************************************************************************        
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Figure SI.2.1. Training at the School of the Americas, 1946-2004
.         ****************************************************************************    
.         
.         *Preserving dataset
.         preserve
{txt}
{com}. 
.         *Keeping relevant variables
.         keep gwno countryname year soaGEN
{txt}
{com}. 
.         *Generating values on x-axis
.         bys gwno (year): gen yearstart=year if soaGEN>0 & soaGEN!=.
{txt}(723 missing values generated)

{com}.         bys gwno (year): gen yearend=year+1 if soaGEN>0 & soaGEN!=.
{txt}(723 missing values generated)

{com}.         
.         *Generating and labeling y-axis variable
.         sort countryname year
{txt}
{com}.         egen yhelp=group(countryname)
{txt}
{com}.         quiet sum yhelp
{txt}
{com}.         gen yaxis=(r(max)+1)-yhelp
{txt}
{com}.         labmask yaxis, values(countryname)
{txt}
{com}.                 
.         *Figure SI.2.1
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         twoway rbar yearstart yearend yaxis,
>                 fcolor(gs2) lcolor(white) lalign(center)
>                 horizontal
>                 xsize(1.25)
>                 ysize(1)
>                 yscale(range(0 33) noextend)    
>                 xscale(range(1945 2005) noextend)
>                 ylabel(1(1)33, valuelabel labsize(*.75) labgap(*2) angle(horizontal) nogrid)
>                 xlabel(1946 1955(10) 1995 2004, labsize(*.75) nogrid)
>                 xtick(1950(10)2000, labsize(*.5))
>                 ytitle("")
>                 xtitle("", size(3))
>                 plotregion(lcolor(white) m(zero))
>                 graphregion(color(white) lcolor(white) lalign(outside))
>                 legend(off)
>                 ;
{res}{txt}
{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         graph export "$path\figureSI21.pdf", as(pdf) replace
{txt}(file C:\Users\scharpf\Dropbox\SOAPaper\Submission\ISQ_FinalSubmission_03062020\Scharpf_ISQ_ReplicationFiles\\figureSI21.pdf written in PDF format)

{com}.         
.         *Restoring dataset
.         restore 
{txt}
{com}.         
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Figure SI.2.2. Course attendance at the School of the Americas, 1946-2004
.         ****************************************************************************    
. 
.         *See Do-File "replication_figuresi22.do"        
.         
.         
. ********************************************************************************
. *SI.3    Descriptive evidence
. ********************************************************************************                
.                 
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Figure SI.3.1. Diplomatic and military logics of SOA training
.         ****************************************************************************            
.         
.         *Preserving data
.         preserve
{txt}
{com}. 
.         *Identifying countries with and without SOA training
.         gen soadum=0 if soaGEN==0
{txt}(863 missing values generated)

{com}.         replace soadum=1 if soaGEN>=1 & soaGEN!=.       
{txt}(863 real changes made)

{com}.         
.         *Generating count variables for guerrilla attacks
.         bysort soadum year: egen guerobs=total(guerrillad)
{txt}
{com}.         bysort soadum year: gen allobs=_N
{txt}
{com}. 
.         *Collapsing data
.         collapse (mean) fpsimusa (first) guerobs allobs, by(soadum year)
{txt}
{com}. 
.         *Calculating proportion of countries with guerrilla attacks
.         gen guerrprop=(guerobs/allobs)*100
{txt}
{com}. 
.         *Reshaping data from long to wide for plotting
.         reshape wide fpsimusa guerobs guerrprop allobs, i(year) j(soadum)
{txt}(note: j = 0 1)

Data{col 36}long{col 43}->{col 48}wide
{hline 77}
Number of obs.                 {res}     118   {txt}->{res}      59
{txt}Number of variables            {res}       6   {txt}->{res}       9
{txt}j variable (2 values)            {res}soadum   {txt}->   (dropped)
xij variables:
                               {res}fpsimusa   {txt}->   {res}fpsimusa0 fpsimusa1
                                guerobs   {txt}->   {res}guerobs0 guerobs1
                              guerrprop   {txt}->   {res}guerrprop0 guerrprop1
                                 allobs   {txt}->   {res}allobs0 allobs1
{txt}{hline 77}

{com}. 
.         *Plotting foreign policy preferences
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         twoway (line fpsimusa0 year, lcolor(gs10) lpattern(shortdash) lwidth(*1.5))
>                    (line fpsimusa1 year,  lcolor(black) lpattern(solid) lwidth(*1.5))
>                         ,
>                         ysize(1)
>                         xsize(1.25)
>                         yscale(range(1 5) noextend titlegap(+2))
>                         xscale(off)                
>                         ylabel(1(1)5, angle(horizontal) nogrid)
>                         xlabel(1950(10)2000)
>                         xticks(1945(1)2004,tlength(*.5))                
>                         ytitle("Average similarity with US foreign policy")
>                         xtitle("")
>                         legend(
>                                 order(2 "Countries using training" 1 "Countries not using training")
>                                 size(*1) keygap(*0.5) symxsize(*.5) symysize(*1) region(lcolor(white))
>                                 cols(1)
>                                 position(2) ring(0) bmargin(0)
>                         
>                         )
>                         title("(a)", color(black) size(*.75))
>                         plotregion(lcolor(white)) 
>                         graphregion(color(white) lcolor(white) lalign(outside))         
>                         name(policy, replace)
>                         ;
{p 0 4 2}
{txt}(note:  named style
0 not found in class
margin,  default attributes used)
{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         *Plotting guerrilla activity over time
.         gen nosoayear=year-0.15
{txt}
{com}.         gen soayear=year+0.15
{txt}
{com}. 
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         twoway (spike guerrprop0 nosoayear, lcolor(gs10) lwidth(*2) lpattern(shortdash))
>                    (spike guerrprop1 soayear, lcolor(black) lwidth(*2) lpattern(solid))
>                    ,            
>                         ysize(1)
>                         xsize(1.25)
>                         yscale(range(10 70) noextend titlegap(+2))
>                         xscale(range(1945 2004) noextend)                  
>                         ylabel(0(10)70, angle(horizontal) nogrid)
>                         xlabel(1950(10)2000)
>                         xticks(1945(1)2004,tlength(*.5))
>                         ytitle("Percent with guerrilla activity" "")
>                         xtitle("")
>                         legend(
>                                 off
>                         )
>                         title("(b)", color(black) size(*.75) bcolor(none) fcolor(none))
>                         plotregion(lcolor(white)) 
>                         graphregion(color(white) lcolor(white) lalign(outside)) 
>                         name(guerr, replace)
>                         ;
{res}{txt}
{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         *Figure SI.3.1
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         graph combine policy guerr, 
>                         col(1) imargin(b=4.25 t=1)
>                         graphregion(color(white) lcolor(white) lalign(outside))
>                         ;
{p 0 4 2}
{txt}(note:  named style
0 not found in class
margin,  default attributes used)
{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         graph export "$path\figureSI31.pdf", as(pdf) replace
{txt}(file C:\Users\scharpf\Dropbox\SOAPaper\Submission\ISQ_FinalSubmission_03062020\Scharpf_ISQ_ReplicationFiles\\figureSI31.pdf written in PDF format)

{com}. 
.         *Restoring data 
.         restore         
{txt}
{com}.         
.         
. ********************************************************************************
. *SI.4    Probing the mechanism
. ********************************************************************************                
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Figure SI.4.1. Start of insurgent wars and SOA training
.         ****************************************************************************    
.         
.         *Preserving data
.         preserve
{txt}
{com}.         
.         *Loading data for Figure SI.4.1
.         use "$path\data_figuresi41.dta", clear
{txt}(Scharpf 2020 ISQ replication Figure SI.4.1)

{com}.                 
.         *Figure SI.4.1  
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         twoway (lpoly soaperc prewin if prewin!=. & winid>166, 
>                                         bwidth(4) kernel(gaussian)
>                                         lpattern(shortdash) lcolor(black) lwidth(*1.5))
>                    (lpoly soaperc postwin if postwin!=. & postwin>=1 & winid>166, 
>                                         bwidth(4) kernel(gaussian)
>                                         lpattern(solid) lcolor(black) lwidth(*1.5))
>                    ,
>                    xline(0, lcolor(gs12) lwidth(*5))
>                    yscale(range(0 10) noextend titlegap(*+10))
>                    xscale(range(-12 24) noextend titlegap(*+10)) 
>                    ylabel(0(2)10, angle(0) nogrid )                     
>                    xlabel(-12(6)24)
>                    xticks(-12(1)24, tlength(*.5))
>                    ytitle("Number of SOA courses in % (smoothed)", size(*1))
>                    xtitle("Months", size(*1))
>                    legend(off)
>                    graphregion(color(white) lcolor(white) lalign(outside))      
>                    text(10 -6 "Peace", place(c))
>                    text(10 12 "Insurgency", place(c))
>         ;
{res}{txt}
{com}.         #delimit cr             
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         graph export "$path\figureSI41.pdf", as(pdf) replace    
{txt}(file C:\Users\scharpf\Dropbox\SOAPaper\Submission\ISQ_FinalSubmission_03062020\Scharpf_ISQ_ReplicationFiles\\figureSI41.pdf written in PDF format)

{com}. 
.         *Restoring data 
.         restore         
{txt}
{com}.                 
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Table SI.4.1. Reversing diplomatic and military logic
.         ****************************************************************************    
.         
.         *Model 1
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward lfpsimusa
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5721.9736}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5359.5553}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5345.2805}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5344.8916}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5344.8894}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5344.8894}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5344.8894}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -5324.322}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5309.9873}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5309.6455}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5309.6429}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5309.6429}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,532
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       856
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       676

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}6{txt})      = {res}     20.93
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-5309.643                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0019

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:33} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      soaGEN{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN       {txt}{c |}
{space 1}lguerrillad {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8698752{col 26}{space 2} .2708731{col 37}{space 1}    3.21{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .3389738{col 67}{space 3} 1.400777
{txt}{space 3}lstrikesd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.249908{col 26}{space 2} .1448065{col 37}{space 1}   -1.73{col 46}{space 3}0.084{col 54}{space 4}-.5337236{col 67}{space 3} .0339075
{txt}{space 5}lriotsd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.156686{col 26}{space 2} .1398863{col 37}{space 1}   -1.12{col 46}{space 3}0.263{col 54}{space 4}-.4308582{col 67}{space 3} .1174862
{txt}{space 5}ldemond {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0030726{col 26}{space 2} .1099358{col 37}{space 1}    0.03{col 46}{space 3}0.978{col 54}{space 4}-.2123976{col 67}{space 3} .2185427
{txt}{space 1}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1354212{col 26}{space 2} .1374949{col 37}{space 1}    0.98{col 46}{space 3}0.325{col 54}{space 4}-.1340638{col 67}{space 3} .4049062
{txt}{space 3}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0928438{col 26}{space 2} .1212214{col 37}{space 1}    0.77{col 46}{space 3}0.444{col 54}{space 4}-.1447457{col 67}{space 3} .3304334
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.663062{col 26}{space 2} .4311373{col 37}{space 1}    8.50{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 2.818049{col 67}{space 3} 4.508076
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate      {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.7711703{col 26}{space 2} .1852146{col 37}{space 1}   -4.16{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.134184{col 67}{space 3}-.4081564
{txt}{space 1}lguerrillad {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8203545{col 26}{space 2} .6454365{col 37}{space 1}   -1.27{col 46}{space 3}0.204{col 54}{space 4}-2.085387{col 67}{space 3} .4446777
{txt}{space 3}lstrikesd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.057135{col 26}{space 2} .5410379{col 37}{space 1}   -1.95{col 46}{space 3}0.051{col 54}{space 4}-2.117549{col 67}{space 3} .0032802
{txt}{space 5}lriotsd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2092152{col 26}{space 2} .3184452{col 37}{space 1}   -0.66{col 46}{space 3}0.511{col 54}{space 4}-.8333564{col 67}{space 3} .4149259
{txt}{space 5}ldemond {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8192691{col 26}{space 2} .2603297{col 37}{space 1}   -3.15{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}-1.329506{col 67}{space 3}-.3090323
{txt}{space 1}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3091302{col 26}{space 2} .3290964{col 37}{space 1}   -0.94{col 46}{space 3}0.348{col 54}{space 4}-.9541473{col 67}{space 3} .3358869
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.189984{col 26}{space 2} .6093266{col 37}{space 1}    3.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9957263{col 67}{space 3} 3.384242
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}/lnalpha {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6293072{col 26}{space 2} .2700216{col 37}{space 1}    2.33{col 46}{space 3}0.020{col 54}{space 4} .1000745{col 67}{space 3}  1.15854
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       alpha {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.87631{col 26}{space 2} .5066443{col 54}{space 4} 1.105253{col 67}{space 3} 3.185279
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         *Model 1
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward lfpsimusa llntroopqual llninflation
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4547.6507}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4266.4539}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4260.4145}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4260.3222}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4260.3219}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4260.3219}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4247.0982}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4223.2706}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4223.0453}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4223.0445}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4223.0445}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,061
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       705
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       356

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})      = {res}     19.38
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-4223.044                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0130

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}        soaGEN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN         {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .8387309{col 28}{space 2} .2652727{col 39}{space 1}    3.16{col 48}{space 3}0.002{col 56}{space 4}  .318806{col 69}{space 3} 1.358656
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2171574{col 28}{space 2} .1369477{col 39}{space 1}   -1.59{col 48}{space 3}0.113{col 56}{space 4}-.4855698{col 69}{space 3} .0512551
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1534038{col 28}{space 2}  .144551{col 39}{space 1}   -1.06{col 48}{space 3}0.289{col 56}{space 4}-.4367185{col 69}{space 3}  .129911
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0605617{col 28}{space 2} .1118196{col 39}{space 1}    0.54{col 48}{space 3}0.588{col 56}{space 4}-.1586007{col 69}{space 3} .2797241
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0050353{col 28}{space 2} .1364428{col 39}{space 1}    0.04{col 48}{space 3}0.971{col 56}{space 4}-.2623876{col 69}{space 3} .2724582
{txt}{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0499157{col 28}{space 2} .1443652{col 39}{space 1}   -0.35{col 48}{space 3}0.730{col 56}{space 4}-.3328664{col 69}{space 3}  .233035
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}   -.1506{col 28}{space 2}  .094128{col 39}{space 1}   -1.60{col 48}{space 3}0.110{col 56}{space 4}-.3350875{col 69}{space 3} .0338876
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2485288{col 28}{space 2} .2051126{col 39}{space 1}   -1.21{col 48}{space 3}0.226{col 56}{space 4}-.6505421{col 69}{space 3} .1534844
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 6.365004{col 28}{space 2} 1.639041{col 39}{space 1}    3.88{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 3.152543{col 69}{space 3} 9.577465
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.265266{col 28}{space 2} .4296872{col 39}{space 1}   -2.94{col 48}{space 3}0.003{col 56}{space 4}-2.107437{col 69}{space 3}-.4230942
{txt}{space 3}lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.7859753{col 28}{space 2} .5690175{col 39}{space 1}   -1.38{col 48}{space 3}0.167{col 56}{space 4}-1.901229{col 69}{space 3} .3292786
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.096972{col 28}{space 2} .4354193{col 39}{space 1}   -2.52{col 48}{space 3}0.012{col 56}{space 4}-1.950378{col 69}{space 3}-.2435659
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2485926{col 28}{space 2} .2987351{col 39}{space 1}   -0.83{col 48}{space 3}0.405{col 56}{space 4}-.8341026{col 69}{space 3} .3369174
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.461628{col 28}{space 2} .2840116{col 39}{space 1}   -1.63{col 48}{space 3}0.104{col 56}{space 4} -1.01828{col 69}{space 3} .0950245
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.301854{col 28}{space 2} .3849331{col 39}{space 1}   -0.78{col 48}{space 3}0.433{col 56}{space 4}-1.056309{col 69}{space 3} .4526011
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0157478{col 28}{space 2} .0245335{col 39}{space 1}    0.64{col 48}{space 3}0.521{col 56}{space 4} -.032337{col 69}{space 3} .0638327
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.291903{col 28}{space 2} .4617848{col 39}{space 1}    2.80{col 48}{space 3}0.005{col 56}{space 4} .3868212{col 69}{space 3} 2.196984
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4634262{col 28}{space 2} .3739594{col 39}{space 1}    1.24{col 48}{space 3}0.215{col 56}{space 4}-.2695208{col 69}{space 3} 1.196373
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.087306{col 28}{space 2} .3800006{col 39}{space 1}   -2.86{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4}-1.832094{col 69}{space 3}-.3425189
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0013844{col 28}{space 2} .3548803{col 39}{space 1}    0.00{col 48}{space 3}0.997{col 56}{space 4}-.6941682{col 69}{space 3}  .696937
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.942773{col 28}{space 2} 2.190496{col 39}{space 1}    1.34{col 48}{space 3}0.179{col 56}{space 4}-1.350521{col 69}{space 3} 7.236066
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5058589{col 28}{space 2} .1997754{col 39}{space 1}    2.53{col 48}{space 3}0.011{col 56}{space 4} .1143063{col 69}{space 3} .8974115
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.658409{col 28}{space 2} .3313094{col 56}{space 4} 1.121095{col 69}{space 3} 2.453245
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Table SI.4.2. Structural changes in the School of the Americas
.         ****************************************************************************    
.         
.         *Model 1
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation coindoc
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc coindoc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4547.6507}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4292.6349}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.1329}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4286.9915}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4286.9913}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4286.9913}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4243.2494}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4236.4566}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4236.3874}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4236.3873}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,061
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       705
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       356

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})      = {res}    104.19
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-4236.387                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}        soaGEN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN         {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .8044085{col 28}{space 2} .2712806{col 39}{space 1}    2.97{col 48}{space 3}0.003{col 56}{space 4} .2727083{col 69}{space 3} 1.336109
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.178151{col 28}{space 2} .1323213{col 39}{space 1}   -1.35{col 48}{space 3}0.178{col 56}{space 4} -.437496{col 69}{space 3}  .081194
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1706849{col 28}{space 2} .1573827{col 39}{space 1}   -1.08{col 48}{space 3}0.278{col 56}{space 4}-.4791493{col 69}{space 3} .1377796
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  .095541{col 28}{space 2} .1066851{col 39}{space 1}    0.90{col 48}{space 3}0.370{col 56}{space 4} -.113558{col 69}{space 3}   .30464
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0183612{col 28}{space 2} .1336639{col 39}{space 1}    0.14{col 48}{space 3}0.891{col 56}{space 4}-.2436152{col 69}{space 3} .2803376
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0539922{col 28}{space 2} .0788964{col 39}{space 1}   -0.68{col 48}{space 3}0.494{col 56}{space 4}-.2086264{col 69}{space 3}  .100642
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2904025{col 28}{space 2} .1739399{col 39}{space 1}   -1.67{col 48}{space 3}0.095{col 56}{space 4}-.6313185{col 69}{space 3} .0505135
{txt}{space 7}coindoc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  .485648{col 28}{space 2} .1480749{col 39}{space 1}    3.28{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4} .1954266{col 69}{space 3} .7758694
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 5.287016{col 28}{space 2} 1.130894{col 39}{space 1}    4.68{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 3.070505{col 69}{space 3} 7.503527
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.124716{col 28}{space 2} .3406707{col 39}{space 1}   -3.30{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4}-1.792418{col 69}{space 3}-.4570134
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0213774{col 28}{space 2} .0276932{col 39}{space 1}    0.77{col 48}{space 3}0.440{col 56}{space 4}-.0329003{col 69}{space 3} .0756551
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.303246{col 28}{space 2} .4562632{col 39}{space 1}    2.86{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4} .4089865{col 69}{space 3} 2.197505
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .6160489{col 28}{space 2}  .361973{col 39}{space 1}    1.70{col 48}{space 3}0.089{col 56}{space 4}-.0934052{col 69}{space 3} 1.325503
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.477075{col 28}{space 2} 1.119189{col 39}{space 1}   -1.32{col 48}{space 3}0.187{col 56}{space 4}-3.670645{col 69}{space 3} .7164944
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.024238{col 28}{space 2}  .377911{col 39}{space 1}   -0.06{col 48}{space 3}0.949{col 56}{space 4}  -.76493{col 69}{space 3}  .716454
{txt}{space 7}coindoc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.5604805{col 28}{space 2} 1.103234{col 39}{space 1}   -0.51{col 48}{space 3}0.611{col 56}{space 4} -2.72278{col 69}{space 3} 1.601819
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.509382{col 28}{space 2} 1.775444{col 39}{space 1}    1.41{col 48}{space 3}0.158{col 56}{space 4}-.9704244{col 69}{space 3} 5.989188
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4260236{col 28}{space 2} .1874077{col 39}{space 1}    2.27{col 48}{space 3}0.023{col 56}{space 4} .0587112{col 69}{space 3} .7933359
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.531157{col 28}{space 2} .2869506{col 56}{space 4} 1.060469{col 69}{space 3} 2.210759
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Model 2
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation soausa
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc soausa) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4547.6507}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.7884}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4281.0196}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4280.8879}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4280.8874}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4280.8874}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4280.8874}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4237.1265}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -4230.661}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -4230.605}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4230.6049}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,061
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       705
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       356

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})      = {res}    106.18
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-4230.605                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}        soaGEN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN         {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .9252262{col 28}{space 2} .2700854{col 39}{space 1}    3.43{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4} .3958685{col 69}{space 3} 1.454584
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0944994{col 28}{space 2} .1395123{col 39}{space 1}   -0.68{col 48}{space 3}0.498{col 56}{space 4}-.3679384{col 69}{space 3} .1789397
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.3117443{col 28}{space 2} .1380055{col 39}{space 1}   -2.26{col 48}{space 3}0.024{col 56}{space 4}-.5822301{col 69}{space 3}-.0412584
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .1712211{col 28}{space 2} .1217288{col 39}{space 1}    1.41{col 48}{space 3}0.160{col 56}{space 4}-.0673629{col 69}{space 3} .4098052
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0063085{col 28}{space 2} .1352949{col 39}{space 1}    0.05{col 48}{space 3}0.963{col 56}{space 4}-.2588645{col 69}{space 3} .2714816
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.004344{col 28}{space 2}  .092957{col 39}{space 1}   -0.05{col 48}{space 3}0.963{col 56}{space 4}-.1865364{col 69}{space 3} .1778485
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2704263{col 28}{space 2} .1510802{col 39}{space 1}   -1.79{col 48}{space 3}0.073{col 56}{space 4} -.566538{col 69}{space 3} .0256854
{txt}{space 8}soausa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.5938248{col 28}{space 2} .2761752{col 39}{space 1}   -2.15{col 48}{space 3}0.032{col 56}{space 4}-1.135118{col 69}{space 3}-.0525314
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 5.274407{col 28}{space 2} 1.125099{col 39}{space 1}    4.69{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 3.069253{col 69}{space 3}  7.47956
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.553344{col 28}{space 2} .5378275{col 39}{space 1}   -2.89{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4}-2.607467{col 69}{space 3}-.4992216
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0256963{col 28}{space 2} .0279191{col 39}{space 1}    0.92{col 48}{space 3}0.357{col 56}{space 4}-.0290241{col 69}{space 3} .0804166
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .6541854{col 28}{space 2} .5384086{col 39}{space 1}    1.22{col 48}{space 3}0.224{col 56}{space 4}-.4010761{col 69}{space 3} 1.709447
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.3344038{col 28}{space 2} .6690871{col 39}{space 1}   -0.50{col 48}{space 3}0.617{col 56}{space 4} -1.64579{col 69}{space 3} .9769828
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.6115091{col 28}{space 2} .2630243{col 39}{space 1}   -2.32{col 48}{space 3}0.020{col 56}{space 4}-1.127027{col 69}{space 3} -.095991
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0327565{col 28}{space 2} .3620702{col 39}{space 1}    0.09{col 48}{space 3}0.928{col 56}{space 4} -.676888{col 69}{space 3} .7424009
{txt}{space 8}soausa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.534575{col 28}{space 2} .7537135{col 39}{space 1}   -2.04{col 48}{space 3}0.042{col 56}{space 4}-3.011826{col 69}{space 3}-.0573233
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.639667{col 28}{space 2} 2.455857{col 39}{space 1}    1.48{col 48}{space 3}0.138{col 56}{space 4}-1.173725{col 69}{space 3} 8.453058
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4493289{col 28}{space 2} .1940207{col 39}{space 1}    2.32{col 48}{space 3}0.021{col 56}{space 4} .0690554{col 69}{space 3} .8296025
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  1.56726{col 28}{space 2} .3040809{col 56}{space 4} 1.071496{col 69}{space 3} 2.292407
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         
. ********************************************************************************
. *SI.5    Effects of training at the School of the Americas
. ********************************************************************************
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Table SI.5.1. Training content and occurrence of insurgent war (Lyall & Wilson)
.         ****************************************************************************    
.         
.         *Model 1
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         logit coin
>         llnsoaGEN
>         lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar
>         ctime ctime2 ctime3
>         ,vce(cluster gwno)
>         ;

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-396.57962}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -163.0137}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-152.90297}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -81.42933}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-73.170895}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-69.175612}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-68.229659}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-68.171574}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-68.171313}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-68.171313}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,061
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}   8867.52
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-68.171313{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.8281

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}          coin{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}llnsoaGEN {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .3026705{col 28}{space 2} .1049635{col 39}{space 1}    2.88{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4} .0969458{col 69}{space 3} .5083952
{txt}{space 3}lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.599319{col 28}{space 2} .7427316{col 39}{space 1}    2.15{col 48}{space 3}0.031{col 56}{space 4} .1435918{col 69}{space 3} 3.055046
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0544406{col 28}{space 2} .7205858{col 39}{space 1}   -0.08{col 48}{space 3}0.940{col 56}{space 4}-1.466763{col 69}{space 3} 1.357882
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .3870354{col 28}{space 2} .5765241{col 39}{space 1}    0.67{col 48}{space 3}0.502{col 56}{space 4}-.7429311{col 69}{space 3} 1.517002
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2823166{col 28}{space 2} .5081479{col 39}{space 1}   -0.56{col 48}{space 3}0.578{col 56}{space 4}-1.278268{col 69}{space 3} .7136351
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1285324{col 28}{space 2} .7018813{col 39}{space 1}   -0.18{col 48}{space 3}0.855{col 56}{space 4}-1.504195{col 69}{space 3}  1.24713
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .2424001{col 28}{space 2}  .338807{col 39}{space 1}    0.72{col 48}{space 3}0.474{col 56}{space 4}-.4216494{col 69}{space 3} .9064496
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.245897{col 28}{space 2} .2351027{col 39}{space 1}   -1.05{col 48}{space 3}0.296{col 56}{space 4}-.7066898{col 69}{space 3} .2148959
{txt}{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.192696{col 28}{space 2} .1649171{col 39}{space 1}   -1.17{col 48}{space 3}0.243{col 56}{space 4}-.5159277{col 69}{space 3} .1305356
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0202051{col 28}{space 2}  .019837{col 39}{space 1}   -1.02{col 48}{space 3}0.308{col 56}{space 4} -.059085{col 69}{space 3} .0186747
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5817563{col 28}{space 2} .6859876{col 39}{space 1}    0.85{col 48}{space 3}0.396{col 56}{space 4}-.7627548{col 69}{space 3} 1.926267
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.091268{col 28}{space 2} .8613733{col 39}{space 1}    1.27{col 48}{space 3}0.205{col 56}{space 4}-.5969921{col 69}{space 3} 2.779529
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.739148{col 28}{space 2} .2944712{col 39}{space 1}   -2.51{col 48}{space 3}0.012{col 56}{space 4}-1.316301{col 69}{space 3}-.1619951
{txt}{space 9}ctime {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.173781{col 28}{space 2} .2683795{col 39}{space 1}   -8.10{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-2.699795{col 69}{space 3}-1.647767
{txt}{space 8}ctime2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .1161208{col 28}{space 2} .0129985{col 39}{space 1}    8.93{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} .0906443{col 69}{space 3} .1415974
{txt}{space 8}ctime3 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.734602{col 28}{space 2} .1736465{col 39}{space 1}   -9.99{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-2.074943{col 69}{space 3}-1.394261
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.206767{col 28}{space 2} 3.216495{col 39}{space 1}    0.69{col 48}{space 3}0.493{col 56}{space 4}-4.097448{col 69}{space 3} 8.510982
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 117 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}.         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Model 2
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         logit coin
>         llnsoaWARS
>         lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar
>         ctime ctime2 ctime3
>         ,vce(cluster gwno)
>         ;

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-396.57962}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -163.2809}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-154.00903}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-82.100683}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-73.740043}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-69.794161}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-68.891185}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-68.833339}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-68.833073}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-68.833073}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,061
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}   8259.36
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-68.833073{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.8264

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}          coin{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}llnsoaWARS {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .2568032{col 28}{space 2} .1005938{col 39}{space 1}    2.55{col 48}{space 3}0.011{col 56}{space 4} .0596431{col 69}{space 3} .4539634
{txt}{space 3}lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.596833{col 28}{space 2} .7398504{col 39}{space 1}    2.16{col 48}{space 3}0.031{col 56}{space 4} .1467528{col 69}{space 3} 3.046913
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0265828{col 28}{space 2} .7056843{col 39}{space 1}   -0.04{col 48}{space 3}0.970{col 56}{space 4}-1.409699{col 69}{space 3} 1.356533
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4163687{col 28}{space 2} .5941474{col 39}{space 1}    0.70{col 48}{space 3}0.483{col 56}{space 4}-.7481388{col 69}{space 3} 1.580876
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.3251925{col 28}{space 2}  .515228{col 39}{space 1}   -0.63{col 48}{space 3}0.528{col 56}{space 4}-1.335021{col 69}{space 3} .6846359
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1143196{col 28}{space 2} .7016374{col 39}{space 1}   -0.16{col 48}{space 3}0.871{col 56}{space 4}-1.489504{col 69}{space 3} 1.260864
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .2154058{col 28}{space 2} .2998936{col 39}{space 1}    0.72{col 48}{space 3}0.473{col 56}{space 4}-.3723749{col 69}{space 3} .8031865
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2618976{col 28}{space 2} .2349283{col 39}{space 1}   -1.11{col 48}{space 3}0.265{col 56}{space 4}-.7223486{col 69}{space 3} .1985535
{txt}{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1270133{col 28}{space 2} .1542637{col 39}{space 1}   -0.82{col 48}{space 3}0.410{col 56}{space 4}-.4293646{col 69}{space 3} .1753379
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0216937{col 28}{space 2} .0209109{col 39}{space 1}   -1.04{col 48}{space 3}0.300{col 56}{space 4}-.0626783{col 69}{space 3}  .019291
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4486351{col 28}{space 2} .6957136{col 39}{space 1}    0.64{col 48}{space 3}0.519{col 56}{space 4}-.9149385{col 69}{space 3} 1.812209
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .9330727{col 28}{space 2} .8521002{col 39}{space 1}    1.10{col 48}{space 3}0.274{col 56}{space 4} -.737013{col 69}{space 3} 2.603158
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.6646318{col 28}{space 2} .3200338{col 39}{space 1}   -2.08{col 48}{space 3}0.038{col 56}{space 4}-1.291886{col 69}{space 3}-.0373772
{txt}{space 9}ctime {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  -2.1821{col 28}{space 2} .2750075{col 39}{space 1}   -7.93{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-2.721105{col 69}{space 3}-1.643095
{txt}{space 8}ctime2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .1161114{col 28}{space 2} .0130043{col 39}{space 1}    8.93{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} .0906235{col 69}{space 3} .1415992
{txt}{space 8}ctime3 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.726484{col 28}{space 2} .1625033{col 39}{space 1}  -10.62{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-2.044985{col 69}{space 3}-1.407984
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.599173{col 28}{space 2} 2.863284{col 39}{space 1}    0.91{col 48}{space 3}0.364{col 56}{space 4} -3.01276{col 69}{space 3} 8.211106
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 112 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}.         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Model 3
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         logit coin
>         llnsoaCOIN llnsoaNOCOINWARS
>         lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar
>         ctime ctime2 ctime3
>         ,vce(cluster gwno)
>         ;

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-396.57962}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-163.32328}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-155.94708}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-81.253783}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-71.017705}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-66.496411}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-65.395685}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-65.294675}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-65.294258}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-65.294258}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,061
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}17{txt}){col 67}= {res}  29167.03
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-65.294258{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.8354

{txt}{ralign 82:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 18}{c |}{col 30}    Robust
{col 1}            coin{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      z{col 50}   P>|z|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}llnsoaCOIN {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.4575297{col 30}{space 2} .1081873{col 41}{space 1}   -4.23{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-.6695729{col 71}{space 3}-.2454866
{txt}llnsoaNOCOINWARS {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5539859{col 30}{space 2} .1273739{col 41}{space 1}    4.35{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .3043377{col 71}{space 3} .8036341
{txt}{space 5}lguerrillad {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.794382{col 30}{space 2} .7733397{col 41}{space 1}    2.32{col 50}{space 3}0.020{col 58}{space 4} .2786642{col 71}{space 3}   3.3101
{txt}{space 7}lstrikesd {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0847752{col 30}{space 2} .7372759{col 41}{space 1}   -0.11{col 50}{space 3}0.908{col 58}{space 4}-1.529809{col 71}{space 3} 1.360259
{txt}{space 9}lriotsd {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5847733{col 30}{space 2} .5731677{col 41}{space 1}    1.02{col 50}{space 3}0.308{col 58}{space 4}-.5386147{col 71}{space 3} 1.708161
{txt}{space 9}ldemond {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2666845{col 30}{space 2} .5177005{col 41}{space 1}   -0.52{col 50}{space 3}0.606{col 58}{space 4}-1.281359{col 71}{space 3} .7479897
{txt}{space 5}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0807309{col 30}{space 2} .6926795{col 41}{space 1}   -0.12{col 50}{space 3}0.907{col 58}{space 4}-1.438358{col 71}{space 3} 1.276896
{txt}{space 4}llntroopqual {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .228268{col 30}{space 2} .2985361{col 41}{space 1}    0.76{col 50}{space 3}0.444{col 58}{space 4}-.3568519{col 71}{space 3} .8133879
{txt}{space 4}llninflation {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.3076692{col 30}{space 2}  .236867{col 41}{space 1}   -1.30{col 50}{space 3}0.194{col 58}{space 4}-.7719199{col 71}{space 3} .1565815
{txt}{space 7}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2497378{col 30}{space 2} .1616395{col 41}{space 1}   -1.55{col 50}{space 3}0.122{col 58}{space 4}-.5665455{col 71}{space 3} .0670698
{txt}{space 2}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0213973{col 30}{space 2}  .019317{col 41}{space 1}   -1.11{col 50}{space 3}0.268{col 58}{space 4}-.0592579{col 71}{space 3} .0164632
{txt}{space 10}carter {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6931513{col 30}{space 2} .5872086{col 41}{space 1}    1.18{col 50}{space 3}0.238{col 58}{space 4}-.4577565{col 71}{space 3} 1.844059
{txt}{space 9}reagan1 {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9682455{col 30}{space 2} .9225537{col 41}{space 1}    1.05{col 50}{space 3}0.294{col 58}{space 4}-.8399266{col 71}{space 3} 2.776418
{txt}{space 5}postcoldwar {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -1.00981{col 30}{space 2} .3293104{col 41}{space 1}   -3.07{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4}-1.655247{col 71}{space 3}-.3643737
{txt}{space 11}ctime {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-2.199813{col 30}{space 2} .3302908{col 41}{space 1}   -6.66{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-2.847171{col 71}{space 3}-1.552455
{txt}{space 10}ctime2 {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1180239{col 30}{space 2} .0174741{col 41}{space 1}    6.75{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .0837753{col 71}{space 3} .1522725
{txt}{space 10}ctime3 {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -1.77596{col 30}{space 2}  .251293{col 41}{space 1}   -7.07{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-2.268486{col 71}{space 3}-1.283435
{txt}{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 2.712667{col 30}{space 2} 2.887378{col 41}{space 1}    0.94{col 50}{space 3}0.347{col 58}{space 4} -2.94649{col 71}{space 3} 8.371824
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 120 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}.         #delimit cr             
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Model 4
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         logit coin
>         lSOAratio_coingen
>         lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar
>         ctime ctime2 ctime3
>         ,vce(cluster gwno)
>         ;

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-308.11708}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -103.7162}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -71.14842}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-56.594943}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-53.188727}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-50.672998}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -49.96453}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-49.904337}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:  -49.9041}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:  -49.9041}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       702
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}  18141.40
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}  -49.9041{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.8380

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:19} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}             coin{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
lSOAratio_coingen {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-2.503125{col 31}{space 2} .6247735{col 42}{space 1}   -4.01{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-3.727658{col 72}{space 3}-1.278591
{txt}{space 6}lguerrillad {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.642574{col 31}{space 2} .7672601{col 42}{space 1}    2.14{col 51}{space 3}0.032{col 59}{space 4} .1387719{col 72}{space 3} 3.146376
{txt}{space 8}lstrikesd {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .5231273{col 31}{space 2} .4377017{col 42}{space 1}    1.20{col 51}{space 3}0.232{col 59}{space 4}-.3347522{col 72}{space 3} 1.381007
{txt}{space 10}lriotsd {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0352716{col 31}{space 2}  .737373{col 42}{space 1}    0.05{col 51}{space 3}0.962{col 59}{space 4}-1.409953{col 72}{space 3} 1.480496
{txt}{space 10}ldemond {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.6162277{col 31}{space 2} .5261862{col 42}{space 1}   -1.17{col 51}{space 3}0.242{col 59}{space 4}-1.647534{col 72}{space 3} .4150782
{txt}{space 6}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0398443{col 31}{space 2} .9517297{col 42}{space 1}    0.04{col 51}{space 3}0.967{col 59}{space 4}-1.825512{col 72}{space 3}   1.9052
{txt}{space 5}llntroopqual {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1194134{col 31}{space 2} .4351857{col 42}{space 1}    0.27{col 51}{space 3}0.784{col 59}{space 4}-.7335348{col 72}{space 3} .9723616
{txt}{space 5}llninflation {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0488398{col 31}{space 2} .3924973{col 42}{space 1}    0.12{col 51}{space 3}0.901{col 59}{space 4}-.7204407{col 72}{space 3} .8181203
{txt}{space 8}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.5705382{col 31}{space 2} .2153359{col 42}{space 1}   -2.65{col 51}{space 3}0.008{col 59}{space 4}-.9925887{col 72}{space 3}-.1484876
{txt}{space 3}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0246042{col 31}{space 2}   .01206{col 42}{space 1}   -2.04{col 51}{space 3}0.041{col 59}{space 4}-.0482414{col 72}{space 3} -.000967
{txt}{space 11}carter {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .8770868{col 31}{space 2}  1.10161{col 42}{space 1}    0.80{col 51}{space 3}0.426{col 59}{space 4}-1.282029{col 72}{space 3} 3.036202
{txt}{space 10}reagan1 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .3077108{col 31}{space 2} .7546864{col 42}{space 1}    0.41{col 51}{space 3}0.683{col 59}{space 4}-1.171447{col 72}{space 3} 1.786869
{txt}{space 6}postcoldwar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.830616{col 31}{space 2}  .935699{col 42}{space 1}   -1.96{col 51}{space 3}0.050{col 59}{space 4}-3.664552{col 72}{space 3} .0033201
{txt}{space 12}ctime {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-2.082706{col 31}{space 2} .3813122{col 42}{space 1}   -5.46{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-2.830064{col 72}{space 3}-1.335348
{txt}{space 11}ctime2 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1139332{col 31}{space 2} .0218458{col 42}{space 1}    5.22{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} .0711161{col 72}{space 3} .1567503
{txt}{space 11}ctime3 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.770242{col 31}{space 2} .3532492{col 42}{space 1}   -5.01{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-2.462598{col 72}{space 3}-1.077887
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 5.189516{col 31}{space 2} 4.972932{col 42}{space 1}    1.04{col 51}{space 3}0.297{col 59}{space 4}-4.557252{col 72}{space 3} 14.93628
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 100 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}.         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Table SI.5.2. Training content and occurrence of insurgent war (Kalyvas & Balcells)
.         ****************************************************************************
. 
.         *Model 1
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         logit bkirregular
>         llnsoaGEN
>         lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar
>         irrtime irrtime2 irrtime3
>         ,vce(cluster gwno)
>         ;

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-308.11426}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-178.45996}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-132.45419}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-65.312191}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -51.58512}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-48.474823}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-47.229408}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -46.96963}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-46.966439}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-46.966438}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,061
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}   3099.56
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-46.966438{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.8476

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}   bkirregular{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}llnsoaGEN {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5608425{col 28}{space 2} .1834239{col 39}{space 1}    3.06{col 48}{space 3}0.002{col 56}{space 4} .2013382{col 69}{space 3} .9203467
{txt}{space 3}lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.128091{col 28}{space 2}  .487193{col 39}{space 1}    4.37{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}  1.17321{col 69}{space 3} 3.082972
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -1.62761{col 28}{space 2} .8828189{col 39}{space 1}   -1.84{col 48}{space 3}0.065{col 56}{space 4}-3.357903{col 69}{space 3} .1026834
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.013021{col 28}{space 2} .9155414{col 39}{space 1}    1.11{col 48}{space 3}0.269{col 56}{space 4}-.7814075{col 69}{space 3} 2.807449
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.210042{col 28}{space 2}  .809603{col 39}{space 1}   -0.26{col 48}{space 3}0.795{col 56}{space 4}-1.796835{col 69}{space 3} 1.376751
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1775584{col 28}{space 2} .4206126{col 39}{space 1}   -0.42{col 48}{space 3}0.673{col 56}{space 4}-1.001944{col 69}{space 3}  .646827
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  .139396{col 28}{space 2} .1459865{col 39}{space 1}    0.95{col 48}{space 3}0.340{col 56}{space 4}-.1467322{col 69}{space 3} .4255243
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  .099871{col 28}{space 2}  .264378{col 39}{space 1}    0.38{col 48}{space 3}0.706{col 56}{space 4}-.4183003{col 69}{space 3} .6180424
{txt}{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -1.07303{col 28}{space 2} .3702023{col 39}{space 1}   -2.90{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4}-1.798613{col 69}{space 3}-.3474472
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0185722{col 28}{space 2} .0211337{col 39}{space 1}   -0.88{col 48}{space 3}0.380{col 56}{space 4}-.0599936{col 69}{space 3} .0228492
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.963887{col 28}{space 2} .3484475{col 39}{space 1}    8.51{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 2.280943{col 69}{space 3} 3.646832
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.667109{col 28}{space 2} 1.062937{col 39}{space 1}    1.57{col 48}{space 3}0.117{col 56}{space 4}-.4162093{col 69}{space 3} 3.750427
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.100718{col 28}{space 2} .4156663{col 39}{space 1}   -5.05{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-2.915409{col 69}{space 3}-1.286027
{txt}{space 7}irrtime {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.895061{col 28}{space 2} .2306601{col 39}{space 1}   -8.22{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-2.347147{col 69}{space 3}-1.442976
{txt}{space 6}irrtime2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  .092231{col 28}{space 2} .0119789{col 39}{space 1}    7.70{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} .0687528{col 69}{space 3} .1157091
{txt}{space 6}irrtime3 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.308872{col 28}{space 2} .1974352{col 39}{space 1}   -6.63{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-1.695838{col 69}{space 3}-.9219057
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.789699{col 28}{space 2} 1.679938{col 39}{space 1}    1.66{col 48}{space 3}0.097{col 56}{space 4}-.5029192{col 69}{space 3} 6.082317
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 129 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}.         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Model 2
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         logit bkirregular
>         llnsoaWARS
>         lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar
>         irrtime irrtime2 irrtime3
>         ,vce(cluster gwno)
>         ;

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-308.11426}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-177.26291}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-129.33849}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-64.711118}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-51.479546}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-48.746877}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-47.637968}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-47.419569}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-47.416814}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-47.416813}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,061
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}   2515.20
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-47.416813{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.8461

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}   bkirregular{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}llnsoaWARS {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5189706{col 28}{space 2} .1596438{col 39}{space 1}    3.25{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4} .2060746{col 69}{space 3} .8318667
{txt}{space 3}lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.201138{col 28}{space 2} .4634703{col 39}{space 1}    4.75{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 1.292753{col 69}{space 3} 3.109524
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.567805{col 28}{space 2} .8629698{col 39}{space 1}   -1.82{col 48}{space 3}0.069{col 56}{space 4}-3.259195{col 69}{space 3} .1235843
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .8729666{col 28}{space 2} .9970604{col 39}{space 1}    0.88{col 48}{space 3}0.381{col 56}{space 4}-1.081236{col 69}{space 3} 2.827169
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1927656{col 28}{space 2} .7885978{col 39}{space 1}   -0.24{col 48}{space 3}0.807{col 56}{space 4}-1.738389{col 69}{space 3} 1.352858
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1641837{col 28}{space 2} .3584906{col 39}{space 1}   -0.46{col 48}{space 3}0.647{col 56}{space 4}-.8668123{col 69}{space 3} .5384449
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .1317107{col 28}{space 2} .1501207{col 39}{space 1}    0.88{col 48}{space 3}0.380{col 56}{space 4}-.1625204{col 69}{space 3} .4259417
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .1059539{col 28}{space 2} .2961013{col 39}{space 1}    0.36{col 48}{space 3}0.720{col 56}{space 4}-.4743941{col 69}{space 3} .6863019
{txt}{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.023867{col 28}{space 2} .3610973{col 39}{space 1}   -2.84{col 48}{space 3}0.005{col 56}{space 4}-1.731605{col 69}{space 3}-.3161296
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0202037{col 28}{space 2} .0215379{col 39}{space 1}   -0.94{col 48}{space 3}0.348{col 56}{space 4}-.0624172{col 69}{space 3} .0220098
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  2.79664{col 28}{space 2} .3797839{col 39}{space 1}    7.36{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 2.052277{col 69}{space 3} 3.541003
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.446928{col 28}{space 2} .9304965{col 39}{space 1}    1.56{col 48}{space 3}0.120{col 56}{space 4}-.3768121{col 69}{space 3} 3.270667
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.018608{col 28}{space 2}  .420208{col 39}{space 1}   -4.80{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-2.842201{col 69}{space 3}-1.195016
{txt}{space 7}irrtime {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.840749{col 28}{space 2} .2282014{col 39}{space 1}   -8.07{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-2.288016{col 69}{space 3}-1.393483
{txt}{space 6}irrtime2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0892212{col 28}{space 2} .0116617{col 39}{space 1}    7.65{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} .0663647{col 69}{space 3} .1120777
{txt}{space 6}irrtime3 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.261523{col 28}{space 2} .1847709{col 39}{space 1}   -6.83{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-1.623667{col 69}{space 3}-.8993786
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.910934{col 28}{space 2} 1.812529{col 39}{space 1}    1.61{col 48}{space 3}0.108{col 56}{space 4}-.6415573{col 69}{space 3} 6.463425
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 124 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Model 3
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         logit bkirregular
>         llnsoaCOIN llnsoaNOCOINWARS
>         lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar
>         irrtime irrtime2 irrtime3
>         ,vce(cluster gwno)
>         ;

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-308.11426}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-178.20326}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-145.33085}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-68.981918}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-53.645598}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -48.76268}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-47.033524}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-46.540432}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-46.533327}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -46.53332}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -46.53332}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,061
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}17{txt}){col 67}= {res}  11467.61
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -46.53332{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.8490

{txt}{ralign 82:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 18}{c |}{col 30}    Robust
{col 1}     bkirregular{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      z{col 50}   P>|z|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}llnsoaCOIN {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0487113{col 30}{space 2} .2552934{col 41}{space 1}   -0.19{col 50}{space 3}0.849{col 58}{space 4}-.5490772{col 71}{space 3} .4516546
{txt}llnsoaNOCOINWARS {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .637407{col 30}{space 2} .2293362{col 41}{space 1}    2.78{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .1879162{col 71}{space 3} 1.086898
{txt}{space 5}lguerrillad {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 2.306055{col 30}{space 2} .4809924{col 41}{space 1}    4.79{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} 1.363327{col 71}{space 3} 3.248782
{txt}{space 7}lstrikesd {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-1.625875{col 30}{space 2} .9735909{col 41}{space 1}   -1.67{col 50}{space 3}0.095{col 58}{space 4}-3.534078{col 71}{space 3} .2823278
{txt}{space 9}lriotsd {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.22188{col 30}{space 2} .9439375{col 41}{space 1}    1.29{col 50}{space 3}0.196{col 58}{space 4}-.6282038{col 71}{space 3} 3.071963
{txt}{space 9}ldemond {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1723603{col 30}{space 2} .8279915{col 41}{space 1}   -0.21{col 50}{space 3}0.835{col 58}{space 4}-1.795194{col 71}{space 3} 1.450473
{txt}{space 5}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.3253425{col 30}{space 2} .3984651{col 41}{space 1}   -0.82{col 50}{space 3}0.414{col 58}{space 4} -1.10632{col 71}{space 3} .4556348
{txt}{space 4}llntroopqual {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0492477{col 30}{space 2} .1707787{col 41}{space 1}    0.29{col 50}{space 3}0.773{col 58}{space 4}-.2854723{col 71}{space 3} .3839678
{txt}{space 4}llninflation {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0723362{col 30}{space 2} .2630709{col 41}{space 1}    0.27{col 50}{space 3}0.783{col 58}{space 4}-.4432734{col 71}{space 3} .5879458
{txt}{space 7}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-1.129481{col 30}{space 2} .3939407{col 41}{space 1}   -2.87{col 50}{space 3}0.004{col 58}{space 4} -1.90159{col 71}{space 3}-.3573715
{txt}{space 2}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0262424{col 30}{space 2} .0239066{col 41}{space 1}   -1.10{col 50}{space 3}0.272{col 58}{space 4}-.0730984{col 71}{space 3} .0206135
{txt}{space 10}carter {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 3.163004{col 30}{space 2} .4981636{col 41}{space 1}    6.35{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} 2.186621{col 71}{space 3} 4.139387
{txt}{space 9}reagan1 {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.911119{col 30}{space 2} 1.120678{col 41}{space 1}    1.71{col 50}{space 3}0.088{col 58}{space 4} -.285369{col 71}{space 3} 4.107606
{txt}{space 5}postcoldwar {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-2.083236{col 30}{space 2} .4538773{col 41}{space 1}   -4.59{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-2.972819{col 71}{space 3}-1.193653
{txt}{space 9}irrtime {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-1.993398{col 30}{space 2} .2042642{col 41}{space 1}   -9.76{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-2.393748{col 71}{space 3}-1.593047
{txt}{space 8}irrtime2 {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0988866{col 30}{space 2} .0124521{col 41}{space 1}    7.94{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}  .074481{col 71}{space 3} .1232923
{txt}{space 8}irrtime3 {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-1.420856{col 30}{space 2} .2319985{col 41}{space 1}   -6.12{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-1.875565{col 71}{space 3}-.9661477
{txt}{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 3.724509{col 30}{space 2} 2.053921{col 41}{space 1}    1.81{col 50}{space 3}0.070{col 58}{space 4}-.3011022{col 71}{space 3}  7.75012
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 142 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}.         #delimit cr                     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Model 4
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         logit bkirregular
>         lSOAratio_coingen
>         lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar
>         irrtime irrtime2 irrtime3
>         ,vce(cluster gwno)
>         ;

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -232.1378}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-107.02981}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-68.616087}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-41.436679}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-36.417125}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-34.383498}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.636128}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.406003}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.395776}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.395757}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-33.395757}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       702
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}16{txt}){col 67}= {res}  11917.34
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-33.395757{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.8561

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:19} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      bkirregular{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
lSOAratio_coingen {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.9191976{col 31}{space 2}  1.68154{col 42}{space 1}   -0.55{col 51}{space 3}0.585{col 59}{space 4}-4.214955{col 72}{space 3}  2.37656
{txt}{space 6}lguerrillad {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.793142{col 31}{space 2} .4694453{col 42}{space 1}    3.82{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} .8730458{col 72}{space 3} 2.713237
{txt}{space 8}lstrikesd {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.5474376{col 31}{space 2}  .786563{col 42}{space 1}   -0.70{col 51}{space 3}0.486{col 59}{space 4}-2.089073{col 72}{space 3} .9941976
{txt}{space 10}lriotsd {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.085124{col 31}{space 2} 1.040594{col 42}{space 1}    2.00{col 51}{space 3}0.045{col 59}{space 4} .0455966{col 72}{space 3} 4.124652
{txt}{space 10}ldemond {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.784372{col 31}{space 2} 1.048167{col 42}{space 1}   -1.70{col 51}{space 3}0.089{col 59}{space 4}-3.838741{col 72}{space 3} .2699981
{txt}{space 6}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0879578{col 31}{space 2} .6581945{col 42}{space 1}    0.13{col 51}{space 3}0.894{col 59}{space 4} -1.20208{col 72}{space 3} 1.377995
{txt}{space 5}llntroopqual {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .2617421{col 31}{space 2} .3590619{col 42}{space 1}    0.73{col 51}{space 3}0.466{col 59}{space 4}-.4420062{col 72}{space 3} .9654904
{txt}{space 5}llninflation {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .4873441{col 31}{space 2} .4376952{col 42}{space 1}    1.11{col 51}{space 3}0.266{col 59}{space 4}-.3705227{col 72}{space 3} 1.345211
{txt}{space 8}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.9650534{col 31}{space 2} .8213001{col 42}{space 1}   -1.18{col 51}{space 3}0.240{col 59}{space 4}-2.574772{col 72}{space 3} .6446653
{txt}{space 3}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.018131{col 31}{space 2} .0130996{col 42}{space 1}   -1.38{col 51}{space 3}0.166{col 59}{space 4}-.0438057{col 72}{space 3} .0075437
{txt}{space 11}carter {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 3.201278{col 31}{space 2} .3822075{col 42}{space 1}    8.38{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} 2.452165{col 72}{space 3} 3.950391
{txt}{space 10}reagan1 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.043952{col 31}{space 2} .9449841{col 42}{space 1}    1.10{col 51}{space 3}0.269{col 59}{space 4}-.8081831{col 72}{space 3} 2.896087
{txt}{space 6}postcoldwar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-2.161141{col 31}{space 2} .6885902{col 42}{space 1}   -3.14{col 51}{space 3}0.002{col 59}{space 4}-3.510753{col 72}{space 3}-.8115294
{txt}{space 10}irrtime {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-2.203326{col 31}{space 2} .4221845{col 42}{space 1}   -5.22{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-3.030792{col 72}{space 3}-1.375859
{txt}{space 9}irrtime2 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1093381{col 31}{space 2} .0193944{col 42}{space 1}    5.64{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} .0713257{col 72}{space 3} .1473505
{txt}{space 9}irrtime3 {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.591719{col 31}{space 2} .3662545{col 42}{space 1}   -4.35{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-2.309565{col 72}{space 3}-.8738735
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 3.518619{col 31}{space 2} 4.064985{col 42}{space 1}    0.87{col 51}{space 3}0.387{col 59}{space 4}-4.448605{col 72}{space 3} 11.48584
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 2}Note: 123 failures and 0 successes completely determined.{p_end}

{com}.         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Figure SI.5.1. Course type and suppression of insurgent wars
.         ****************************************************************************
. 
.         *Preserving data
.         preserve
{txt}
{com}. 
.         *Calculating and exporting marginal effects
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.                         //Saving model to local
>         local modelm14="logit coin
>         lSOAratio_coingen
>         i.lguerrillad i.lstrikesd i.lriotsd i.ldemond i.ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation lfpsimusa llntradedepusa i.carter i.reagan1 i.postcoldwar
>         ctime ctime2 ctime3
>         ,vce(cluster gwno)";
{txt}
{com}.         //Identifying obeservations in model
>         
>         //Running model
>         quiet `modelm14';
{txt}
{com}.                         //Preparing rug elements
>         gen modelobs2=1 if e(sample) & lSOAratio_coingen<=1;
{txt}(884 missing values generated)

{com}.         gen sym2="|" ;
{txt}
{com}.         gen yaxis2=0.05 ;
{txt}
{com}.                                 //Running model
>         quiet `modelm14';
{txt}
{com}.                         //Calculating marginal effects
>         margins, 
>                         at((asobserved) _all lSOAratio_coingen=(0(.02)1))
>                         predict(pr) post;
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       702
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(coin), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.02}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:3._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.04}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:4._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.06}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:5._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.08}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:6._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}.1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:7._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.12}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:8._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.14}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:9._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.16}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:10._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.18}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:11._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}.2}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:12._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.22}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:13._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.24}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:14._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.26}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:15._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.28}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:16._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}.3}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:17._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.32}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:18._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.34}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:19._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.36}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:20._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.38}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:21._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}.4}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:22._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.42}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:23._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.44}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:24._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.46}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:25._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.48}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:26._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}.5}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:27._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.52}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:28._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.54}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:29._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.56}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:30._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.58}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:31._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}.6}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:32._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.62}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:33._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.64}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:34._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.66}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:35._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.68}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:36._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}.7}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:37._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.72}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:38._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.74}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:39._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.76}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:40._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.78}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:41._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}.8}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:42._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.82}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:43._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.84}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:44._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.86}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:45._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.88}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:46._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}.9}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:47._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.92}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:48._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.94}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:49._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.96}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:50._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}.98}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:51._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:lSOAratio_~n}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1671542{col 26}{space 2} .0059704{col 37}{space 1}   28.00{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1554525{col 67}{space 3} .1788559
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1661888{col 26}{space 2} .0057234{col 37}{space 1}   29.04{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .154971{col 67}{space 3} .1774065
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1652299{col 26}{space 2} .0054965{col 37}{space 1}   30.06{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .154457{col 67}{space 3} .1760027
{txt}{space 10}4  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1642765{col 26}{space 2} .0052898{col 37}{space 1}   31.06{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1539086{col 67}{space 3} .1746444
{txt}{space 10}5  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1633276{col 26}{space 2}  .005104{col 37}{space 1}   32.00{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1533239{col 67}{space 3} .1733313
{txt}{space 10}6  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1623821{col 26}{space 2} .0049395{col 37}{space 1}   32.87{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1527009{col 67}{space 3} .1720633
{txt}{space 10}7  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1614391{col 26}{space 2} .0047968{col 37}{space 1}   33.66{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1520376{col 67}{space 3} .1708406
{txt}{space 10}8  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1604975{col 26}{space 2} .0046763{col 37}{space 1}   34.32{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1513322{col 67}{space 3} .1696628
{txt}{space 10}9  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1595564{col 26}{space 2} .0045783{col 37}{space 1}   34.85{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .150583{col 67}{space 3} .1685298
{txt}{space 9}10  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1586149{col 26}{space 2} .0045033{col 37}{space 1}   35.22{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1497886{col 67}{space 3} .1674412
{txt}{space 9}11  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1576719{col 26}{space 2} .0044512{col 37}{space 1}   35.42{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1489478{col 67}{space 3} .1663961
{txt}{space 9}12  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1567267{col 26}{space 2} .0044219{col 37}{space 1}   35.44{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1480599{col 67}{space 3} .1653936
{txt}{space 9}13  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1557784{col 26}{space 2} .0044153{col 37}{space 1}   35.28{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1471245{col 67}{space 3} .1644322
{txt}{space 9}14  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .154826{col 26}{space 2} .0044308{col 37}{space 1}   34.94{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1461418{col 67}{space 3} .1635101
{txt}{space 9}15  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1538687{col 26}{space 2} .0044678{col 37}{space 1}   34.44{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1451121{col 67}{space 3} .1626253
{txt}{space 9}16  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1529058{col 26}{space 2} .0045254{col 37}{space 1}   33.79{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1440361{col 67}{space 3} .1617754
{txt}{space 9}17  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1519364{col 26}{space 2} .0046029{col 37}{space 1}   33.01{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1429149{col 67}{space 3} .1609578
{txt}{space 9}18  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1509597{col 26}{space 2} .0046991{col 37}{space 1}   32.12{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1417496{col 67}{space 3} .1601699
{txt}{space 9}19  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1499751{col 26}{space 2} .0048132{col 37}{space 1}   31.16{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1405414{col 67}{space 3} .1594089
{txt}{space 9}20  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1489819{col 26}{space 2} .0049441{col 37}{space 1}   30.13{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1392916{col 67}{space 3} .1586721
{txt}{space 9}21  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1479792{col 26}{space 2} .0050908{col 37}{space 1}   29.07{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1380014{col 67}{space 3} .1579571
{txt}{space 9}22  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1469666{col 26}{space 2} .0052525{col 37}{space 1}   27.98{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1366719{col 67}{space 3} .1572613
{txt}{space 9}23  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1459433{col 26}{space 2} .0054283{col 37}{space 1}   26.89{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .135304{col 67}{space 3} .1565826
{txt}{space 9}24  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1449087{col 26}{space 2} .0056175{col 37}{space 1}   25.80{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1338987{col 67}{space 3} .1559187
{txt}{space 9}25  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1438623{col 26}{space 2} .0058193{col 37}{space 1}   24.72{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1324567{col 67}{space 3}  .155268
{txt}{space 9}26  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1428035{col 26}{space 2} .0060333{col 37}{space 1}   23.67{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1309784{col 67}{space 3} .1546286
{txt}{space 9}27  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1417319{col 26}{space 2}  .006259{col 37}{space 1}   22.64{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1294646{col 67}{space 3} .1539992
{txt}{space 9}28  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1406468{col 26}{space 2} .0064958{col 37}{space 1}   21.65{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1279153{col 67}{space 3} .1533783
{txt}{space 9}29  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1395479{col 26}{space 2} .0067434{col 37}{space 1}   20.69{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1263311{col 67}{space 3} .1527648
{txt}{space 9}30  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1384348{col 26}{space 2} .0070016{col 37}{space 1}   19.77{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1247119{col 67}{space 3} .1521576
{txt}{space 9}31  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1373069{col 26}{space 2}   .00727{col 37}{space 1}   18.89{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .123058{col 67}{space 3} .1515558
{txt}{space 9}32  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1361641{col 26}{space 2} .0075484{col 37}{space 1}   18.04{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1213696{col 67}{space 3} .1509586
{txt}{space 9}33  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1350059{col 26}{space 2} .0078366{col 37}{space 1}   17.23{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1196465{col 67}{space 3} .1503653
{txt}{space 9}34  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1338321{col 26}{space 2} .0081343{col 37}{space 1}   16.45{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .117889{col 67}{space 3} .1497751
{txt}{space 9}35  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1326423{col 26}{space 2} .0084415{col 37}{space 1}   15.71{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1160972{col 67}{space 3} .1491875
{txt}{space 9}36  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1314365{col 26}{space 2}  .008758{col 37}{space 1}   15.01{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1142712{col 67}{space 3} .1486018
{txt}{space 9}37  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1302143{col 26}{space 2} .0090835{col 37}{space 1}   14.34{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .112411{col 67}{space 3} .1480177
{txt}{space 9}38  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1289757{col 26}{space 2} .0094178{col 37}{space 1}   13.69{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1105171{col 67}{space 3} .1474344
{txt}{space 9}39  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1277206{col 26}{space 2} .0097609{col 37}{space 1}   13.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1085896{col 67}{space 3} .1468515
{txt}{space 9}40  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1264488{col 26}{space 2} .0101123{col 37}{space 1}   12.50{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .106629{col 67}{space 3} .1462686
{txt}{space 9}41  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1251603{col 26}{space 2}  .010472{col 37}{space 1}   11.95{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1046356{col 67}{space 3}  .145685
{txt}{space 9}42  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1238551{col 26}{space 2} .0108395{col 37}{space 1}   11.43{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}   .10261{col 67}{space 3} .1451003
{txt}{space 9}43  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1225334{col 26}{space 2} .0112147{col 37}{space 1}   10.93{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1005529{col 67}{space 3} .1445138
{txt}{space 9}44  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1211951{col 26}{space 2} .0115972{col 37}{space 1}   10.45{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .098465{col 67}{space 3} .1439251
{txt}{space 9}45  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1198404{col 26}{space 2} .0119866{col 37}{space 1}   10.00{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0963471{col 67}{space 3} .1433336
{txt}{space 9}46  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1184694{col 26}{space 2} .0123824{col 37}{space 1}    9.57{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0942003{col 67}{space 3} .1427385
{txt}{space 9}47  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1170824{col 26}{space 2} .0127843{col 37}{space 1}    9.16{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0920256{col 67}{space 3} .1421393
{txt}{space 9}48  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1156797{col 26}{space 2} .0131918{col 37}{space 1}    8.77{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0898242{col 67}{space 3} .1415352
{txt}{space 9}49  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1142615{col 26}{space 2} .0136044{col 37}{space 1}    8.40{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0875974{col 67}{space 3} .1409256
{txt}{space 9}50  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1128282{col 26}{space 2} .0140214{col 37}{space 1}    8.05{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0853467{col 67}{space 3} .1403097
{txt}{space 9}51  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1113801{col 26}{space 2} .0144424{col 37}{space 1}    7.71{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0830736{col 67}{space 3} .1396866
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}.                         //Figure SI.5.1
>         marginsplot,
>                         recastci(rspike)
>                         ciopts(lcolor(black) lwidth(*1.5)) 
>                         plotopts(mcolor(black) msize(*.8) lcolor(black))
>                         ysize(1)
>                         xsize(1.25)
>                         yscale(range(.05 .2) noextend titlegap(+2))
>                         xscale(range(0 1) noextend titlegap(+2))
>                         ylabel(.05(.05).2, angle(horizontal) nogrid)
>                         xlabel(0(.1)1)
>                         ytitle("Predicted probability (y=1) of full insurgent war", color(black))
>                         xtitle("Fraction of counterinsurgency courses")
>                         title("")
>                         legend(off)
>                         plotregion(lcolor(white)) 
>                         graphregion(color(white) lcolor(white) lalign(outside)) 
>                         addplot(scatter yaxis2 lSOAratio_coingen if modelobs2==1, mlabposition(0) ms(none) mlabel(sym2) mlabcolor(black))
>                         ;
{res}
{text}{p 2 6 2}Variables that uniquely identify margins: lSOAratio_coingen{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}.         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         graph export "$path\figureSI51.pdf", as(pdf) replace            
{txt}(file C:\Users\scharpf\Dropbox\SOAPaper\Submission\ISQ_FinalSubmission_03062020\Scharpf_ISQ_ReplicationFiles\\figureSI51.pdf written in PDF format)

{com}.         
.         *Restoring data
.         restore 
{txt}
{com}. 
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Table SI.5.3. Full insurgent wars (Kalyvas & Balcells), 1946-2004
.         ****************************************************************************    
.         
.         *Preserving data
.         preserve
{txt}
{com}.         
.         *Loading data for Table SI.5.3
.         use "$path\data_tableSI53.dta", clear
{txt}(Scharpf 2020 ISQ replication Table SI.5.3)

{com}.         
.         *Table SI.5.3
.         list countryname insurgents yrst yrend
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 13}{c -}{hline 33}{c -}{hline 6}{c -}{hline 9}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}countryname                        insurgents   yrst     yrend {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 13}{c -}{hline 33}{c -}{hline 6}{c -}{hline 9}{c RT}
  1. {c |} {res}    Bolivia                               MNR   1952      1952 {txt}{c |}
  2. {c |} {res}   Colombia   FARC, ELN, drug cartels, others   1978   Ongoing {txt}{c |}
  3. {c |} {res}       Cuba     26th of July Movement, others   1958      1959 {txt}{c |}
  4. {c |} {res}El Salvador                              FMLN   1979      1992 {txt}{c |}
  5. {c |} {res}  Guatemala                        Communists   1966      1972 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 13}{c -}{hline 33}{c -}{hline 6}{c -}{hline 9}{c RT}
  6. {c |} {res}  Guatemala            Communists, Indigenous   1978      1994 {txt}{c |}
  7. {c |} {res}  Nicaragua                              FSLN   1978      1979 {txt}{c |}
  8. {c |} {res}  Nicaragua                 Contras, Miskitos   1981      1990 {txt}{c |}
  9. {c |} {res}       Peru     Sendero Luminoso, Tupac Amaru   1980      1996 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 13}{c -}{hline 33}{c -}{hline 6}{c -}{hline 9}{c BRC}

{com}.                 
.         *Restoring data
.         restore
{txt}
{com}.                 
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Table SI.5.4. Threat escalation and course types
.         ****************************************************************************    
. 
.         *Model 1
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaCOIN 
>                 lguerrilladout lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc)   
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2647.7143}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2366.7882}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2348.6087}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2344.7551}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -2342.711}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2342.2806}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2342.1741}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2342.1673}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2342.1672}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2342.1672}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2323.6711}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2317.2348}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2317.2009}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2317.2008}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,061
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       451
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       610

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}7{txt})      = {res}     56.64
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-2317.201                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}       soaCOIN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaCOIN        {txt}{c |}
lguerrilladout {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .8544996{col 28}{space 2} .2800879{col 39}{space 1}    3.05{col 48}{space 3}0.002{col 56}{space 4} .3055374{col 69}{space 3} 1.403462
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0432518{col 28}{space 2} .2243047{col 39}{space 1}   -0.19{col 48}{space 3}0.847{col 56}{space 4}-.4828808{col 69}{space 3} .3963773
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1450071{col 28}{space 2} .2444445{col 39}{space 1}   -0.59{col 48}{space 3}0.553{col 56}{space 4}-.6241096{col 69}{space 3} .3340954
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5756416{col 28}{space 2} .3246723{col 39}{space 1}    1.77{col 48}{space 3}0.076{col 56}{space 4}-.0607043{col 69}{space 3} 1.211988
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0884439{col 28}{space 2} .2893745{col 39}{space 1}    0.31{col 48}{space 3}0.760{col 56}{space 4}-.4787197{col 69}{space 3} .6556076
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.3921584{col 28}{space 2} .1868876{col 39}{space 1}   -2.10{col 48}{space 3}0.036{col 56}{space 4}-.7584514{col 69}{space 3}-.0258654
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.4459357{col 28}{space 2} .1569462{col 39}{space 1}   -2.84{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4}-.7535446{col 69}{space 3}-.1383268
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 6.711888{col 28}{space 2} 1.498684{col 39}{space 1}    4.48{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 3.774522{col 69}{space 3} 9.649254
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.776542{col 28}{space 2}  1.00339{col 39}{space 1}   -1.77{col 48}{space 3}0.077{col 56}{space 4} -3.74315{col 69}{space 3} .1900652
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0204943{col 28}{space 2} .0631754{col 39}{space 1}    0.32{col 48}{space 3}0.746{col 56}{space 4}-.1033273{col 69}{space 3} .1443158
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.254603{col 28}{space 2} 2.030579{col 39}{space 1}    2.10{col 48}{space 3}0.036{col 56}{space 4} .2747423{col 69}{space 3} 8.234464
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.216326{col 28}{space 2} .6787262{col 39}{space 1}    1.79{col 48}{space 3}0.073{col 56}{space 4}-.1139527{col 69}{space 3} 2.546605
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.523888{col 28}{space 2} 1.825362{col 39}{space 1}   -1.38{col 48}{space 3}0.167{col 56}{space 4}-6.101532{col 69}{space 3} 1.053755
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.782799{col 28}{space 2} 1.506168{col 39}{space 1}    1.18{col 48}{space 3}0.237{col 56}{space 4}-1.169236{col 69}{space 3} 4.734834
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-3.822156{col 28}{space 2} 5.365646{col 39}{space 1}   -0.71{col 48}{space 3}0.476{col 56}{space 4}-14.33863{col 69}{space 3} 6.694317
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.620253{col 28}{space 2} .1583423{col 39}{space 1}   10.23{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 1.309908{col 69}{space 3} 1.930598
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  5.05437{col 28}{space 2} .8003204{col 56}{space 4} 3.705833{col 69}{space 3} 6.893633
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Model 2
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaCOIN 
>                 lbkirregular lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc)
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2647.7143}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2366.7882}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2348.6087}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2344.7551}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -2342.711}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2342.2806}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2342.1741}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2342.1673}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2342.1672}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2342.1672}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2327.9916}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -2323.338}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2323.3105}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2323.3104}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,061
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       451
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       610

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}7{txt})      = {res}     23.64
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -2323.31                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0013

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}       soaCOIN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaCOIN        {txt}{c |}
{space 2}lbkirregular {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .6472382{col 28}{space 2} .5886354{col 39}{space 1}    1.10{col 48}{space 3}0.272{col 56}{space 4} -.506466{col 69}{space 3} 1.800942
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2180204{col 28}{space 2} .2237874{col 39}{space 1}   -0.97{col 48}{space 3}0.330{col 56}{space 4}-.6566357{col 69}{space 3} .2205949
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .2836227{col 28}{space 2} .1966989{col 39}{space 1}    1.44{col 48}{space 3}0.149{col 56}{space 4}-.1019001{col 69}{space 3} .6691455
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4906871{col 28}{space 2} .1969721{col 39}{space 1}    2.49{col 48}{space 3}0.013{col 56}{space 4}  .104629{col 69}{space 3} .8767453
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .1454765{col 28}{space 2} .3282541{col 39}{space 1}    0.44{col 48}{space 3}0.658{col 56}{space 4}-.4978897{col 69}{space 3} .7888426
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.3998458{col 28}{space 2} .2241065{col 39}{space 1}   -1.78{col 48}{space 3}0.074{col 56}{space 4}-.8390864{col 69}{space 3} .0393948
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.469127{col 28}{space 2} .1830083{col 39}{space 1}   -2.56{col 48}{space 3}0.010{col 56}{space 4}-.8278166{col 69}{space 3}-.1104374
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  6.91719{col 28}{space 2} 1.742502{col 39}{space 1}    3.97{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 3.501949{col 69}{space 3} 10.33243
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.718846{col 28}{space 2} .9360347{col 39}{space 1}   -1.84{col 48}{space 3}0.066{col 56}{space 4}-3.553441{col 69}{space 3} .1157479
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0184972{col 28}{space 2} .0704451{col 39}{space 1}    0.26{col 48}{space 3}0.793{col 56}{space 4}-.1195726{col 69}{space 3}  .156567
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  4.14579{col 28}{space 2} 2.272303{col 39}{space 1}    1.82{col 48}{space 3}0.068{col 56}{space 4}-.3078417{col 69}{space 3} 8.599421
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.254277{col 28}{space 2} .6913429{col 39}{space 1}    1.81{col 48}{space 3}0.070{col 56}{space 4}-.1007304{col 69}{space 3} 2.609284
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.480519{col 28}{space 2} 2.171389{col 39}{space 1}   -1.14{col 48}{space 3}0.253{col 56}{space 4}-6.736363{col 69}{space 3} 1.775326
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.675402{col 28}{space 2} 1.849124{col 39}{space 1}    0.91{col 48}{space 3}0.365{col 56}{space 4}-1.948814{col 69}{space 3} 5.299618
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -3.49142{col 28}{space 2}  6.66115{col 39}{space 1}   -0.52{col 48}{space 3}0.600{col 56}{space 4}-16.54703{col 69}{space 3} 9.564193
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.633481{col 28}{space 2}  .159412{col 39}{space 1}   10.25{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 1.321039{col 69}{space 3} 1.945923
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 5.121672{col 28}{space 2}  .816456{col 56}{space 4} 3.747313{col 69}{space 3} 7.000088
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.                 
.         *Model 3
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaCOIN 
>                 lguerrilladout lbkirregular lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc)
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2647.7143}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2366.7882}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2348.6087}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2344.7551}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -2342.711}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2342.2806}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2342.1741}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2342.1673}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2342.1672}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2342.1672}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2323.0198}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2312.9143}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2312.8301}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2312.8299}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,061
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       451
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       610

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})      = {res}     63.49
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -2312.83                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}       soaCOIN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaCOIN        {txt}{c |}
lguerrilladout {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .9423154{col 28}{space 2} .2937212{col 39}{space 1}    3.21{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4} .3666324{col 69}{space 3} 1.517998
{txt}{space 2}lbkirregular {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .8527666{col 28}{space 2} .6116976{col 39}{space 1}    1.39{col 48}{space 3}0.163{col 56}{space 4}-.3461387{col 69}{space 3} 2.051672
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1141997{col 28}{space 2}  .214751{col 39}{space 1}   -0.53{col 48}{space 3}0.595{col 56}{space 4}-.5351039{col 69}{space 3} .3067045
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0383621{col 28}{space 2} .1852739{col 39}{space 1}    0.21{col 48}{space 3}0.836{col 56}{space 4}-.3247681{col 69}{space 3} .4014923
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .3920632{col 28}{space 2}  .167921{col 39}{space 1}    2.33{col 48}{space 3}0.020{col 56}{space 4} .0629441{col 69}{space 3} .7211823
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .1044284{col 28}{space 2} .3020622{col 39}{space 1}    0.35{col 48}{space 3}0.730{col 56}{space 4}-.4876026{col 69}{space 3} .6964594
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.4398918{col 28}{space 2} .2046312{col 39}{space 1}   -2.15{col 48}{space 3}0.032{col 56}{space 4}-.8409617{col 69}{space 3} -.038822
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.4678365{col 28}{space 2} .1706066{col 39}{space 1}   -2.74{col 48}{space 3}0.006{col 56}{space 4}-.8022192{col 69}{space 3}-.1334537
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 7.083154{col 28}{space 2} 1.628522{col 39}{space 1}    4.35{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}  3.89131{col 69}{space 3}   10.275
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.779112{col 28}{space 2} 1.067803{col 39}{space 1}   -1.67{col 48}{space 3}0.096{col 56}{space 4}-3.871968{col 69}{space 3} .3137439
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0176278{col 28}{space 2} .0661575{col 39}{space 1}    0.27{col 48}{space 3}0.790{col 56}{space 4}-.1120384{col 69}{space 3} .1472941
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.343485{col 28}{space 2} 2.013179{col 39}{space 1}    2.16{col 48}{space 3}0.031{col 56}{space 4} .3977258{col 69}{space 3} 8.289244
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.243239{col 28}{space 2} .6722075{col 39}{space 1}    1.85{col 48}{space 3}0.064{col 56}{space 4}-.0742637{col 69}{space 3} 2.560741
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.681682{col 28}{space 2} 1.918723{col 39}{space 1}   -1.40{col 48}{space 3}0.162{col 56}{space 4}-6.442311{col 69}{space 3} 1.078947
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.814283{col 28}{space 2} 1.495519{col 39}{space 1}    1.21{col 48}{space 3}0.225{col 56}{space 4} -1.11688{col 69}{space 3} 4.745445
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-3.949111{col 28}{space 2}  5.27091{col 39}{space 1}   -0.75{col 48}{space 3}0.454{col 56}{space 4}-14.27991{col 69}{space 3} 6.381684
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.613106{col 28}{space 2} .1552267{col 39}{space 1}   10.39{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 1.308867{col 69}{space 3} 1.917345
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 5.018373{col 28}{space 2} .7789855{col 56}{space 4} 3.701977{col 69}{space 3}  6.80287
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Model 4
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaNOCOINWARS 
>                 lguerrilladout lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4374.7855}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4113.0904}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4107.9236}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4107.8782}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4107.8781}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4107.8781}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4104.4473}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4104.2573}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4104.2567}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4104.2567}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,061
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       696
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       365

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}7{txt})      = {res}      9.02
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-4104.257                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.2511

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1} soaNOCOINWARS{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaNOCOINWARS  {txt}{c |}
lguerrilladout {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .1350863{col 28}{space 2} .1782978{col 39}{space 1}    0.76{col 48}{space 3}0.449{col 56}{space 4}-.2143711{col 69}{space 3} .4845437
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0510458{col 28}{space 2}   .15234{col 39}{space 1}   -0.34{col 48}{space 3}0.738{col 56}{space 4}-.3496268{col 69}{space 3} .2475352
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1431409{col 28}{space 2} .1750458{col 39}{space 1}   -0.82{col 48}{space 3}0.414{col 56}{space 4}-.4862244{col 69}{space 3} .1999426
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .1252872{col 28}{space 2} .1678949{col 39}{space 1}    0.75{col 48}{space 3}0.456{col 56}{space 4}-.2037807{col 69}{space 3} .4543551
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .1004872{col 28}{space 2} .1813359{col 39}{space 1}    0.55{col 48}{space 3}0.579{col 56}{space 4}-.2549247{col 69}{space 3} .4558991
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0375036{col 28}{space 2} .1077447{col 39}{space 1}   -0.35{col 48}{space 3}0.728{col 56}{space 4}-.2486793{col 69}{space 3} .1736722
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1810214{col 28}{space 2} .2206847{col 39}{space 1}   -0.82{col 48}{space 3}0.412{col 56}{space 4}-.6135555{col 69}{space 3} .2515127
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.996937{col 28}{space 2} 1.358499{col 39}{space 1}    3.68{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 2.334329{col 69}{space 3} 7.659546
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.313802{col 28}{space 2} .4391328{col 39}{space 1}   -2.99{col 48}{space 3}0.003{col 56}{space 4}-2.174487{col 69}{space 3}-.4531179
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0243953{col 28}{space 2} .0290469{col 39}{space 1}    0.84{col 48}{space 3}0.401{col 56}{space 4}-.0325356{col 69}{space 3} .0813261
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.480575{col 28}{space 2} .6268773{col 39}{space 1}    2.36{col 48}{space 3}0.018{col 56}{space 4} .2519176{col 69}{space 3} 2.709231
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .6582482{col 28}{space 2} .4039755{col 39}{space 1}    1.63{col 48}{space 3}0.103{col 56}{space 4}-.1335292{col 69}{space 3} 1.450026
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.9094956{col 28}{space 2} .3330378{col 39}{space 1}   -2.73{col 48}{space 3}0.006{col 56}{space 4}-1.562238{col 69}{space 3}-.2567535
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0580927{col 28}{space 2}  .413273{col 39}{space 1}   -0.14{col 48}{space 3}0.888{col 56}{space 4}-.8680928{col 69}{space 3} .7519074
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.286214{col 28}{space 2} 2.156741{col 39}{space 1}    1.06{col 48}{space 3}0.289{col 56}{space 4} -1.94092{col 69}{space 3} 6.513349
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .7276899{col 28}{space 2} .2372842{col 39}{space 1}    3.07{col 48}{space 3}0.002{col 56}{space 4} .2626214{col 69}{space 3} 1.192758
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.070293{col 28}{space 2} .4912477{col 56}{space 4} 1.300334{col 69}{space 3} 3.296161
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Model 5
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaNOCOINWARS 
>                 lbkirregular lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4374.7855}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4113.0904}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4107.9236}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4107.8782}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4107.8781}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4107.8781}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4099.6996}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4059.1429}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4058.0516}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4058.0384}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4058.0384}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,061
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       696
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       365

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}7{txt})      = {res}     16.32
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-4058.038                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0224

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1} soaNOCOINWARS{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaNOCOINWARS  {txt}{c |}
{space 2}lbkirregular {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.427006{col 28}{space 2} .4539743{col 39}{space 1}    3.14{col 48}{space 3}0.002{col 56}{space 4} .5372325{col 69}{space 3} 2.316779
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1990084{col 28}{space 2} .1282335{col 39}{space 1}   -1.55{col 48}{space 3}0.121{col 56}{space 4}-.4503414{col 69}{space 3} .0523246
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .1160178{col 28}{space 2} .1121962{col 39}{space 1}    1.03{col 48}{space 3}0.301{col 56}{space 4}-.1038827{col 69}{space 3} .3359183
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0616845{col 28}{space 2} .1141804{col 39}{space 1}    0.54{col 48}{space 3}0.589{col 56}{space 4} -.162105{col 69}{space 3}  .285474
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  .060955{col 28}{space 2} .1523575{col 39}{space 1}    0.40{col 48}{space 3}0.689{col 56}{space 4}-.2376602{col 69}{space 3} .3595701
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1362248{col 28}{space 2} .0816868{col 39}{space 1}   -1.67{col 48}{space 3}0.095{col 56}{space 4}-.2963281{col 69}{space 3} .0238784
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1865322{col 28}{space 2} .2346209{col 39}{space 1}   -0.80{col 48}{space 3}0.427{col 56}{space 4}-.6463806{col 69}{space 3} .2733163
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 5.596235{col 28}{space 2} 1.415415{col 39}{space 1}    3.95{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 2.822072{col 69}{space 3} 8.370398
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.186692{col 28}{space 2} .4140478{col 39}{space 1}   -2.87{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4}-1.998211{col 69}{space 3}-.3751737
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0218414{col 28}{space 2} .0281333{col 39}{space 1}    0.78{col 48}{space 3}0.438{col 56}{space 4}-.0332989{col 69}{space 3} .0769817
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.365168{col 28}{space 2} .5341315{col 39}{space 1}    2.56{col 48}{space 3}0.011{col 56}{space 4} .3182896{col 69}{space 3} 2.412046
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .6152896{col 28}{space 2} .3968898{col 39}{space 1}    1.55{col 48}{space 3}0.121{col 56}{space 4}   -.1626{col 69}{space 3} 1.393179
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.8824152{col 28}{space 2} .3233959{col 39}{space 1}   -2.73{col 48}{space 3}0.006{col 56}{space 4} -1.51626{col 69}{space 3}-.2485708
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0737382{col 28}{space 2} .3633351{col 39}{space 1}   -0.20{col 48}{space 3}0.839{col 56}{space 4}-.7858619{col 69}{space 3} .6383856
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.176018{col 28}{space 2}  2.06257{col 39}{space 1}    1.06{col 48}{space 3}0.291{col 56}{space 4}-1.866546{col 69}{space 3} 6.218582
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5492317{col 28}{space 2} .2461623{col 39}{space 1}    2.23{col 48}{space 3}0.026{col 56}{space 4} .0667624{col 69}{space 3} 1.031701
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.731922{col 28}{space 2}  .426334{col 56}{space 4} 1.069041{col 69}{space 3} 2.805835
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr             
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Model 6
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaNOCOINWARS 
>                 lguerrilladout lbkirregular lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4374.7855}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4113.0904}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4107.9236}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4107.8782}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4107.8781}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4107.8781}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4063.8153}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4052.9431}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4052.8114}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4052.8113}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,061
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       696
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       365

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})      = {res}     29.45
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-4052.811                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0003

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1} soaNOCOINWARS{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaNOCOINWARS  {txt}{c |}
lguerrilladout {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4195472{col 28}{space 2} .1154826{col 39}{space 1}    3.63{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} .1932055{col 69}{space 3} .6458888
{txt}{space 2}lbkirregular {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  1.50367{col 28}{space 2} .4638417{col 39}{space 1}    3.24{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4} .5945574{col 69}{space 3} 2.412783
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1667974{col 28}{space 2} .1348558{col 39}{space 1}   -1.24{col 48}{space 3}0.216{col 56}{space 4}-.4311098{col 69}{space 3} .0975151
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0246401{col 28}{space 2} .1288126{col 39}{space 1}    0.19{col 48}{space 3}0.848{col 56}{space 4} -.227828{col 69}{space 3} .2771081
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  .048004{col 28}{space 2} .1075561{col 39}{space 1}    0.45{col 48}{space 3}0.655{col 56}{space 4}-.1628021{col 69}{space 3} .2588101
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0632021{col 28}{space 2} .1462123{col 39}{space 1}    0.43{col 48}{space 3}0.666{col 56}{space 4}-.2233688{col 69}{space 3}  .349773
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1454724{col 28}{space 2} .0791747{col 39}{space 1}   -1.84{col 48}{space 3}0.066{col 56}{space 4} -.300652{col 69}{space 3} .0097071
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1999283{col 28}{space 2} .2170416{col 39}{space 1}   -0.92{col 48}{space 3}0.357{col 56}{space 4} -.625322{col 69}{space 3} .2254654
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 5.660382{col 28}{space 2} 1.346751{col 39}{space 1}    4.20{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 3.020798{col 69}{space 3} 8.299966
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -1.17223{col 28}{space 2} .4087496{col 39}{space 1}   -2.87{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4}-1.973364{col 69}{space 3}-.3710953
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0213928{col 28}{space 2} .0279205{col 39}{space 1}    0.77{col 48}{space 3}0.444{col 56}{space 4}-.0333303{col 69}{space 3}  .076116
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.345028{col 28}{space 2} .5177867{col 39}{space 1}    2.60{col 48}{space 3}0.009{col 56}{space 4} .3301847{col 69}{space 3} 2.359871
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .6042826{col 28}{space 2} .3921184{col 39}{space 1}    1.54{col 48}{space 3}0.123{col 56}{space 4}-.1642554{col 69}{space 3} 1.372821
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.8821578{col 28}{space 2} .3229266{col 39}{space 1}   -2.73{col 48}{space 3}0.006{col 56}{space 4}-1.515082{col 69}{space 3}-.2492334
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0782507{col 28}{space 2} .3599179{col 39}{space 1}   -0.22{col 48}{space 3}0.828{col 56}{space 4}-.7836768{col 69}{space 3} .6271754
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.173649{col 28}{space 2}  2.05344{col 39}{space 1}    1.06{col 48}{space 3}0.290{col 56}{space 4} -1.85102{col 69}{space 3} 6.198318
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5287148{col 28}{space 2} .2436391{col 39}{space 1}    2.17{col 48}{space 3}0.030{col 56}{space 4} .0511909{col 69}{space 3} 1.006239
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  1.69675{col 28}{space 2} .4133947{col 56}{space 4} 1.052524{col 69}{space 3} 2.735293
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         
. ********************************************************************************
. *SI.6    Robustness checks
. ********************************************************************************        
. 
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Table SI.6.1. Distinguishing student types
.         ****************************************************************************    
.         
.         *Model 1
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaENLIST 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3237.2327}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2962.3367}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2941.7314}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2940.5721}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -2940.544}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2940.5439}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2940.5439}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2908.6645}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2904.2155}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2904.1786}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2904.1786}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,061
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       538
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       523

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}7{txt})      = {res}     31.38
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-2904.179                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0001

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}     soaENLIST{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaENLIST      {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .9134646{col 28}{space 2} .3710917{col 39}{space 1}    2.46{col 48}{space 3}0.014{col 56}{space 4} .1861383{col 69}{space 3} 1.640791
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2917204{col 28}{space 2} .1589245{col 39}{space 1}   -1.84{col 48}{space 3}0.066{col 56}{space 4}-.6032068{col 69}{space 3} .0197659
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1488291{col 28}{space 2} .1616805{col 39}{space 1}   -0.92{col 48}{space 3}0.357{col 56}{space 4} -.465717{col 69}{space 3} .1680588
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .2478882{col 28}{space 2} .1826725{col 39}{space 1}    1.36{col 48}{space 3}0.175{col 56}{space 4}-.1101433{col 69}{space 3} .6059197
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0013622{col 28}{space 2} .1829561{col 39}{space 1}   -0.01{col 48}{space 3}0.994{col 56}{space 4}-.3599495{col 69}{space 3} .3572252
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2710201{col 28}{space 2} .0951196{col 39}{space 1}   -2.85{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4}-.4574511{col 69}{space 3}-.0845892
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2955282{col 28}{space 2} .1807899{col 39}{space 1}   -1.63{col 48}{space 3}0.102{col 56}{space 4}-.6498698{col 69}{space 3} .0588134
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 6.209535{col 28}{space 2} .8878807{col 39}{space 1}    6.99{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 4.469321{col 69}{space 3} 7.949749
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.520772{col 28}{space 2} .3562819{col 39}{space 1}   -4.27{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-2.219072{col 69}{space 3}-.8224725
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0140713{col 28}{space 2} .0295924{col 39}{space 1}    0.48{col 48}{space 3}0.634{col 56}{space 4}-.0439286{col 69}{space 3} .0720712
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.559113{col 28}{space 2}  .443887{col 39}{space 1}    3.51{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} .6891106{col 69}{space 3} 2.429116
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4080044{col 28}{space 2} .4034622{col 39}{space 1}    1.01{col 48}{space 3}0.312{col 56}{space 4}-.3827671{col 69}{space 3} 1.198776
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.6105436{col 28}{space 2} .3005784{col 39}{space 1}   -2.03{col 48}{space 3}0.042{col 56}{space 4}-1.199666{col 69}{space 3}-.0214208
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1664713{col 28}{space 2} .3021352{col 39}{space 1}   -0.55{col 48}{space 3}0.582{col 56}{space 4}-.7586454{col 69}{space 3} .4257028
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.866516{col 28}{space 2} 1.792749{col 39}{space 1}    2.16{col 48}{space 3}0.031{col 56}{space 4}  .352793{col 69}{space 3}  7.38024
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .7275465{col 28}{space 2} .2205853{col 39}{space 1}    3.30{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4} .2952072{col 69}{space 3} 1.159886
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.069996{col 28}{space 2} .4566107{col 56}{space 4} 1.343405{col 69}{space 3} 3.189569
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Model 2
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaOFFIC
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4206.7522}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3952.6545}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3947.2754}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3947.2054}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -3947.205}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -3947.205}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -3947.205}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3925.7741}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3918.6806}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3918.4402}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3918.4376}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3918.4376}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,061
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       689
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       372

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}7{txt})      = {res}     16.69
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3918.438                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0195

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}      soaOFFIC{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaOFFIC       {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .8394662{col 28}{space 2} .2798704{col 39}{space 1}    3.00{col 48}{space 3}0.003{col 56}{space 4} .2909303{col 69}{space 3} 1.388002
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0579772{col 28}{space 2} .1165002{col 39}{space 1}   -0.50{col 48}{space 3}0.619{col 56}{space 4}-.2863134{col 69}{space 3}  .170359
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1287931{col 28}{space 2} .1893116{col 39}{space 1}   -0.68{col 48}{space 3}0.496{col 56}{space 4}-.4998371{col 69}{space 3} .2422508
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0692918{col 28}{space 2} .1044838{col 39}{space 1}    0.66{col 48}{space 3}0.507{col 56}{space 4}-.1354927{col 69}{space 3} .2740762
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0661292{col 28}{space 2} .1454192{col 39}{space 1}    0.45{col 48}{space 3}0.649{col 56}{space 4}-.2188872{col 69}{space 3} .3511456
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0023801{col 28}{space 2} .1065345{col 39}{space 1}    0.02{col 48}{space 3}0.982{col 56}{space 4}-.2064236{col 69}{space 3} .2111839
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1546133{col 28}{space 2} .2045843{col 39}{space 1}   -0.76{col 48}{space 3}0.450{col 56}{space 4}-.5555912{col 69}{space 3} .2463647
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.123503{col 28}{space 2} 1.441801{col 39}{space 1}    2.86{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4} 1.297625{col 69}{space 3}  6.94938
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.227458{col 28}{space 2} .4906159{col 39}{space 1}   -2.50{col 48}{space 3}0.012{col 56}{space 4}-2.189048{col 69}{space 3}-.2658687
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0232568{col 28}{space 2} .0303707{col 39}{space 1}    0.77{col 48}{space 3}0.444{col 56}{space 4}-.0362686{col 69}{space 3} .0827823
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  1.40038{col 28}{space 2}  .664428{col 39}{space 1}    2.11{col 48}{space 3}0.035{col 56}{space 4} .0981248{col 69}{space 3} 2.702635
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .6497937{col 28}{space 2} .4136904{col 39}{space 1}    1.57{col 48}{space 3}0.116{col 56}{space 4}-.1610246{col 69}{space 3} 1.460612
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.8327153{col 28}{space 2} .3537852{col 39}{space 1}   -2.35{col 48}{space 3}0.019{col 56}{space 4}-1.526122{col 69}{space 3} -.139309
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0018518{col 28}{space 2} .4486833{col 39}{space 1}    0.00{col 48}{space 3}0.997{col 56}{space 4}-.8775512{col 69}{space 3} .8812549
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.886459{col 28}{space 2} 2.321177{col 39}{space 1}    0.81{col 48}{space 3}0.416{col 56}{space 4}-2.662964{col 69}{space 3} 6.435883
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .6839153{col 28}{space 2} .2574204{col 39}{space 1}    2.66{col 48}{space 3}0.008{col 56}{space 4} .1793806{col 69}{space 3}  1.18845
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.981621{col 28}{space 2} .5101096{col 56}{space 4} 1.196476{col 69}{space 3}  3.28199
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Table SI.6.2. Different measures of agreement with US foreign policy
.         ****************************************************************************    
.         
.         *Model 1
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward 
>                 ,inflate(llnustroops) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5738.7456}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5405.5649}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5357.0662}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5355.0984}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5355.0887}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5355.0887}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5355.0887}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5325.3391}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5322.1295}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5322.1251}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5322.1251}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,540
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       858
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       682

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}5{txt})      = {res}     23.93
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-5322.125                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0002

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:33} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      soaGEN{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN       {txt}{c |}
{space 1}lguerrillad {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9546924{col 26}{space 2} .2846485{col 37}{space 1}    3.35{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .3967916{col 67}{space 3} 1.512593
{txt}{space 3}lstrikesd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1698597{col 26}{space 2}  .151186{col 37}{space 1}   -1.12{col 46}{space 3}0.261{col 54}{space 4}-.4661788{col 67}{space 3} .1264593
{txt}{space 5}lriotsd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0012116{col 26}{space 2} .1572747{col 37}{space 1}    0.01{col 46}{space 3}0.994{col 54}{space 4}-.3070412{col 67}{space 3} .3094643
{txt}{space 5}ldemond {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0218408{col 26}{space 2} .1240879{col 37}{space 1}   -0.18{col 46}{space 3}0.860{col 54}{space 4}-.2650486{col 67}{space 3} .2213669
{txt}{space 1}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1071228{col 26}{space 2} .1567497{col 37}{space 1}    0.68{col 46}{space 3}0.494{col 54}{space 4}-.2001009{col 67}{space 3} .4143466
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.745455{col 26}{space 2} .2144557{col 37}{space 1}   17.46{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  3.32513{col 67}{space 3} 4.165781
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate      {txt}{c |}
{space 1}llnustroops {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.141665{col 26}{space 2} .1739671{col 37}{space 1}   -6.56{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.482634{col 67}{space 3}-.8006955
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.118001{col 26}{space 2} .4728642{col 37}{space 1}    4.48{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.191204{col 67}{space 3} 3.044798
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}/lnalpha {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.027662{col 26}{space 2} .3346034{col 37}{space 1}    3.07{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .3718511{col 67}{space 3} 1.683472
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       alpha {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.794524{col 26}{space 2} .9350573{col 54}{space 4} 1.450417{col 67}{space 3}  5.38422
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Model 2
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation
>                 ,inflate(llnustroops llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4558.1123}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4305.0322}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4300.7502}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4282.9932}  (not concave)
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4265.6607}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4178.0334}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4165.8637}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4164.5749}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4164.5337}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4164.5337}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4164.5337}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4135.4477}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4123.6898}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4123.5276}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4123.5275}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,063
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       707
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       356

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}7{txt})      = {res}     19.48
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-4123.528                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0068

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}        soaGEN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN         {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .9617827{col 28}{space 2} .2923374{col 39}{space 1}    3.29{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4} .3888119{col 69}{space 3} 1.534754
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1465066{col 28}{space 2} .1272412{col 39}{space 1}   -1.15{col 48}{space 3}0.250{col 56}{space 4}-.3958948{col 69}{space 3} .1028817
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1373333{col 28}{space 2} .1594062{col 39}{space 1}   -0.86{col 48}{space 3}0.389{col 56}{space 4}-.4497637{col 69}{space 3} .1750971
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0938267{col 28}{space 2} .1119051{col 39}{space 1}    0.84{col 48}{space 3}0.402{col 56}{space 4}-.1255033{col 69}{space 3} .3131567
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0912845{col 28}{space 2} .1707506{col 39}{space 1}   -0.53{col 48}{space 3}0.593{col 56}{space 4}-.4259495{col 69}{space 3} .2433805
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1888671{col 28}{space 2} .0857153{col 39}{space 1}   -2.20{col 48}{space 3}0.028{col 56}{space 4} -.356866{col 69}{space 3}-.0208683
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.263288{col 28}{space 2} .1916623{col 39}{space 1}   -1.37{col 48}{space 3}0.170{col 56}{space 4}-.6389392{col 69}{space 3} .1123632
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 6.457933{col 28}{space 2} 1.186813{col 39}{space 1}    5.44{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 4.131821{col 69}{space 3} 8.784044
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 3}llnustroops {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-5.986291{col 28}{space 2} 2.265532{col 39}{space 1}   -2.64{col 48}{space 3}0.008{col 56}{space 4}-10.42665{col 69}{space 3} -1.54593
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0196989{col 28}{space 2} .0369416{col 39}{space 1}    0.53{col 48}{space 3}0.594{col 56}{space 4}-.0527053{col 69}{space 3} .0921031
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .6012626{col 28}{space 2} .6545958{col 39}{space 1}    0.92{col 48}{space 3}0.358{col 56}{space 4}-.6817216{col 69}{space 3} 1.884247
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0340946{col 28}{space 2} .9775417{col 39}{space 1}   -0.03{col 48}{space 3}0.972{col 56}{space 4}-1.950041{col 69}{space 3} 1.881852
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.421889{col 28}{space 2} 2.626615{col 39}{space 1}   -0.92{col 48}{space 3}0.356{col 56}{space 4} -7.56996{col 69}{space 3} 2.726182
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4894077{col 28}{space 2} .6171397{col 39}{space 1}    0.79{col 48}{space 3}0.428{col 56}{space 4}-.7201639{col 69}{space 3} 1.698979
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 14.76682{col 28}{space 2} 6.199858{col 39}{space 1}    2.38{col 48}{space 3}0.017{col 56}{space 4} 2.615326{col 69}{space 3} 26.91832
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .7829343{col 28}{space 2} .2204388{col 39}{space 1}    3.55{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} .3508822{col 69}{space 3} 1.214986
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.187883{col 28}{space 2} .4822942{col 56}{space 4}  1.42032{col 69}{space 3} 3.370248
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         *Model 3
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward 
>                 ,inflate(mildict) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5738.7456}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5467.2088}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5463.0507}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5461.4755}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5461.4721}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5461.4721}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5461.4721}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5429.2439}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -5420.877}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5420.8386}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5420.8385}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,540
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       858
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       682

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}5{txt})      = {res}     22.01
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-5420.839                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0005

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:33} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      soaGEN{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN       {txt}{c |}
{space 1}lguerrillad {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8927448{col 26}{space 2} .2700103{col 37}{space 1}    3.31{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .3635343{col 67}{space 3} 1.421955
{txt}{space 3}lstrikesd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2119901{col 26}{space 2} .1381665{col 37}{space 1}   -1.53{col 46}{space 3}0.125{col 54}{space 4}-.4827914{col 67}{space 3} .0588112
{txt}{space 5}lriotsd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.047669{col 26}{space 2} .1542458{col 37}{space 1}   -0.31{col 46}{space 3}0.757{col 54}{space 4}-.3499852{col 67}{space 3} .2546472
{txt}{space 5}ldemond {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0357185{col 26}{space 2} .1142706{col 37}{space 1}   -0.31{col 46}{space 3}0.755{col 54}{space 4}-.2596848{col 67}{space 3} .1882478
{txt}{space 1}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1495146{col 26}{space 2} .1357867{col 37}{space 1}    1.10{col 46}{space 3}0.271{col 54}{space 4}-.1166225{col 67}{space 3} .4156516
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.933473{col 26}{space 2} .1628291{col 37}{space 1}   24.16{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 3.614334{col 67}{space 3} 4.252612
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate      {txt}{c |}
{space 5}mildict {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9782697{col 26}{space 2} .4371292{col 37}{space 1}   -2.24{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4}-1.835027{col 67}{space 3}-.1215121
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2216581{col 26}{space 2} .3084265{col 37}{space 1}   -0.72{col 46}{space 3}0.472{col 54}{space 4} -.826163{col 67}{space 3} .3828467
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}/lnalpha {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5541696{col 26}{space 2} .1802843{col 37}{space 1}    3.07{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .2008188{col 67}{space 3} .9075203
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       alpha {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.740495{col 26}{space 2} .3137839{col 54}{space 4} 1.222403{col 67}{space 3}  2.47817
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Model 4
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation
>                 ,inflate(mildict llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4558.1123}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4329.2036}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4324.6097}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4324.5851}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4324.5851}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4324.5851}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4307.0377}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4284.1914}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4284.0699}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4284.0698}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,063
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       707
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       356

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}7{txt})      = {res}     18.76
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -4284.07                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0090

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}        soaGEN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN         {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .8828655{col 28}{space 2}  .278347{col 39}{space 1}    3.17{col 48}{space 3}0.002{col 56}{space 4} .3373155{col 69}{space 3} 1.428416
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  -.16375{col 28}{space 2} .1290118{col 39}{space 1}   -1.27{col 48}{space 3}0.204{col 56}{space 4}-.4166084{col 69}{space 3} .0891085
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1257978{col 28}{space 2} .1666779{col 39}{space 1}   -0.75{col 48}{space 3}0.450{col 56}{space 4}-.4524804{col 69}{space 3} .2008848
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0683186{col 28}{space 2} .1123907{col 39}{space 1}    0.61{col 48}{space 3}0.543{col 56}{space 4}-.1519632{col 69}{space 3} .2886003
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0112962{col 28}{space 2} .1346851{col 39}{space 1}    0.08{col 48}{space 3}0.933{col 56}{space 4}-.2526817{col 69}{space 3} .2752741
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1234322{col 28}{space 2} .0760656{col 39}{space 1}   -1.62{col 48}{space 3}0.105{col 56}{space 4}-.2725179{col 69}{space 3} .0256536
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2445574{col 28}{space 2} .1982242{col 39}{space 1}   -1.23{col 48}{space 3}0.217{col 56}{space 4}-.6330697{col 69}{space 3} .1439548
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 5.952331{col 28}{space 2}  1.18865{col 39}{space 1}    5.01{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 3.622619{col 69}{space 3} 8.282042
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 7}mildict {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.8993311{col 28}{space 2} .4862883{col 39}{space 1}   -1.85{col 48}{space 3}0.064{col 56}{space 4}-1.852439{col 69}{space 3} .0537765
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0234637{col 28}{space 2} .0291707{col 39}{space 1}    0.80{col 48}{space 3}0.421{col 56}{space 4}-.0337099{col 69}{space 3} .0806372
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.393089{col 28}{space 2} .4136698{col 39}{space 1}    3.37{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4} .5823109{col 69}{space 3} 2.203867
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.000719{col 28}{space 2} .4376224{col 39}{space 1}    2.29{col 48}{space 3}0.022{col 56}{space 4} .1429945{col 69}{space 3} 1.858443
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2122454{col 28}{space 2} .3685026{col 39}{space 1}   -0.58{col 48}{space 3}0.565{col 56}{space 4}-.9344973{col 69}{space 3} .5100064
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  .384933{col 28}{space 2} .3078441{col 39}{space 1}    1.25{col 48}{space 3}0.211{col 56}{space 4}-.2184303{col 69}{space 3} .9882963
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-2.196147{col 28}{space 2} 1.073387{col 39}{space 1}   -2.05{col 48}{space 3}0.041{col 56}{space 4}-4.299947{col 69}{space 3}-.0923478
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4592501{col 28}{space 2} .1867317{col 39}{space 1}    2.46{col 48}{space 3}0.014{col 56}{space 4} .0932626{col 69}{space 3} .8252375
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.582886{col 28}{space 2} .2955751{col 56}{space 4}  1.09775{col 69}{space 3} 2.282423
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Table SI.6.3. Different measures of insurgent threat
.         ****************************************************************************    
.         
.         *Model 1
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lcoin lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward 
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5721.9736}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5417.4009}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5404.2696}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5404.1779}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5404.1778}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5404.1778}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5368.5279}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5361.5735}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5361.5428}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5361.5428}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,532
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       856
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       676

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}5{txt})      = {res}     16.90
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-5361.543                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0047

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:33} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      soaGEN{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN       {txt}{c |}
{space 7}lcoin {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.065244{col 26}{space 2} .3493991{col 37}{space 1}    3.05{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .3804344{col 67}{space 3} 1.750053
{txt}{space 3}lstrikesd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2629947{col 26}{space 2}  .124697{col 37}{space 1}   -2.11{col 46}{space 3}0.035{col 54}{space 4}-.5073963{col 67}{space 3}-.0185931
{txt}{space 5}lriotsd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1156216{col 26}{space 2} .1094906{col 37}{space 1}    1.06{col 46}{space 3}0.291{col 54}{space 4}-.0989761{col 67}{space 3} .3302193
{txt}{space 5}ldemond {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0169912{col 26}{space 2} .1262364{col 37}{space 1}    0.13{col 46}{space 3}0.893{col 54}{space 4}-.2304276{col 67}{space 3}   .26441
{txt}{space 1}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1729568{col 26}{space 2} .1502218{col 37}{space 1}    1.15{col 46}{space 3}0.250{col 54}{space 4}-.1214724{col 67}{space 3} .4673861
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.931267{col 26}{space 2} .1692419{col 37}{space 1}   23.23{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 3.599559{col 67}{space 3} 4.262975
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate      {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6426398{col 26}{space 2} .1412234{col 37}{space 1}   -4.55{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.9194327{col 67}{space 3} -.365847
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.314064{col 26}{space 2} .5433952{col 37}{space 1}    2.42{col 46}{space 3}0.016{col 54}{space 4} .2490294{col 67}{space 3} 2.379099
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}/lnalpha {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5558395{col 26}{space 2} .1904967{col 37}{space 1}    2.92{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4} .1824729{col 67}{space 3} .9292061
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       alpha {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.743404{col 26}{space 2} .3321126{col 54}{space 4} 1.200182{col 67}{space 3} 2.532498
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Model 2
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lcoin lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4547.6507}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4294.4361}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.9825}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.8233}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.8228}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.8228}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.8228}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -4277.334}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4243.5521}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -4242.997}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4242.9961}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4242.9961}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,061
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       705
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       356

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}7{txt})      = {res}     16.12
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-4242.996                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0240

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}        soaGEN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN         {txt}{c |}
{space 9}lcoin {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.090971{col 28}{space 2}  .365945{col 39}{space 1}    2.98{col 48}{space 3}0.003{col 56}{space 4} .3737321{col 69}{space 3}  1.80821
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1946623{col 28}{space 2} .1129172{col 39}{space 1}   -1.72{col 48}{space 3}0.085{col 56}{space 4}-.4159759{col 69}{space 3} .0266513
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0377165{col 28}{space 2} .1248062{col 39}{space 1}    0.30{col 48}{space 3}0.762{col 56}{space 4}-.2068992{col 69}{space 3} .2823322
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .1575368{col 28}{space 2}  .112854{col 39}{space 1}    1.40{col 48}{space 3}0.163{col 56}{space 4}-.0636529{col 69}{space 3} .3787266
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0451904{col 28}{space 2} .1582991{col 39}{space 1}    0.29{col 48}{space 3}0.775{col 56}{space 4}-.2650702{col 69}{space 3}  .355451
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1541754{col 28}{space 2} .0749013{col 39}{space 1}   -2.06{col 48}{space 3}0.040{col 56}{space 4}-.3009793{col 69}{space 3}-.0073715
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2224341{col 28}{space 2} .2235248{col 39}{space 1}   -1.00{col 48}{space 3}0.320{col 56}{space 4}-.6605347{col 69}{space 3} .2156666
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 6.079693{col 28}{space 2} 1.297498{col 39}{space 1}    4.69{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 3.536643{col 69}{space 3} 8.622743
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.118172{col 28}{space 2} .4050157{col 39}{space 1}   -2.76{col 48}{space 3}0.006{col 56}{space 4}-1.911989{col 69}{space 3}-.3243563
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0233545{col 28}{space 2} .0280714{col 39}{space 1}    0.83{col 48}{space 3}0.405{col 56}{space 4}-.0316644{col 69}{space 3} .0783734
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.288418{col 28}{space 2} .4918251{col 39}{space 1}    2.62{col 48}{space 3}0.009{col 56}{space 4} .3244583{col 69}{space 3} 2.252377
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  .609172{col 28}{space 2} .3779422{col 39}{space 1}    1.61{col 48}{space 3}0.107{col 56}{space 4} -.131581{col 69}{space 3} 1.349925
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.8895094{col 28}{space 2}  .314043{col 39}{space 1}   -2.83{col 48}{space 3}0.005{col 56}{space 4}-1.505022{col 69}{space 3}-.2739963
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0450204{col 28}{space 2} .3549081{col 39}{space 1}   -0.13{col 48}{space 3}0.899{col 56}{space 4}-.7406275{col 69}{space 3} .6505867
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.954312{col 28}{space 2} 2.067202{col 39}{space 1}    0.95{col 48}{space 3}0.344{col 56}{space 4}-2.097329{col 69}{space 3} 6.005953
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4817489{col 28}{space 2} .2184361{col 39}{space 1}    2.21{col 48}{space 3}0.027{col 56}{space 4} .0536221{col 69}{space 3} .9098758
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.618903{col 28}{space 2} .3536269{col 56}{space 4} 1.055086{col 69}{space 3} 2.484014
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr     
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Model 3
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lbkirregular lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward 
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5721.9736}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5417.4009}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5404.2696}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5404.1779}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5404.1778}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5404.1778}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5366.4316}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5358.1476}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5358.0872}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5358.0871}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,532
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       856
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       676

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}5{txt})      = {res}     14.69
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-5358.087                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0118

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:33} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      soaGEN{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN       {txt}{c |}
lbkirregular {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.296092{col 26}{space 2} .4188193{col 37}{space 1}    3.09{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .4752209{col 67}{space 3} 2.116962
{txt}{space 3}lstrikesd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3142588{col 26}{space 2} .1279515{col 37}{space 1}   -2.46{col 46}{space 3}0.014{col 54}{space 4}-.5650391{col 67}{space 3}-.0634785
{txt}{space 5}lriotsd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1887682{col 26}{space 2} .0909941{col 37}{space 1}    2.07{col 46}{space 3}0.038{col 54}{space 4} .0104229{col 67}{space 3} .3671134
{txt}{space 5}ldemond {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0193916{col 26}{space 2}  .115947{col 37}{space 1}   -0.17{col 46}{space 3}0.867{col 54}{space 4}-.2466436{col 67}{space 3} .2078604
{txt}{space 1}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1601548{col 26}{space 2} .1437486{col 37}{space 1}    1.11{col 46}{space 3}0.265{col 54}{space 4}-.1215873{col 67}{space 3} .4418968
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.962198{col 26}{space 2}  .159165{col 37}{space 1}   24.89{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  3.65024{col 67}{space 3} 4.274156
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate      {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6386015{col 26}{space 2} .1402558{col 37}{space 1}   -4.55{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.9134977{col 67}{space 3}-.3637053
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.315655{col 26}{space 2} .5414042{col 37}{space 1}    2.43{col 46}{space 3}0.015{col 54}{space 4} .2545226{col 67}{space 3} 2.376788
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}/lnalpha {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5343525{col 26}{space 2} .1916227{col 37}{space 1}    2.79{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} .1587788{col 67}{space 3} .9099261
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       alpha {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.706343{col 26}{space 2} .3269741{col 54}{space 4} 1.172079{col 67}{space 3} 2.484139
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Model 4
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lbkirregular lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4547.6507}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4294.4361}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.9825}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.8233}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.8228}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.8228}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.8228}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4284.7632}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4239.8982}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4238.9409}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4238.9396}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4238.9396}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,061
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       705
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       356

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}7{txt})      = {res}     14.49
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -4238.94                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0431

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}        soaGEN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN         {txt}{c |}
{space 2}lbkirregular {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.320769{col 28}{space 2} .4423583{col 39}{space 1}    2.99{col 48}{space 3}0.003{col 56}{space 4} .4537621{col 69}{space 3} 2.187775
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2453037{col 28}{space 2} .1209964{col 39}{space 1}   -2.03{col 48}{space 3}0.043{col 56}{space 4}-.4824523{col 69}{space 3}-.0081551
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .1144129{col 28}{space 2}  .111827{col 39}{space 1}    1.02{col 48}{space 3}0.306{col 56}{space 4} -.104764{col 69}{space 3} .3335898
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  .124508{col 28}{space 2} .1010585{col 39}{space 1}    1.23{col 48}{space 3}0.218{col 56}{space 4} -.073563{col 69}{space 3} .3225789
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0337719{col 28}{space 2} .1490684{col 39}{space 1}    0.23{col 48}{space 3}0.821{col 56}{space 4}-.2583968{col 69}{space 3} .3259406
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1588327{col 28}{space 2} .0762857{col 39}{space 1}   -2.08{col 48}{space 3}0.037{col 56}{space 4}  -.30835{col 69}{space 3}-.0093155
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2316078{col 28}{space 2} .2265637{col 39}{space 1}   -1.02{col 48}{space 3}0.307{col 56}{space 4}-.6756645{col 69}{space 3} .2124489
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 6.183676{col 28}{space 2} 1.319699{col 39}{space 1}    4.69{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 3.597114{col 69}{space 3} 8.770238
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -1.10936{col 28}{space 2} .3967924{col 39}{space 1}   -2.80{col 48}{space 3}0.005{col 56}{space 4}-1.887058{col 69}{space 3}-.3316607
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0230963{col 28}{space 2} .0279476{col 39}{space 1}    0.83{col 48}{space 3}0.409{col 56}{space 4}  -.03168{col 69}{space 3} .0778726
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.271884{col 28}{space 2} .4773673{col 39}{space 1}    2.66{col 48}{space 3}0.008{col 56}{space 4} .3362615{col 69}{space 3} 2.207507
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .6033033{col 28}{space 2} .3746448{col 39}{space 1}    1.61{col 48}{space 3}0.107{col 56}{space 4}-.1309869{col 69}{space 3} 1.337594
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.8868107{col 28}{space 2} .3120919{col 39}{space 1}   -2.84{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4}  -1.4985{col 69}{space 3}-.2751218
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0469887{col 28}{space 2} .3493439{col 39}{space 1}   -0.13{col 48}{space 3}0.893{col 56}{space 4}-.7316901{col 69}{space 3} .6377127
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.959653{col 28}{space 2} 2.040722{col 39}{space 1}    0.96{col 48}{space 3}0.337{col 56}{space 4}-2.040089{col 69}{space 3} 5.959394
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4584576{col 28}{space 2} .2195297{col 39}{space 1}    2.09{col 48}{space 3}0.037{col 56}{space 4} .0281874{col 69}{space 3} .8887278
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.581633{col 28}{space 2} .3472153{col 56}{space 4} 1.028588{col 69}{space 3} 2.432034
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Table SI.6.4. Count measures of threat variables
.         ****************************************************************************    
. 
.         *Model 1
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrilla lstrikes lriots ldemon lmidtoward
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5721.9736}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5417.4009}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5404.2696}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5404.1779}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5404.1778}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5404.1778}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5383.6226}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5381.0057}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5380.9783}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5380.9783}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,532
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       856
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       676

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}5{txt})      = {res}     20.26
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-5380.978                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0011

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:33} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      soaGEN{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN       {txt}{c |}
{space 2}lguerrilla {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4213655{col 26}{space 2} .1654337{col 37}{space 1}    2.55{col 46}{space 3}0.011{col 54}{space 4} .0971214{col 67}{space 3} .7456096
{txt}{space 4}lstrikes {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1659401{col 26}{space 2} .1054545{col 37}{space 1}   -1.57{col 46}{space 3}0.116{col 54}{space 4}-.3726271{col 67}{space 3} .0407469
{txt}{space 6}lriots {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0249364{col 26}{space 2} .0597289{col 37}{space 1}   -0.42{col 46}{space 3}0.676{col 54}{space 4}-.1420029{col 67}{space 3} .0921302
{txt}{space 6}ldemon {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0213069{col 26}{space 2} .0407863{col 37}{space 1}   -0.52{col 46}{space 3}0.601{col 54}{space 4}-.1012465{col 67}{space 3} .0586327
{txt}{space 2}lmidtoward {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1148985{col 26}{space 2} .1147498{col 37}{space 1}    1.00{col 46}{space 3}0.317{col 54}{space 4} -.110007{col 67}{space 3} .3398039
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  4.03179{col 26}{space 2} .1628299{col 37}{space 1}   24.76{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 3.712649{col 67}{space 3}  4.35093
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate      {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6430826{col 26}{space 2} .1398201{col 37}{space 1}   -4.60{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.9171251{col 67}{space 3}-.3690402
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.307271{col 26}{space 2} .5433616{col 37}{space 1}    2.41{col 46}{space 3}0.016{col 54}{space 4} .2423015{col 67}{space 3}  2.37224
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}/lnalpha {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6003563{col 26}{space 2} .1883481{col 37}{space 1}    3.19{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .2312008{col 67}{space 3} .9695118
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       alpha {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.822768{col 26}{space 2}  .343315{col 54}{space 4} 1.260112{col 67}{space 3} 2.636657
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         *Model 2
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrilla lstrikes lriots ldemon lmidtoward
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -4904.733}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4599.7749}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4590.8118}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4590.6172}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4590.6165}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4590.6165}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4590.6165}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4575.7532}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4574.1048}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4574.0922}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4574.0922}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,255
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       737
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       518

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}5{txt})      = {res}     24.16
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-4574.092                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0002

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:33} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}        soaGEN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN         {txt}{c |}
{space 4}lguerrilla {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  .376192{col 28}{space 2} .1694156{col 39}{space 1}    2.22{col 48}{space 3}0.026{col 56}{space 4} .0441436{col 69}{space 3} .7082404
{txt}{space 6}lstrikes {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.172289{col 28}{space 2} .1071344{col 39}{space 1}   -1.61{col 48}{space 3}0.108{col 56}{space 4}-.3822685{col 69}{space 3} .0376905
{txt}{space 8}lriots {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0232634{col 28}{space 2} .0613246{col 39}{space 1}   -0.38{col 48}{space 3}0.704{col 56}{space 4}-.1434574{col 69}{space 3} .0969306
{txt}{space 8}ldemon {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0395212{col 28}{space 2} .0459817{col 39}{space 1}   -0.86{col 48}{space 3}0.390{col 56}{space 4}-.1296436{col 69}{space 3} .0506013
{txt}{space 4}lmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0357717{col 28}{space 2} .1271003{col 39}{space 1}    0.28{col 48}{space 3}0.778{col 56}{space 4}-.2133403{col 69}{space 3} .2848837
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.143926{col 28}{space 2} .1685276{col 39}{space 1}   24.59{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 3.813618{col 69}{space 3} 4.474234
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.375012{col 28}{space 2} .3224086{col 39}{space 1}   -4.26{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-2.006921{col 69}{space 3} -.743103
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0262896{col 28}{space 2} .0228877{col 39}{space 1}    1.15{col 48}{space 3}0.251{col 56}{space 4}-.0185695{col 69}{space 3} .0711488
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.138296{col 28}{space 2} .4502674{col 39}{space 1}    2.53{col 48}{space 3}0.011{col 56}{space 4} .2557878{col 69}{space 3} 2.020803
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5568247{col 28}{space 2} .3767547{col 39}{space 1}    1.48{col 48}{space 3}0.139{col 56}{space 4}-.1816009{col 69}{space 3}  1.29525
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.7121849{col 28}{space 2} .3533767{col 39}{space 1}   -2.02{col 48}{space 3}0.044{col 56}{space 4}-1.404791{col 69}{space 3}-.0195792
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.4478481{col 28}{space 2} .2187369{col 39}{space 1}   -2.05{col 48}{space 3}0.041{col 56}{space 4}-.8765646{col 69}{space 3}-.0191316
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.009553{col 28}{space 2} 1.412062{col 39}{space 1}    2.84{col 48}{space 3}0.005{col 56}{space 4} 1.241963{col 69}{space 3} 6.777143
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5833249{col 28}{space 2} .2195614{col 39}{space 1}    2.66{col 48}{space 3}0.008{col 56}{space 4} .1529925{col 69}{space 3} 1.013657
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.791987{col 28}{space 2}  .393451{col 56}{space 4} 1.165316{col 69}{space 3} 2.755661
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         *Model 3
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrilla lstrikes lriots ldemon lmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4547.6507}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4294.4361}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.9825}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.8233}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.8228}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.8228}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.8228}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4271.2212}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4267.5368}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4267.5003}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4267.5003}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,061
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       705
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       356

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}7{txt})      = {res}     22.32
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}  -4267.5                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0022

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}        soaGEN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN         {txt}{c |}
{space 4}lguerrilla {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .3947305{col 28}{space 2} .1893068{col 39}{space 1}    2.09{col 48}{space 3}0.037{col 56}{space 4}  .023696{col 69}{space 3}  .765765
{txt}{space 6}lstrikes {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1358234{col 28}{space 2} .1145403{col 39}{space 1}   -1.19{col 48}{space 3}0.236{col 56}{space 4}-.3603182{col 69}{space 3} .0886714
{txt}{space 8}lriots {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0393008{col 28}{space 2}  .062851{col 39}{space 1}   -0.63{col 48}{space 3}0.532{col 56}{space 4}-.1624864{col 69}{space 3} .0838848
{txt}{space 8}ldemon {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0077815{col 28}{space 2} .0545152{col 39}{space 1}   -0.14{col 48}{space 3}0.886{col 56}{space 4}-.1146293{col 69}{space 3} .0990663
{txt}{space 4}lmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0251959{col 28}{space 2} .1243262{col 39}{space 1}    0.20{col 48}{space 3}0.839{col 56}{space 4} -.218479{col 69}{space 3} .2688708
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0846383{col 28}{space 2} .0780255{col 39}{space 1}   -1.08{col 48}{space 3}0.278{col 56}{space 4}-.2375655{col 69}{space 3}  .068289
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1811966{col 28}{space 2} .2143654{col 39}{space 1}   -0.85{col 48}{space 3}0.398{col 56}{space 4}-.6013451{col 69}{space 3}  .238952
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 5.509076{col 28}{space 2} 1.227932{col 39}{space 1}    4.49{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 3.102373{col 69}{space 3}  7.91578
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.140536{col 28}{space 2} .4042107{col 39}{space 1}   -2.82{col 48}{space 3}0.005{col 56}{space 4}-1.932774{col 69}{space 3}-.3482975
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0238531{col 28}{space 2} .0280407{col 39}{space 1}    0.85{col 48}{space 3}0.395{col 56}{space 4}-.0311057{col 69}{space 3} .0788119
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.294754{col 28}{space 2} .4927534{col 39}{space 1}    2.63{col 48}{space 3}0.009{col 56}{space 4} .3289747{col 69}{space 3} 2.260532
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .6111321{col 28}{space 2} .3721501{col 39}{space 1}    1.64{col 48}{space 3}0.101{col 56}{space 4}-.1182686{col 69}{space 3} 1.340533
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.8995736{col 28}{space 2} .3158675{col 39}{space 1}   -2.85{col 48}{space 3}0.004{col 56}{space 4}-1.518663{col 69}{space 3}-.2804846
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0400112{col 28}{space 2} .3644643{col 39}{space 1}   -0.11{col 48}{space 3}0.913{col 56}{space 4}-.7543481{col 69}{space 3} .6743258
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  1.96721{col 28}{space 2} 2.091892{col 39}{space 1}    0.94{col 48}{space 3}0.347{col 56}{space 4}-2.132823{col 69}{space 3} 6.067242
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5560782{col 28}{space 2} .2120703{col 39}{space 1}    2.62{col 48}{space 3}0.009{col 56}{space 4}  .140428{col 69}{space 3} .9717284
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  1.74382{col 28}{space 2} .3698125{col 56}{space 4} 1.150766{col 69}{space 3} 2.642508
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Table SI.6.5. Controlling for military influence over politics
.         ****************************************************************************    
. 
.         *Model 1
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward actmilcabshare
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa actmilcabshare) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3996.1321}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3798.0762}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3796.5804}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3794.3854}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3794.3814}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3794.3814}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3794.3814}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3758.8859}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3752.8561}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3752.7797}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3752.7795}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       946
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       615
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       331

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}6{txt})      = {res}     45.78
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -3752.78                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:24} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}        soaGEN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN         {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  1.03397{col 28}{space 2} .3033521{col 39}{space 1}    3.41{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4} .4394107{col 69}{space 3} 1.628529
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2366529{col 28}{space 2} .1290378{col 39}{space 1}   -1.83{col 48}{space 3}0.067{col 56}{space 4}-.4895623{col 69}{space 3} .0162565
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.075333{col 28}{space 2} .1357145{col 39}{space 1}   -0.56{col 48}{space 3}0.579{col 56}{space 4}-.3413286{col 69}{space 3} .1906625
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0594008{col 28}{space 2} .0964971{col 39}{space 1}   -0.62{col 48}{space 3}0.538{col 56}{space 4}-.2485316{col 69}{space 3} .1297301
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1076643{col 28}{space 2} .1540089{col 39}{space 1}   -0.70{col 48}{space 3}0.485{col 56}{space 4}-.4095162{col 69}{space 3} .1941877
{txt}actmilcabshare {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .8620772{col 28}{space 2} .3356048{col 39}{space 1}    2.57{col 48}{space 3}0.010{col 56}{space 4} .2043038{col 69}{space 3} 1.519851
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.886302{col 28}{space 2} .1968209{col 39}{space 1}   19.75{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 3.500541{col 69}{space 3} 4.272064
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.700247{col 28}{space 2} .3948808{col 39}{space 1}   -1.77{col 48}{space 3}0.076{col 56}{space 4}-1.474199{col 69}{space 3} .0737053
{txt}actmilcabshare {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0317223{col 28}{space 2} 1.716829{col 39}{space 1}   -0.02{col 48}{space 3}0.985{col 56}{space 4}-3.396645{col 69}{space 3}   3.3332
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .7925448{col 28}{space 2} .8701832{col 39}{space 1}    0.91{col 48}{space 3}0.362{col 56}{space 4} -.912983{col 69}{space 3} 2.498073
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5656624{col 28}{space 2} .2501532{col 39}{space 1}    2.26{col 48}{space 3}0.024{col 56}{space 4} .0753712{col 69}{space 3} 1.055954
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.760614{col 28}{space 2} .4404231{col 56}{space 4} 1.078284{col 69}{space 3} 2.874715
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Model 2
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward lactmilcabshare
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa lactmilcabshare) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3886.7621}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3691.7556}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3689.4595}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3688.6127}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3688.6117}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3688.6117}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3688.6117}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3653.2337}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3647.0688}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3647.0071}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3647.0071}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       924
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       597
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       327

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}6{txt})      = {res}     39.68
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3647.007                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{ralign 81:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:24} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}    Robust
{col 1}         soaGEN{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      z{col 49}   P>|z|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN          {txt}{c |}
{space 4}lguerrillad {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.068437{col 29}{space 2} .3033569{col 40}{space 1}    3.52{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .4738686{col 70}{space 3} 1.663006
{txt}{space 6}lstrikesd {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2278283{col 29}{space 2} .1198145{col 40}{space 1}   -1.90{col 49}{space 3}0.057{col 57}{space 4}-.4626604{col 70}{space 3} .0070038
{txt}{space 8}lriotsd {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0614938{col 29}{space 2} .1352381{col 40}{space 1}   -0.45{col 49}{space 3}0.649{col 57}{space 4}-.3265555{col 70}{space 3}  .203568
{txt}{space 8}ldemond {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0405488{col 29}{space 2} .0990427{col 40}{space 1}   -0.41{col 49}{space 3}0.682{col 57}{space 4}-.2346689{col 70}{space 3} .1535712
{txt}{space 4}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1189169{col 29}{space 2} .1616577{col 40}{space 1}   -0.74{col 49}{space 3}0.462{col 57}{space 4}-.4357601{col 70}{space 3} .1979263
{txt}lactmilcabshare {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .9232568{col 29}{space 2} .3543746{col 40}{space 1}    2.61{col 49}{space 3}0.009{col 57}{space 4} .2286953{col 70}{space 3} 1.617818
{txt}{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.845971{col 29}{space 2} .2118008{col 40}{space 1}   18.16{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 3.430849{col 70}{space 3} 4.261093
{txt}{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate         {txt}{c |}
{space 6}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.6807927{col 29}{space 2} .4198673{col 40}{space 1}   -1.62{col 49}{space 3}0.105{col 57}{space 4}-1.503718{col 70}{space 3} .1421321
{txt}lactmilcabshare {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0235897{col 29}{space 2} 1.803351{col 40}{space 1}   -0.01{col 49}{space 3}0.990{col 57}{space 4}-3.558093{col 70}{space 3} 3.510913
{txt}{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .7270438{col 29}{space 2} .9041504{col 40}{space 1}    0.80{col 49}{space 3}0.421{col 57}{space 4}-1.045058{col 70}{space 3} 2.499146
{txt}{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}/lnalpha {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .5999614{col 29}{space 2} .2687746{col 40}{space 1}    2.23{col 49}{space 3}0.026{col 57}{space 4} .0731728{col 70}{space 3}  1.12675
{txt}{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          alpha {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.822049{col 29}{space 2} .4897204{col 57}{space 4} 1.075916{col 70}{space 3} 3.085612
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         *Model 3
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation actmilcabshare
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc actmilcabshare) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3611.6212}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3401.8024}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3398.4636}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3397.9792}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3397.9784}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3397.9784}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3397.9784}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3357.9997}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3351.5292}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3351.4777}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3351.4777}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       822
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       557
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       265

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})      = {res}     52.14
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3351.478                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:24} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}        soaGEN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN         {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.029506{col 28}{space 2} .2952742{col 39}{space 1}    3.49{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} .4507797{col 69}{space 3} 1.608233
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1836612{col 28}{space 2}  .119808{col 39}{space 1}   -1.53{col 48}{space 3}0.125{col 56}{space 4}-.4184805{col 69}{space 3} .0511581
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1790824{col 28}{space 2} .1481884{col 39}{space 1}   -1.21{col 48}{space 3}0.227{col 56}{space 4}-.4695263{col 69}{space 3} .1113615
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0391507{col 28}{space 2} .1060432{col 39}{space 1}    0.37{col 48}{space 3}0.712{col 56}{space 4}-.1686902{col 69}{space 3} .2469916
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0805059{col 28}{space 2} .1573215{col 39}{space 1}   -0.51{col 48}{space 3}0.609{col 56}{space 4}-.3888503{col 69}{space 3} .2278385
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1789386{col 28}{space 2} .0856403{col 39}{space 1}   -2.09{col 48}{space 3}0.037{col 56}{space 4}-.3467904{col 69}{space 3}-.0110867
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.3416193{col 28}{space 2} .1658946{col 39}{space 1}   -2.06{col 48}{space 3}0.039{col 56}{space 4}-.6667668{col 69}{space 3}-.0164718
{txt}actmilcabshare {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .9196628{col 28}{space 2} .3324463{col 39}{space 1}    2.77{col 48}{space 3}0.006{col 56}{space 4}   .26808{col 69}{space 3} 1.571246
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 6.720302{col 28}{space 2} 1.156549{col 39}{space 1}    5.81{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 4.453507{col 69}{space 3} 8.987097
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.172951{col 28}{space 2} .4325924{col 39}{space 1}   -2.71{col 48}{space 3}0.007{col 56}{space 4}-2.020817{col 69}{space 3}-.3250856
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0134626{col 28}{space 2} .0287926{col 39}{space 1}    0.47{col 48}{space 3}0.640{col 56}{space 4}-.0429699{col 69}{space 3} .0698951
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.575339{col 28}{space 2} .5237653{col 39}{space 1}    3.01{col 48}{space 3}0.003{col 56}{space 4}  .548778{col 69}{space 3}   2.6019
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .7011743{col 28}{space 2} .4624963{col 39}{space 1}    1.52{col 48}{space 3}0.130{col 56}{space 4}-.2053018{col 69}{space 3}  1.60765
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.9212196{col 28}{space 2} .3851928{col 39}{space 1}   -2.39{col 48}{space 3}0.017{col 56}{space 4}-1.676184{col 69}{space 3}-.1662556
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2048636{col 28}{space 2} .4475642{col 39}{space 1}   -0.46{col 48}{space 3}0.647{col 56}{space 4}-1.082073{col 69}{space 3}  .672346
{txt}actmilcabshare {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.8734589{col 28}{space 2} 1.550709{col 39}{space 1}   -0.56{col 48}{space 3}0.573{col 56}{space 4}-3.912793{col 69}{space 3} 2.165875
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.484833{col 28}{space 2} 2.362135{col 39}{space 1}    1.05{col 48}{space 3}0.293{col 56}{space 4}-2.144866{col 69}{space 3} 7.114531
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4925513{col 28}{space 2} .2201158{col 39}{space 1}    2.24{col 48}{space 3}0.025{col 56}{space 4} .0611322{col 69}{space 3} .9239704
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.636486{col 28}{space 2} .3602165{col 56}{space 4} 1.063039{col 69}{space 3} 2.519273
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         *Model 4
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation lactmilcabshare
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc lactmilcabshare) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3503.9928}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3298.7034}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3295.5825}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3295.2078}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3295.2072}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3295.2072}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3295.2072}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3256.9637}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3250.7928}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3250.7423}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3250.7422}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       802
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       539
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       263

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})      = {res}     41.28
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3250.742                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{ralign 81:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:24} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}    Robust
{col 1}         soaGEN{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      z{col 49}   P>|z|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN          {txt}{c |}
{space 4}lguerrillad {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.056282{col 29}{space 2} .2950461{col 40}{space 1}    3.58{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  .478002{col 70}{space 3} 1.634562
{txt}{space 6}lstrikesd {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1835776{col 29}{space 2}  .118923{col 40}{space 1}   -1.54{col 49}{space 3}0.123{col 57}{space 4}-.4166624{col 70}{space 3} .0495073
{txt}{space 8}lriotsd {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1528471{col 29}{space 2} .1531928{col 40}{space 1}   -1.00{col 49}{space 3}0.318{col 57}{space 4}-.4530995{col 70}{space 3} .1474053
{txt}{space 8}ldemond {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0489384{col 29}{space 2} .1110179{col 40}{space 1}    0.44{col 49}{space 3}0.659{col 57}{space 4}-.1686526{col 70}{space 3} .2665293
{txt}{space 4}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0847314{col 29}{space 2} .1652191{col 40}{space 1}   -0.51{col 49}{space 3}0.608{col 57}{space 4}-.4085548{col 70}{space 3}  .239092
{txt}{space 3}llntroopqual {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1963949{col 29}{space 2} .0870316{col 40}{space 1}   -2.26{col 49}{space 3}0.024{col 57}{space 4}-.3669736{col 70}{space 3}-.0258161
{txt}{space 3}llninflation {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2870411{col 29}{space 2} .1971049{col 40}{space 1}   -1.46{col 49}{space 3}0.145{col 57}{space 4}-.6733596{col 70}{space 3} .0992775
{txt}lactmilcabshare {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .8314848{col 29}{space 2}  .364701{col 40}{space 1}    2.28{col 49}{space 3}0.023{col 57}{space 4} .1166841{col 70}{space 3} 1.546286
{txt}{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.643826{col 29}{space 2} 1.282014{col 40}{space 1}    5.18{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 4.131125{col 70}{space 3} 9.156526
{txt}{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate         {txt}{c |}
{space 6}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.150795{col 29}{space 2} .4536478{col 40}{space 1}   -2.54{col 49}{space 3}0.011{col 57}{space 4}-2.039929{col 70}{space 3}-.2616619
{txt}{space 1}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0127394{col 29}{space 2} .0287109{col 40}{space 1}    0.44{col 49}{space 3}0.657{col 57}{space 4}-.0435329{col 70}{space 3} .0690117
{txt}{space 9}carter {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.623461{col 29}{space 2} .5357877{col 40}{space 1}    3.03{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} .5733367{col 70}{space 3} 2.673586
{txt}{space 8}reagan1 {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .6868819{col 29}{space 2} .4729847{col 40}{space 1}    1.45{col 49}{space 3}0.146{col 57}{space 4}-.2401512{col 70}{space 3} 1.613915
{txt}{space 4}postcoldwar {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.9390371{col 29}{space 2} .3871357{col 40}{space 1}   -2.43{col 49}{space 3}0.015{col 57}{space 4}-1.697809{col 70}{space 3}-.1802652
{txt}{space 4}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1855092{col 29}{space 2} .4577935{col 40}{space 1}   -0.41{col 49}{space 3}0.685{col 57}{space 4}-1.082768{col 70}{space 3} .7117496
{txt}lactmilcabshare {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.142501{col 29}{space 2} 1.706378{col 40}{space 1}   -0.67{col 49}{space 3}0.503{col 57}{space 4}-4.486939{col 70}{space 3} 2.201938
{txt}{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.401828{col 29}{space 2}  2.41016{col 40}{space 1}    1.00{col 49}{space 3}0.319{col 57}{space 4}-2.321998{col 70}{space 3} 7.125655
{txt}{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}/lnalpha {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  .535074{col 29}{space 2} .2333068{col 40}{space 1}    2.29{col 49}{space 3}0.022{col 57}{space 4} .0778011{col 70}{space 3}  .992347
{txt}{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          alpha {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.707575{col 29}{space 2} .3983888{col 57}{space 4} 1.080908{col 70}{space 3} 2.697558
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Table SI.6.6. Controlling for democratic regimes
.         ****************************************************************************    
.         
.         *Model 1
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrilla lstrikes lriots ldemon lmidtoward ldemoc
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa ldemoc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5721.9736}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5416.1373}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5402.9381}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5402.8399}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5402.8398}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5402.8398}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5381.3244}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5378.2389}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:   -5378.2}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:   -5378.2}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,532
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       856
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       676

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}6{txt})      = {res}     29.96
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}  -5378.2                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:33} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      soaGEN{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN       {txt}{c |}
{space 2}lguerrilla {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .432846{col 26}{space 2} .1672279{col 37}{space 1}    2.59{col 46}{space 3}0.010{col 54}{space 4} .1050854{col 67}{space 3} .7606065
{txt}{space 4}lstrikes {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.158695{col 26}{space 2} .1095284{col 37}{space 1}   -1.45{col 46}{space 3}0.147{col 54}{space 4}-.3733667{col 67}{space 3} .0559768
{txt}{space 6}lriots {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0274179{col 26}{space 2} .0591806{col 37}{space 1}   -0.46{col 46}{space 3}0.643{col 54}{space 4}-.1434098{col 67}{space 3}  .088574
{txt}{space 6}ldemon {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0167628{col 26}{space 2} .0415299{col 37}{space 1}   -0.40{col 46}{space 3}0.686{col 54}{space 4}-.0981599{col 67}{space 3} .0646343
{txt}{space 2}lmidtoward {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .130578{col 26}{space 2} .1142884{col 37}{space 1}    1.14{col 46}{space 3}0.253{col 54}{space 4}-.0934232{col 67}{space 3} .3545792
{txt}{space 6}ldemoc {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1588999{col 26}{space 2} .1860967{col 37}{space 1}   -0.85{col 46}{space 3}0.393{col 54}{space 4}-.5236427{col 67}{space 3} .2058428
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  4.11112{col 26}{space 2} .1893373{col 37}{space 1}   21.71{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 3.740026{col 67}{space 3} 4.482215
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate      {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6715869{col 26}{space 2} .1423444{col 37}{space 1}   -4.72{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.9505768{col 67}{space 3}-.3925969
{txt}{space 6}ldemoc {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2358304{col 26}{space 2} .4904465{col 37}{space 1}   -0.48{col 46}{space 3}0.631{col 54}{space 4}-1.197088{col 67}{space 3} .7254271
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.526687{col 26}{space 2} .6763228{col 37}{space 1}    2.26{col 46}{space 3}0.024{col 54}{space 4} .2011183{col 67}{space 3} 2.852255
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}/lnalpha {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6033071{col 26}{space 2} .1939749{col 37}{space 1}    3.11{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .2231234{col 67}{space 3} .9834908
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       alpha {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.828155{col 26}{space 2} .3546161{col 54}{space 4} 1.249975{col 67}{space 3} 2.673774
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         *Model 2
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrilla lstrikes lriots ldemon lmidtoward ldemoc
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc ldemoc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -4904.733}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4599.7737}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -4590.811}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4590.6162}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4590.6155}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4590.6155}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4590.6155}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -4575.694}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4573.9856}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4573.9711}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4573.9711}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,255
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       737
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       518

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}6{txt})      = {res}     34.51
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-4573.971                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:33} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}        soaGEN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN         {txt}{c |}
{space 4}lguerrilla {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .3790205{col 28}{space 2} .1666164{col 39}{space 1}    2.27{col 48}{space 3}0.023{col 56}{space 4} .0524582{col 69}{space 3} .7055827
{txt}{space 6}lstrikes {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1700477{col 28}{space 2} .1104939{col 39}{space 1}   -1.54{col 48}{space 3}0.124{col 56}{space 4}-.3866117{col 69}{space 3} .0465164
{txt}{space 8}lriots {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0240432{col 28}{space 2} .0601895{col 39}{space 1}   -0.40{col 48}{space 3}0.690{col 56}{space 4}-.1420124{col 69}{space 3}  .093926
{txt}{space 8}ldemon {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0391176{col 28}{space 2} .0454905{col 39}{space 1}   -0.86{col 48}{space 3}0.390{col 56}{space 4}-.1282773{col 69}{space 3} .0500421
{txt}{space 4}lmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0416587{col 28}{space 2} .1254981{col 39}{space 1}    0.33{col 48}{space 3}0.740{col 56}{space 4} -.204313{col 69}{space 3} .2876304
{txt}{space 8}ldemoc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0488872{col 28}{space 2} .1863179{col 39}{space 1}   -0.26{col 48}{space 3}0.793{col 56}{space 4}-.4140636{col 69}{space 3} .3162892
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.168559{col 28}{space 2}  .191446{col 39}{space 1}   21.77{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 3.793332{col 69}{space 3} 4.543786
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.374516{col 28}{space 2} .3257367{col 39}{space 1}   -4.22{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-2.012948{col 69}{space 3}-.7360839
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0262839{col 28}{space 2} .0230798{col 39}{space 1}    1.14{col 48}{space 3}0.255{col 56}{space 4}-.0189518{col 69}{space 3} .0715196
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}   1.1376{col 28}{space 2} .4537687{col 39}{space 1}    2.51{col 48}{space 3}0.012{col 56}{space 4} .2482295{col 69}{space 3}  2.02697
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5582569{col 28}{space 2} .3781141{col 39}{space 1}    1.48{col 48}{space 3}0.140{col 56}{space 4}-.1828332{col 69}{space 3} 1.299347
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.7097582{col 28}{space 2}   .31787{col 39}{space 1}   -2.23{col 48}{space 3}0.026{col 56}{space 4}-1.332772{col 69}{space 3}-.0867444
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.4475254{col 28}{space 2} .2177863{col 39}{space 1}   -2.05{col 48}{space 3}0.040{col 56}{space 4}-.8743786{col 69}{space 3}-.0206721
{txt}{space 8}ldemoc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0133738{col 28}{space 2}  .610099{col 39}{space 1}   -0.02{col 48}{space 3}0.983{col 56}{space 4}-1.209146{col 69}{space 3} 1.182398
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.014708{col 28}{space 2} 1.530247{col 39}{space 1}    2.62{col 48}{space 3}0.009{col 56}{space 4} 1.015478{col 69}{space 3} 7.013938
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5831882{col 28}{space 2} .2206048{col 39}{space 1}    2.64{col 48}{space 3}0.008{col 56}{space 4} .1508107{col 69}{space 3} 1.015566
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.791742{col 28}{space 2} .3952669{col 56}{space 4} 1.162777{col 69}{space 3} 2.760925
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         *Model 3
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrilla lstrikes lriots ldemon lmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation ldemoc
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc ldemoc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4547.6507}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4292.5119}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4286.1866}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4286.0578}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4286.0574}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4286.0574}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4286.0574}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4269.2181}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4265.2808}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4265.2461}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4265.2461}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,061
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       705
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       356

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})      = {res}     30.65
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-4265.246                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0002

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}        soaGEN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN         {txt}{c |}
{space 4}lguerrilla {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .3997817{col 28}{space 2} .1898991{col 39}{space 1}    2.11{col 48}{space 3}0.035{col 56}{space 4} .0275864{col 69}{space 3} .7719771
{txt}{space 6}lstrikes {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1305716{col 28}{space 2} .1230761{col 39}{space 1}   -1.06{col 48}{space 3}0.289{col 56}{space 4}-.3717964{col 69}{space 3} .1106532
{txt}{space 8}lriots {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0394658{col 28}{space 2} .0630557{col 39}{space 1}   -0.63{col 48}{space 3}0.531{col 56}{space 4}-.1630526{col 69}{space 3}  .084121
{txt}{space 8}ldemon {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0082699{col 28}{space 2} .0554087{col 39}{space 1}   -0.15{col 48}{space 3}0.881{col 56}{space 4}-.1168689{col 69}{space 3} .1003291
{txt}{space 4}lmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0369075{col 28}{space 2} .1232393{col 39}{space 1}    0.30{col 48}{space 3}0.765{col 56}{space 4}-.2046371{col 69}{space 3} .2784522
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0731314{col 28}{space 2} .0693661{col 39}{space 1}   -1.05{col 48}{space 3}0.292{col 56}{space 4}-.2090865{col 69}{space 3} .0628237
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1912425{col 28}{space 2} .2142231{col 39}{space 1}   -0.89{col 48}{space 3}0.372{col 56}{space 4}-.6111121{col 69}{space 3} .2286271
{txt}{space 8}ldemoc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1084268{col 28}{space 2} .2021448{col 39}{space 1}   -0.54{col 48}{space 3}0.592{col 56}{space 4}-.5046234{col 69}{space 3} .2877698
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 5.508215{col 28}{space 2} 1.202005{col 39}{space 1}    4.58{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 3.152329{col 69}{space 3} 7.864102
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.142717{col 28}{space 2}  .414194{col 39}{space 1}   -2.76{col 48}{space 3}0.006{col 56}{space 4}-1.954522{col 69}{space 3}-.3309118
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0246808{col 28}{space 2} .0283512{col 39}{space 1}    0.87{col 48}{space 3}0.384{col 56}{space 4}-.0308867{col 69}{space 3} .0802482
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.241825{col 28}{space 2} .4919998{col 39}{space 1}    2.52{col 48}{space 3}0.012{col 56}{space 4} .2775233{col 69}{space 3} 2.206127
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5873142{col 28}{space 2}  .357534{col 39}{space 1}    1.64{col 48}{space 3}0.100{col 56}{space 4}-.1134396{col 69}{space 3} 1.288068
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.8225409{col 28}{space 2} .3033857{col 39}{space 1}   -2.71{col 48}{space 3}0.007{col 56}{space 4}-1.417166{col 69}{space 3}-.2279159
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0134331{col 28}{space 2} .3508646{col 39}{space 1}   -0.04{col 48}{space 3}0.969{col 56}{space 4}-.7011151{col 69}{space 3} .6742489
{txt}{space 8}ldemoc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.359617{col 28}{space 2} .6531907{col 39}{space 1}   -0.55{col 48}{space 3}0.582{col 56}{space 4}-1.639847{col 69}{space 3} .9206132
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.070581{col 28}{space 2} 2.137294{col 39}{space 1}    0.97{col 48}{space 3}0.333{col 56}{space 4}-2.118437{col 69}{space 3}   6.2596
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5609407{col 28}{space 2} .2212014{col 39}{space 1}    2.54{col 48}{space 3}0.011{col 56}{space 4} .1273939{col 69}{space 3} .9944876
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  1.75232{col 28}{space 2} .3876158{col 56}{space 4} 1.135864{col 69}{space 3} 2.703339
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.                 
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Table SI.6.7. Controlling for coup-proofing
.         ****************************************************************************    
.         
.         *Model 1
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward 
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa yrscoup yrscoup2 yrscoup3) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5562.2224}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5248.7721}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5237.0052}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5236.9326}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5236.9325}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5236.9325}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5207.2973}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5200.1653}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5200.1361}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5200.1361}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,472
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       832
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       640

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}5{txt})      = {res}     21.23
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-5200.136                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0007

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:33} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      soaGEN{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN       {txt}{c |}
{space 1}lguerrillad {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8429545{col 26}{space 2} .2715922{col 37}{space 1}    3.10{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .3106435{col 67}{space 3} 1.375265
{txt}{space 3}lstrikesd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2250248{col 26}{space 2} .1383632{col 37}{space 1}   -1.63{col 46}{space 3}0.104{col 54}{space 4}-.4962116{col 67}{space 3}  .046162
{txt}{space 5}lriotsd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0337917{col 26}{space 2} .1604532{col 37}{space 1}   -0.21{col 46}{space 3}0.833{col 54}{space 4}-.3482743{col 67}{space 3} .2806909
{txt}{space 5}ldemond {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0501257{col 26}{space 2} .1162394{col 37}{space 1}   -0.43{col 46}{space 3}0.666{col 54}{space 4}-.2779507{col 67}{space 3} .1776994
{txt}{space 1}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1405233{col 26}{space 2}  .133227{col 37}{space 1}    1.05{col 46}{space 3}0.292{col 54}{space 4}-.1205969{col 67}{space 3} .4016435
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.980719{col 26}{space 2} .1587086{col 37}{space 1}   25.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 3.669656{col 67}{space 3} 4.291783
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate      {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.7606699{col 26}{space 2} .1840513{col 37}{space 1}   -4.13{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.121404{col 67}{space 3} -.399936
{txt}{space 5}yrscoup {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   .03573{col 26}{space 2} .0609163{col 37}{space 1}    0.59{col 46}{space 3}0.558{col 54}{space 4}-.0836637{col 67}{space 3} .1551237
{txt}{space 4}yrscoup2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0004399{col 26}{space 2} .0027904{col 37}{space 1}   -0.16{col 46}{space 3}0.875{col 54}{space 4}-.0059089{col 67}{space 3} .0050292
{txt}{space 4}yrscoup3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0158781{col 26}{space 2}  .040159{col 37}{space 1}   -0.40{col 46}{space 3}0.693{col 54}{space 4}-.0945883{col 67}{space 3}  .062832
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.39405{col 26}{space 2} .9414924{col 37}{space 1}    1.48{col 46}{space 3}0.139{col 54}{space 4}-.4512417{col 67}{space 3} 3.239341
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}/lnalpha {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5190775{col 26}{space 2} .1817112{col 37}{space 1}    2.86{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4}   .16293{col 67}{space 3} .8752249
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       alpha {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.680477{col 26}{space 2} .3053615{col 54}{space 4} 1.176954{col 67}{space 3} 2.399415
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         *Model 2
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc yrscoup yrscoup2 yrscoup3) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -4904.733}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4593.1166}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4583.5671}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4583.3816}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4583.3807}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4583.3807}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4583.3807}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -4559.104}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4553.4136}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4553.3613}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4553.3611}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,255
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       737
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       518

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}5{txt})      = {res}     21.71
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-4553.361                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0006

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:33} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}        soaGEN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN         {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .8114547{col 28}{space 2} .2752755{col 39}{space 1}    2.95{col 48}{space 3}0.003{col 56}{space 4} .2719246{col 69}{space 3} 1.350985
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.232831{col 28}{space 2} .1320871{col 39}{space 1}   -1.76{col 48}{space 3}0.078{col 56}{space 4}-.4917168{col 69}{space 3} .0260549
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0335993{col 28}{space 2} .1613964{col 39}{space 1}   -0.21{col 48}{space 3}0.835{col 56}{space 4}-.3499305{col 69}{space 3} .2827318
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0494475{col 28}{space 2} .1143347{col 39}{space 1}   -0.43{col 48}{space 3}0.665{col 56}{space 4}-.2735393{col 69}{space 3} .1746444
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0430554{col 28}{space 2} .1417224{col 39}{space 1}    0.30{col 48}{space 3}0.761{col 56}{space 4}-.2347154{col 69}{space 3} .3208262
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.030326{col 28}{space 2} .1731753{col 39}{space 1}   23.27{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 3.690909{col 69}{space 3} 4.369744
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -1.33338{col 28}{space 2} .2968977{col 39}{space 1}   -4.49{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-1.915288{col 69}{space 3}-.7514708
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0265649{col 28}{space 2} .0236871{col 39}{space 1}    1.12{col 48}{space 3}0.262{col 56}{space 4} -.019861{col 69}{space 3} .0729908
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.111977{col 28}{space 2} .4647664{col 39}{space 1}    2.39{col 48}{space 3}0.017{col 56}{space 4} .2010514{col 69}{space 3} 2.022902
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  .518075{col 28}{space 2}  .392581{col 39}{space 1}    1.32{col 48}{space 3}0.187{col 56}{space 4}-.2513697{col 69}{space 3}  1.28752
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.668987{col 28}{space 2} .3898444{col 39}{space 1}   -1.72{col 48}{space 3}0.086{col 56}{space 4}-1.433068{col 69}{space 3}  .095094
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.4612326{col 28}{space 2} .2152801{col 39}{space 1}   -2.14{col 48}{space 3}0.032{col 56}{space 4}-.8831738{col 69}{space 3}-.0392914
{txt}{space 7}yrscoup {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0631184{col 28}{space 2} .0697748{col 39}{space 1}    0.90{col 48}{space 3}0.366{col 56}{space 4}-.0736377{col 69}{space 3} .1998745
{txt}{space 6}yrscoup2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0011246{col 28}{space 2} .0033508{col 39}{space 1}   -0.34{col 48}{space 3}0.737{col 56}{space 4} -.007692{col 69}{space 3} .0054428
{txt}{space 6}yrscoup3 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0080223{col 28}{space 2} .0535379{col 39}{space 1}   -0.15{col 48}{space 3}0.881{col 56}{space 4}-.1129546{col 69}{space 3} .0969101
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.488984{col 28}{space 2} 1.389982{col 39}{space 1}    2.51{col 48}{space 3}0.012{col 56}{space 4} .7646682{col 69}{space 3} 6.213299
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5526437{col 28}{space 2} .2198606{col 39}{space 1}    2.51{col 48}{space 3}0.012{col 56}{space 4} .1217249{col 69}{space 3} .9835625
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.737841{col 28}{space 2} .3820828{col 56}{space 4} 1.129443{col 69}{space 3} 2.673965
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         *Model 3
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc yrscoup yrscoup2 yrscoup3) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4547.6507}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.3493}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4281.2059}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4280.9939}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4280.9934}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4280.9934}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4280.9934}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4268.0477}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -4242.389}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4242.1179}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4242.1169}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4242.1169}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,061
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       705
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       356

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}7{txt})      = {res}     16.89
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-4242.117                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0181

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}        soaGEN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN         {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .8735577{col 28}{space 2} .2784339{col 39}{space 1}    3.14{col 48}{space 3}0.002{col 56}{space 4} .3278373{col 69}{space 3} 1.419278
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1594186{col 28}{space 2} .1279641{col 39}{space 1}   -1.25{col 48}{space 3}0.213{col 56}{space 4}-.4102236{col 69}{space 3} .0913863
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1455248{col 28}{space 2} .1690371{col 39}{space 1}   -0.86{col 48}{space 3}0.389{col 56}{space 4}-.4768315{col 69}{space 3} .1857818
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0828692{col 28}{space 2} .1151618{col 39}{space 1}    0.72{col 48}{space 3}0.472{col 56}{space 4}-.1428438{col 69}{space 3} .3085822
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0186228{col 28}{space 2} .1380001{col 39}{space 1}    0.13{col 48}{space 3}0.893{col 56}{space 4}-.2518524{col 69}{space 3}  .289098
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1258482{col 28}{space 2}  .072952{col 39}{space 1}   -1.73{col 48}{space 3}0.085{col 56}{space 4}-.2688315{col 69}{space 3}  .017135
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2449393{col 28}{space 2} .1942947{col 39}{space 1}   -1.26{col 48}{space 3}0.207{col 56}{space 4}-.6257498{col 69}{space 3} .1358712
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 5.968722{col 28}{space 2} 1.156453{col 39}{space 1}    5.16{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 3.702117{col 69}{space 3} 8.235327
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.9669326{col 28}{space 2} .3965473{col 39}{space 1}   -2.44{col 48}{space 3}0.015{col 56}{space 4}-1.744151{col 69}{space 3}-.1897141
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0246859{col 28}{space 2} .0288183{col 39}{space 1}    0.86{col 48}{space 3}0.392{col 56}{space 4}-.0317969{col 69}{space 3} .0811686
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.237426{col 28}{space 2} .4830474{col 39}{space 1}    2.56{col 48}{space 3}0.010{col 56}{space 4} .2906702{col 69}{space 3} 2.184181
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5575276{col 28}{space 2} .3954936{col 39}{space 1}    1.41{col 48}{space 3}0.159{col 56}{space 4}-.2176257{col 69}{space 3} 1.332681
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.9289414{col 28}{space 2} .3674079{col 39}{space 1}   -2.53{col 48}{space 3}0.011{col 56}{space 4}-1.649048{col 69}{space 3}-.2088352
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0357601{col 28}{space 2} .3728362{col 39}{space 1}   -0.10{col 48}{space 3}0.924{col 56}{space 4}-.7665055{col 69}{space 3} .6949854
{txt}{space 7}yrscoup {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0596766{col 28}{space 2} .0681579{col 39}{space 1}    0.88{col 48}{space 3}0.381{col 56}{space 4}-.0739103{col 69}{space 3} .1932636
{txt}{space 6}yrscoup2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0005138{col 28}{space 2} .0031452{col 39}{space 1}   -0.16{col 48}{space 3}0.870{col 56}{space 4}-.0066783{col 69}{space 3} .0056508
{txt}{space 6}yrscoup3 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0102463{col 28}{space 2} .0517614{col 39}{space 1}   -0.20{col 48}{space 3}0.843{col 56}{space 4}-.1116968{col 69}{space 3} .0912041
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .9602502{col 28}{space 2}  2.22518{col 39}{space 1}    0.43{col 48}{space 3}0.666{col 56}{space 4}-3.401023{col 69}{space 3} 5.321523
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4885441{col 28}{space 2} .2046971{col 39}{space 1}    2.39{col 48}{space 3}0.017{col 56}{space 4} .0873452{col 69}{space 3}  .889743
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.629941{col 28}{space 2} .3336442{col 56}{space 4} 1.091273{col 69}{space 3} 2.434504
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         *Model 4
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward yrscoup yrscoup2 yrscoup3 
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa yrscoup yrscoup2 yrscoup3) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5562.2224}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5248.7721}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5237.0052}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5236.9326}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5236.9325}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5236.9325}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5224.7371}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5194.3694}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5193.7811}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5193.7795}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5193.7795}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,472
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       832
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       640

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})      = {res}     55.76
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -5193.78                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:33} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      soaGEN{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN       {txt}{c |}
{space 1}lguerrillad {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8581437{col 26}{space 2} .2661056{col 37}{space 1}    3.22{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .3365863{col 67}{space 3} 1.379701
{txt}{space 3}lstrikesd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2483354{col 26}{space 2} .1429609{col 37}{space 1}   -1.74{col 46}{space 3}0.082{col 54}{space 4}-.5285337{col 67}{space 3} .0318629
{txt}{space 5}lriotsd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0661986{col 26}{space 2} .1458884{col 37}{space 1}   -0.45{col 46}{space 3}0.650{col 54}{space 4}-.3521345{col 67}{space 3} .2197374
{txt}{space 5}ldemond {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.013624{col 26}{space 2} .1144839{col 37}{space 1}   -0.12{col 46}{space 3}0.905{col 54}{space 4}-.2380084{col 67}{space 3} .2107603
{txt}{space 1}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1201185{col 26}{space 2} .1270718{col 37}{space 1}    0.95{col 46}{space 3}0.345{col 54}{space 4}-.1289376{col 67}{space 3} .3691747
{txt}{space 5}yrscoup {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0393647{col 26}{space 2} .0387459{col 37}{space 1}   -1.02{col 46}{space 3}0.310{col 54}{space 4}-.1153054{col 67}{space 3}  .036576
{txt}{space 4}yrscoup2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0023714{col 26}{space 2} .0022979{col 37}{space 1}    1.03{col 46}{space 3}0.302{col 54}{space 4}-.0021324{col 67}{space 3} .0068753
{txt}{space 4}yrscoup3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0395694{col 26}{space 2} .0320655{col 37}{space 1}   -1.23{col 46}{space 3}0.217{col 54}{space 4}-.1024166{col 67}{space 3} .0232777
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.143445{col 26}{space 2} .1702111{col 37}{space 1}   24.34{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 3.809837{col 67}{space 3} 4.477053
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate      {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.7540044{col 26}{space 2} .1824855{col 37}{space 1}   -4.13{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.111669{col 67}{space 3}-.3963393
{txt}{space 5}yrscoup {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0312996{col 26}{space 2} .0594859{col 37}{space 1}    0.53{col 46}{space 3}0.599{col 54}{space 4}-.0852906{col 67}{space 3} .1478899
{txt}{space 4}yrscoup2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0001922{col 26}{space 2} .0027325{col 37}{space 1}   -0.07{col 46}{space 3}0.944{col 54}{space 4}-.0055477{col 67}{space 3} .0051633
{txt}{space 4}yrscoup3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0198393{col 26}{space 2}  .039997{col 37}{space 1}   -0.50{col 46}{space 3}0.620{col 54}{space 4} -.098232{col 67}{space 3} .0585535
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.407904{col 26}{space 2} .9313478{col 37}{space 1}    1.51{col 46}{space 3}0.131{col 54}{space 4} -.417504{col 67}{space 3} 3.233312
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}/lnalpha {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4937798{col 26}{space 2} .1865553{col 37}{space 1}    2.65{col 46}{space 3}0.008{col 54}{space 4}  .128138{col 67}{space 3} .8594215
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
       alpha {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.638498{col 26}{space 2} .3056705{col 54}{space 4}  1.13671{col 67}{space 3} 2.361794
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         *Model 5
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward yrscoup yrscoup2 yrscoup3
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc yrscoup yrscoup2 yrscoup3) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -4904.733}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4593.1166}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4583.5671}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4583.3816}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4583.3807}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4583.3807}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4583.3807}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4560.8041}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4549.4167}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4549.3099}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4549.3098}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,255
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       737
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       518

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})      = {res}     37.25
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -4549.31                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:33} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}        soaGEN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN         {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .8169018{col 28}{space 2} .2687987{col 39}{space 1}    3.04{col 48}{space 3}0.002{col 56}{space 4}  .290066{col 69}{space 3} 1.343738
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2484369{col 28}{space 2} .1347127{col 39}{space 1}   -1.84{col 48}{space 3}0.065{col 56}{space 4}-.5124689{col 69}{space 3} .0155951
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0484278{col 28}{space 2} .1459471{col 39}{space 1}   -0.33{col 48}{space 3}0.740{col 56}{space 4}-.3344789{col 69}{space 3} .2376233
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0093257{col 28}{space 2} .1130784{col 39}{space 1}   -0.08{col 48}{space 3}0.934{col 56}{space 4}-.2309553{col 69}{space 3} .2123039
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0207157{col 28}{space 2} .1307492{col 39}{space 1}    0.16{col 48}{space 3}0.874{col 56}{space 4}-.2355481{col 69}{space 3} .2769795
{txt}{space 7}yrscoup {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  -.04993{col 28}{space 2} .0446679{col 39}{space 1}   -1.12{col 48}{space 3}0.264{col 56}{space 4}-.1374774{col 69}{space 3} .0376174
{txt}{space 6}yrscoup2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0031735{col 28}{space 2} .0027854{col 39}{space 1}    1.14{col 48}{space 3}0.255{col 56}{space 4}-.0022859{col 69}{space 3} .0086328
{txt}{space 6}yrscoup3 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0523437{col 28}{space 2} .0411723{col 39}{space 1}   -1.27{col 48}{space 3}0.204{col 56}{space 4}-.1330399{col 69}{space 3} .0283524
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 4.192815{col 28}{space 2} .2189376{col 39}{space 1}   19.15{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 3.763705{col 69}{space 3} 4.621925
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-1.318524{col 28}{space 2} .2921845{col 39}{space 1}   -4.51{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-1.891195{col 69}{space 3}-.7458524
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0266186{col 28}{space 2} .0239019{col 39}{space 1}    1.11{col 48}{space 3}0.265{col 56}{space 4}-.0202282{col 69}{space 3} .0734653
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.102098{col 28}{space 2} .4600434{col 39}{space 1}    2.40{col 48}{space 3}0.017{col 56}{space 4} .2004291{col 69}{space 3} 2.003766
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5128184{col 28}{space 2} .3906471{col 39}{space 1}    1.31{col 48}{space 3}0.189{col 56}{space 4}-.2528359{col 69}{space 3} 1.278473
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.663383{col 28}{space 2} .3854857{col 39}{space 1}   -1.72{col 48}{space 3}0.085{col 56}{space 4}-1.418921{col 69}{space 3} .0921551
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.4548419{col 28}{space 2} .2137222{col 39}{space 1}   -2.13{col 48}{space 3}0.033{col 56}{space 4}-.8737298{col 69}{space 3} -.035954
{txt}{space 7}yrscoup {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0540753{col 28}{space 2}  .067823{col 39}{space 1}    0.80{col 48}{space 3}0.425{col 56}{space 4}-.0788553{col 69}{space 3}  .187006
{txt}{space 6}yrscoup2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0005877{col 28}{space 2} .0033146{col 39}{space 1}   -0.18{col 48}{space 3}0.859{col 56}{space 4}-.0070841{col 69}{space 3} .0059088
{txt}{space 6}yrscoup3 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0166046{col 28}{space 2} .0550364{col 39}{space 1}   -0.30{col 48}{space 3}0.763{col 56}{space 4}-.1244739{col 69}{space 3} .0912647
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 3.477848{col 28}{space 2} 1.376002{col 39}{space 1}    2.53{col 48}{space 3}0.011{col 56}{space 4} .7809329{col 69}{space 3} 6.174763
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5354649{col 28}{space 2} .2253116{col 39}{space 1}    2.38{col 48}{space 3}0.017{col 56}{space 4} .0938623{col 69}{space 3} .9770675
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.708242{col 28}{space 2} .3848868{col 56}{space 4} 1.098408{col 69}{space 3} 2.656654
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}. 
.         *Model 6
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation yrscoup yrscoup2 yrscoup3
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc yrscoup yrscoup2 yrscoup3) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4547.6507}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4287.3493}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4281.2059}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4280.9939}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4280.9934}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4280.9934}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4280.9934}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4241.6803}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -4235.211}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4235.1441}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -4235.144}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,061
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       705
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       356

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}10{txt})     = {res}     40.20
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-4235.144                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:28} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}        soaGEN{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}soaGEN         {txt}{c |}
{space 3}lguerrillad {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .8709214{col 28}{space 2} .2724245{col 39}{space 1}    3.20{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4} .3369792{col 69}{space 3} 1.404864
{txt}{space 5}lstrikesd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1496029{col 28}{space 2} .1308387{col 39}{space 1}   -1.14{col 48}{space 3}0.253{col 56}{space 4}-.4060421{col 69}{space 3} .1068362
{txt}{space 7}lriotsd {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.141285{col 28}{space 2} .1552658{col 39}{space 1}   -0.91{col 48}{space 3}0.363{col 56}{space 4}-.4456004{col 69}{space 3} .1630304
{txt}{space 7}ldemond {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .1246976{col 28}{space 2} .1135913{col 39}{space 1}    1.10{col 48}{space 3}0.272{col 56}{space 4}-.0979373{col 69}{space 3} .3473324
{txt}{space 3}ldmidtoward {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.017012{col 28}{space 2} .1254202{col 39}{space 1}   -0.14{col 48}{space 3}0.892{col 56}{space 4}-.2628311{col 69}{space 3} .2288071
{txt}{space 2}llntroopqual {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1205322{col 28}{space 2} .0748825{col 39}{space 1}   -1.61{col 48}{space 3}0.107{col 56}{space 4}-.2672993{col 69}{space 3} .0262348
{txt}{space 2}llninflation {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2922994{col 28}{space 2}    .1835{col 39}{space 1}   -1.59{col 48}{space 3}0.111{col 56}{space 4}-.6519529{col 69}{space 3}  .067354
{txt}{space 7}yrscoup {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0940737{col 28}{space 2} .0398833{col 39}{space 1}   -2.36{col 48}{space 3}0.018{col 56}{space 4}-.1722436{col 69}{space 3}-.0159038
{txt}{space 6}yrscoup2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0056947{col 28}{space 2} .0024668{col 39}{space 1}    2.31{col 48}{space 3}0.021{col 56}{space 4} .0008598{col 69}{space 3} .0105296
{txt}{space 6}yrscoup3 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0860614{col 28}{space 2} .0374499{col 39}{space 1}   -2.30{col 48}{space 3}0.022{col 56}{space 4}-.1594618{col 69}{space 3}-.0126609
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 6.381912{col 28}{space 2} 1.071125{col 39}{space 1}    5.96{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 4.282544{col 69}{space 3} 8.481279
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate        {txt}{c |}
{space 5}lfpsimusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.9577812{col 28}{space 2} .3935407{col 39}{space 1}   -2.43{col 48}{space 3}0.015{col 56}{space 4}-1.729107{col 69}{space 3}-.1864556
{txt}llntradedepusa {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0249147{col 28}{space 2} .0290317{col 39}{space 1}    0.86{col 48}{space 3}0.391{col 56}{space 4}-.0319864{col 69}{space 3} .0818158
{txt}{space 8}carter {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.228195{col 28}{space 2} .4764832{col 39}{space 1}    2.58{col 48}{space 3}0.010{col 56}{space 4} .2943051{col 69}{space 3} 2.162085
{txt}{space 7}reagan1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .5507219{col 28}{space 2} .3943135{col 39}{space 1}    1.40{col 48}{space 3}0.163{col 56}{space 4}-.2221184{col 69}{space 3} 1.323562
{txt}{space 3}postcoldwar {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} -.918915{col 28}{space 2} .3641473{col 39}{space 1}   -2.52{col 48}{space 3}0.012{col 56}{space 4}-1.632631{col 69}{space 3}-.2051995
{txt}{space 3}llnmilexppc {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0319872{col 28}{space 2} .3721208{col 39}{space 1}   -0.09{col 48}{space 3}0.931{col 56}{space 4}-.7613305{col 69}{space 3} .6973561
{txt}{space 7}yrscoup {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0447029{col 28}{space 2} .0676964{col 39}{space 1}    0.66{col 48}{space 3}0.509{col 56}{space 4}-.0879796{col 69}{space 3} .1773854
{txt}{space 6}yrscoup2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0003494{col 28}{space 2} .0032865{col 39}{space 1}    0.11{col 48}{space 3}0.915{col 56}{space 4} -.006092{col 69}{space 3} .0067909
{txt}{space 6}yrscoup3 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0232648{col 28}{space 2} .0557932{col 39}{space 1}   -0.42{col 48}{space 3}0.677{col 56}{space 4}-.1326175{col 69}{space 3}  .086088
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .9855831{col 28}{space 2} 2.209132{col 39}{space 1}    0.45{col 48}{space 3}0.655{col 56}{space 4}-3.344236{col 69}{space 3} 5.315402
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}/lnalpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .4663602{col 28}{space 2} .2070695{col 39}{space 1}    2.25{col 48}{space 3}0.024{col 56}{space 4} .0605115{col 69}{space 3} .8722089
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         alpha {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.594181{col 28}{space 2} .3301062{col 56}{space 4}  1.06238{col 69}{space 3} 2.392189
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.                 
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Table SI.6.8. Excluded observations in outlier test
.         ****************************************************************************    
.         
.         *Preserving data
.         preserve
{txt}
{com}. 
.         *Calculating number of excluded observations in each model run
.         
.         *Running Model 3, Table 1
.         #delimit ;
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         quiet
>         zinb soaGEN 
>                 lguerrillad lstrikesd lriotsd ldemond ldmidtoward llntroopqual llninflation
>                 ,inflate(lfpsimusa llntradedepusa carter reagan1 postcoldwar llnmilexppc) 
>                 zip vce(cluster gwno);
{txt}
{com}.         #delimit cr
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         
.         *Creating identifier for obs in analysis        
.         gen obsjack=1 if e(sample) 
{txt}(525 missing values generated)

{com}.         keep if obsjack==1
{txt}(525 observations deleted)

{com}.         egen totobs=total(obsjack)
{txt}
{com}.         
.         *Collapsing data for information on amount of excluded observations
.         collapse (first) countryname totobs (count) exclobsnum=obsjack, by(gwno)
{txt}
{com}.         
.         *Preparing data for export
.         sort countryname
{txt}
{com}.         gen exclobsperc=(exclobsnum/totobs)*100
{txt}
{com}.         replace exclobsperc=round(exclobsperc,0.01)     //Share of excluded obs (in %)
{txt}(28 real changes made)

{com}.         format exclobsperc %9.2f
{txt}
{com}.         gen run=_n
{txt}
{com}.         sum exclobsnum

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 2}exclobsnum {c |}{res}         28    37.89286    14.87065          2         50
{txt}
{com}.         drop gwno totobs
{txt}
{com}.         order run countryname   
{txt}
{com}.         
.         *Displaying information in table
.         list
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 5}{c -}{hline 21}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}run           countryname   exclob~m   exclob~c {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 5}{c -}{hline 21}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  1. {c |} {res}  1             Argentina         50       4.71 {txt}{c |}
  2. {c |} {res}  2               Bahamas          6       0.57 {txt}{c |}
  3. {c |} {res}  3              Barbados         10       0.94 {txt}{c |}
  4. {c |} {res}  4                Belize         19       1.79 {txt}{c |}
  5. {c |} {res}  5               Bolivia         49       4.62 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 5}{c -}{hline 21}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  6. {c |} {res}  6                Brazil         50       4.71 {txt}{c |}
  7. {c |} {res}  7                 Chile         49       4.62 {txt}{c |}
  8. {c |} {res}  8              Colombia         50       4.71 {txt}{c |}
  9. {c |} {res}  9            Costa Rica         37       3.49 {txt}{c |}
 10. {c |} {res} 10                  Cuba         27       2.54 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 5}{c -}{hline 21}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 11. {c |} {res} 11    Dominican Republic         44       4.15 {txt}{c |}
 12. {c |} {res} 12               Ecuador         49       4.62 {txt}{c |}
 13. {c |} {res} 13           El Salvador         50       4.71 {txt}{c |}
 14. {c |} {res} 14               Grenada          2       0.19 {txt}{c |}
 15. {c |} {res} 15             Guatemala         50       4.71 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 5}{c -}{hline 21}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 16. {c |} {res} 16                Guyana         29       2.73 {txt}{c |}
 17. {c |} {res} 17                 Haiti         31       2.92 {txt}{c |}
 18. {c |} {res} 18              Honduras         50       4.71 {txt}{c |}
 19. {c |} {res} 19               Jamaica         34       3.20 {txt}{c |}
 20. {c |} {res} 20                Mexico         50       4.71 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 5}{c -}{hline 21}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 21. {c |} {res} 21             Nicaragua         43       4.05 {txt}{c |}
 22. {c |} {res} 22                Panama         37       3.49 {txt}{c |}
 23. {c |} {res} 23              Paraguay         48       4.52 {txt}{c |}
 24. {c |} {res} 24                  Peru         50       4.71 {txt}{c |}
 25. {c |} {res} 25              Suriname         21       1.98 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 5}{c -}{hline 21}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 26. {c |} {res} 26   Trinidad and Tobago         30       2.83 {txt}{c |}
 27. {c |} {res} 27               Uruguay         46       4.34 {txt}{c |}
 28. {c |} {res} 28             Venezuela         50       4.71 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 5}{c -}{hline 21}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}.         
.         *Restoring data
.         restore
{txt}
{com}.         
.         
.         ****************************************************************************
.         *Figure SI.6.1. Outlier test with country-wise exclusion
.         ****************************************************************************    
.         
.         *Preserving data
.         preserve
{txt}
{com}.         
.         *Loading jackknife dataset for Figure SI.6.1
.         use "$path\data_figureSI61.dta", clear
{txt}(Scharpf 2020 ISQ replication Figure SI.6.1)

{com}. 
.         *Figure SI.6.1          
.         #delimit ;              
{txt}delimiter now ;
{com}.         twoway rspike min95 max95 yaxis, //95% CI
>                                          horizontal lcolor(gs5) lwidth(*1)      
>                   || rspike min90 max90 yaxis, //90% CI
>                                          horizontal lcolor(black) lwidth(*2.2)
>                   || scatter yaxis estimate, //Mean                       
>                                  msymbol(o) msize(*1) mlwidth(*1) mcolor(black) mfcolor(black) mlalign(center)
>                   || rspike min95 max95 yaxis if id==., //95% CI
>                                          horizontal lcolor(gs5) lwidth(*1)      
>                   || rspike min90 max90 yaxis if id==., //90% CI
>                                          horizontal lcolor(blue) lwidth(*2.2)
>                   || scatter yaxis estimate if id==., //Mean                      
>                                  msymbol(o) msize(*1) mlwidth(*1) mcolor(blue) mfcolor(blue) mlalign(center)                             
>                                  by(varid, col(2) 
>                                         legend(at(7) pos(3) bplacement(3))
>                                         note("") graphregion(color(white) lcolor(white) lalign(outside))
>                                         ixaxes
>                                  ) 
>                                  xsize(1.5) ysize(3) 
>                                  xscale(range() noextend titlegap(*40))
>                                  yscale(range(2 56) noextend  titlegap(*-25))
>                      ylabel(2(2)56 60, valuelabel nogrid angle(0) labsize(*.7)) 
>                                  xlabel(, angle(horizontal) nogrid labsize(*.7))
>                                  xticks()
>                                  xline(0,lpattern(shortdash) lwidth(thin) lcolor(black))
>                                  subtitle(, size(*1) lcolor(black))
>                                  xtitle(" ", size(*.55))
>                                  ytitle("Country excluded from analysis", size(*.55))
>                                  subtitle(, size(*.8) box bexpand margin(t=1.25) fcolor(gs14) lcolor(black) lalign(center))
>                                  scheme(s2mono)
>                                  legend(order(
>                                                 3 "Coefficent estimate"
>                                                 1 "95% CI" 
>                                                 2 "90% CI"
>                                                 )                                       
>                                         col(1)
>                                         size(*.7)                       
>                                         keygap(*0.5) 
>                                         symxsize(*0.35) 
>                                         symysize(*0.5) 
>                                         region(color(white))
>                                         )
>                                  ;
{res}{txt}
{com}.         #delimit cr             
{txt}delimiter now cr
{com}.         graph export "$path\figureSI61.pdf", as(pdf) replace    
{txt}(file C:\Users\scharpf\Dropbox\SOAPaper\Submission\ISQ_FinalSubmission_03062020\Scharpf_ISQ_ReplicationFiles\\figureSI61.pdf written in PDF format)

{com}.                         
.         *Restoring data
.         restore
{txt}
{com}.         
.         
. ********************************************************************************        
. *       
. ********************************************************************************                
.         
.         *Closing graph windows
.         graph close _all 
{txt}
{com}.         
.         *Clearing data
.         clear all
{res}{txt}
{com}.         
.         *End recording log file
.         log close       
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\scharpf\Dropbox\SOAPaper\Submission\ISQ_FinalSubmission_03062020\Scharpf_ISQ_ReplicationFiles\\Scharpf_ISQ_resultslog.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res} 4 Jun 2020, 17:45:33
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}